Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Shell Energy Stadium, Houston·P. Lauziere 30/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
84%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSTRONGModel62%SurpriseMediumGap-1.0%
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel59%SurpriseMediumGap+11.1%
Houston Dynamo Rest
7 days
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
6 days

Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes: result, form and history

Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes drew 0-0 in the Major League Soccer on 30 Aug 2026. Houston Dynamo had gone in with the better form, having won 4 of their previous five against none for San Jose Earthquakes.

Houston Dynamo have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.6 goals a game. Referee P. Lauziere is among the more lenient referees we track, at 3.7 cards a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.61
X
22%4.23
2
17%4.88
Double Chance
1X
83%1.18
X2
39%2.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.53
No
29%2.40
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.84 + 1.11 = 2.95
Over 1.5
85%1.13
Over 2.5
66%1.48
Over 3.5
38%2.23
Under 1.5
15%5.50
Under 2.5
34%2.60
Under 3.5
62%1.65
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.3 = 10
Over 8.5
66%1.32
Over 9.5
53%1.54
Over 10.5
39%1.85
Under 8.5
34%3.10
Under 9.5
47%2.30
Under 10.5
61%1.83
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.1 + 2.2 = 3.3
Over 3.5
47%1.45
Over 4.5
24%2.00
Under 3.5
53%2.59
Under 4.5
76%1.77

Match Events

58'R. Roberts
61'F. Negri INI. Aliyu out
69'D. Romney INM. Floriani out
73'P. Marie INP. Judd out
73'B. Leroux INN. Fernandez out
75'H. Herrera IND. McGuire out
82'J. Ricketts INJ. Jasinski out
83'Felipe Andrade IND. Holmes out
90+1'E. Lowen INVitor Costa out
90+1'J. McGlynn INA. Bouzat out
90+1'N. Tsakiris INI. Harkes out

Lineups

Houston Dynamo
4-2-3-1Coach: Ben Olsen
San Jose Earthquakes
3-4-2-1Coach: Bruce Arena
Avg rating6.89
Avg rating6.96
Jonathan Bond8.731J. Bond
Felipe Andrade6.736F. Andrade
Antônio Carlos7.73A. Carlos
Agustin Resch6.334A. Resch
Franco Negri6.921F. Negri
ArturC7.26Artur
Héctor Herrera7.016H. Herrera
Lawrence Ennali6.911L. Ennali
Jack McGlynn6.68J. McGlynn
Guilherme6.620Guilherme
Mateusz Bogusz6.719M. Bogusz
Angus Gunn6.61A. Gunn
Daniel Munie7.55D. Munie
Dave Romney7.24D. Romney
Reid Roberts6.918R. Roberts
Paul Marie6.73P. Marie
Ronaldo VieiraC7.714R. Vieira
Beau Leroux7.334B. Leroux
Jamar Ricketts7.02J. Ricketts
Niko Tsakiris6.910N. Tsakiris
Eduard Löwen6.623E. Löwen
Ousseni Bouda6.97O. Bouda

Houston Dynamo Substitutes

24Ibrahim Aliyu61'for F. Negri6.5
23Duncan McGuire75'for H. Herrera6.5
14Duane Holmes83'for Felipe Andrade6.9
30Agustín Bouzat90+1'for J. McGlynn6.2
26Blake Gillingham
13Sam Vines
28Erik Sviatchenko
18Diadié Samassékou
17Nick Markanich

San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes

25Max Floriani69'for D. Romney6.9
20Nick Fernandez73'for B. Leroux7.0
19Preston Judd73'for P. Marie6.9
17Jack Jasinski82'for J. Ricketts6.9
87Vitor Costa90+1'for E. Lowen6.6
6Ian Harkes90+1'for N. Tsakiris6.7
31Francesco Montali
16Jack Skahan
9Luka Jovanovic

Match Stats

Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
42%Ball Possession58%
7Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
10Total Shots11
0Shots on Goal4
6Shots off Goal1
5Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box4
4Blocked Shots6
8Fouls9
1Offsides0
4Goalkeeper Saves0
381Total Passes525
315Passes Accurate466
83%Pass Accuracy89%

Team Comparison

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
1602Elo Rating 1610
1.25Attack 1.30
1.44Defense 1.38
23%Hit Rate 27%
7.8Shots per Game 13.7
1.6Shots on Target 4.0
3.9Corners per Game 5.4
2.6Cards per Game 2.1

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.95 goals
📈BTTS Trend90% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo6Wins · 60%
Draws220%
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2Wins · 20%
3.6Avg Goals
90%Both teams scored9 of 10
80%3+ goals8 of 10

Previous meetings

Major League Soccer24/08/2025
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
12
Major League Soccer25/05/2025
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
33
Major League Soccer18/07/2024
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
01
Major League Soccer31/03/2024
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
21
Major League Soccer22/06/2023
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
41
Major League Soccer02/04/2023
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
21
Major League Soccer18/07/2022
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
12
Major League Soccer10/04/2022
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
43
Major League Soccer25/07/2021
San Jose EarthquakesHouston Dynamo
11
Major League Soccer17/04/2021
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes
21

Referee Profile

P. Lauziere70 matches analysed

3.68Cards per match
3.59Yellow cards per match
0.09Red cards per match
22.9Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 8% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps34197874:34+4064WWWLW
2FC DallasFC Dallas341610862:51+1158WDLWD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City341591059:48+1154WLLLL
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3414101057:51+652LWDLD
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo341491143:43051LLWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3412111152:40+1247LLDDW
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers341371462:61+146WWWWD
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3412101244:46-246WLLDD
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake341361553:52+145WLWWW
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3411111256:58-244WWWDW
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3411111250:57-744LWDDW
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids341271547:50-343LLDWD
13San DiegoSan Diego349111457:63-638LWLDD
14AustinAustin348101642:65-2334LLLWL
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City34752240:81-4126WDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps3474:3464
2FC DallasFC Dallas3462:5158
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City3459:4854
4San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes3457:5152
5Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo3443:4351
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC3452:4047
7Portland TimbersPortland Timbers3462:6146
8Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders3444:4646
9Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake3453:5245
10Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC3456:5844
11Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy3450:5744
12Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids3447:5043
13San DiegoSan Diego3457:6338
14AustinAustin3442:6534
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City3440:8126
Promotion

About the Houston Dynamo vs San Jose Earthquakes forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Houston Dynamo and San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer table

San Jose Earthquakes and Houston Dynamo are close in the Major League Soccer table, 4th and 5th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Houston Dynamo 43-43, San Jose Earthquakes 57-51. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.