Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Q2 Stadium, Austin 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalNEUTRALModel43%RiskMediumGap+1.7%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.75
SignalGOODModel41%RiskMediumGap+11.4%
Austin Rest
6 days
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.24
X
30%3.75
2
28%2.88
Double Chance
1X
72%1.40
X2
58%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%1.46
No
37%2.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.17 = 2.77
Over 1.5
78%1.16
Over 2.5
56%1.52
Over 3.5
35%2.32
Under 1.5
22%5.13
Under 2.5
44%2.46
Under 3.5
65%1.60
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.5
62%1.33
Over 9.5
51%1.57
Over 10.5
36%1.98
Under 8.5
38%2.97
Under 9.5
49%2.23
Under 10.5
64%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%1.65
Over 4.5
42%2.20
Under 3.5
38%2.15
Under 4.5
58%1.62

Match Events

8'Beau LerouxAssist: N.Tsakiris
12'Goal cancelledBesard Sabovic
61'Jon Gallagher INŽan Kolmanič out
61'Oleksandr Svatok INJon Bell out
65'Reid RobertsFoul
69'Ousseni Bouda INPreston Judd out
70'Jorge Alastuey INChristian Ramirez out
70'Joseph Rosales INPrzemyslaw Płacheta out
75'Mikkel Desler INBrendan Hines-Ike out
81'Benjamin Kikanovic INJack Jasinski out
81'Jamar Ricketts INVitor Costa out
81'N.Tsakiris INIan Harkes out
87'Brad StuverDissent
88'Eduard Löwen INNick Fernandez out
90+6'Guilherme BiroAssist: Christian Ramirez

Lineups

Austin
3-4-3Coach: D. Arnaud
San Jose Earthquakes
3-4-2-1Coach: B. Arena
B. Stuver1B. StuverB. Stuver
M. Desler3M. DeslerM. Desler
O. Svatok5O. SvatokO. Svatok
Guilherme Biro29G. BiroGuilherme Biro
J. Rosales30J. RosalesJ. Rosales
Ervin Torres38E. TorresErvin Torres
B. Šabović14B. ŠabovićB. Šabović
J. Gallagher17J. GallagherJ. Gallagher
F. Torres11F. TorresF. Torres
B. Vázquez9B. VázquezB. Vázquez
Jorge Alastuey24J. AlastueyJorge Alastuey
A. Gunn1A. GunnA. Gunn
M. Floriani25M. FlorianiM. Floriani
D. Munie5D. MunieD. Munie
R. Roberts18R. RobertsR. Roberts
B. Kikanovic28B. KikanovicB. Kikanovic
R. Vieira14R. VieiraR. Vieira
Beau Leroux34B. LerouxBeau Leroux
J. Ricketts2J. RickettsJ. Ricketts
N. Tsakiris10N. TsakirisN. Tsakiris
E. Löwen23E. LöwenE. Löwen
O. Bouda7O. BoudaO. Bouda

Austin Substitutes

15J. BellD
32M. BurtonM
35M. ĐorđevićD
4B. Hines-IkeD
23Ž. KolmaničD
12D. LasG
77P. PłachetaM
21C. RamirezF
6Ilie SánchezM

San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes

16J. SkahanM
4D. RomneyD
31Francesco MontaliG
19P. JuddF
9L. JovanovićF
6I. HarkesM
20N. FernandezM
87Vítor CostaD
17Jack JasinskiD

Match Stats

AustinSan Jose Earthquakes
53%Ball Possession47%
7Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal1
14Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box0
6Blocked Shots6
10Fouls12
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
472Total Passes426
418Passes Accurate359
89%Pass Accuracy84%

Team Comparison

AustinAustin
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
1584Elo Rating 1591
1.29Attack 1.29
1.86Defense 1.64
44%Hit Rate 50%
9.6Shots per Game 10.5
2.2Shots on Target 3.5
4.8Corners per Game 3.4
2.6Cards per Game 2.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

AustinAustin
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0 in second half)

League Table

Major League Soccer 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps25154656:23+3349WLWLW
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo26135834:30+444DLWDD
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City26128645:36+944WWDWD
4FC DallasFC Dallas26128649:42+744DWWWD
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes26126846:38+842DWWDD
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC27118843:29+1441DLWDD
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids261131236:35+136DWDLW
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy27891034:42-833WDLWL
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers26951247:48-132LLDWL
10San DiegoSan Diego26871144:44031DLLLW
11AustinAustin26791032:44-1230DWDDW
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake25851237:42-529LLLDL
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2478928:33-529DDDDD
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC26781139:46-729LLLLD
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City25531729:63-3418LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver Whitecaps2556:2349
2Houston DynamoHouston Dynamo2634:3044
3St. Louis CitySt. Louis City2645:3644
4FC DallasFC Dallas2649:4244
5San Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes2646:3842
6Los Angeles FCLos Angeles FC2743:2941
7Colorado RapidsColorado Rapids2636:3536
8Los Angeles GalaxyLos Angeles Galaxy2734:4233
9Portland TimbersPortland Timbers2647:4832
10San DiegoSan Diego2644:4431
11AustinAustin2632:4430
12Real Salt LakeReal Salt Lake2537:4229
13Seattle SoundersSeattle Sounders2428:3329
14Minnesota United FCMinnesota United FC2639:4629
15Sporting Kansas CitySporting Kansas City2529:6318
Promotion

Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Major League Soccer

ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

San Jose Earthquakes have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Austin and San Jose Earthquakes have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.7 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.