Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 23
Q2 Stadium, Austin 06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.40
SignalGOODModel43%SurpriseMediumGap+1.7%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel41%SurpriseMediumGap+11.4%
Austin Rest
6 days
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
7 days
Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes: the result in context
Austin and San Jose Earthquakes drew 1-1 in the Major League Soccer on 6 Sep 2026. Austin had gone in with the better form, having won 2 of their previous five against none for San Jose Earthquakes.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 4.0 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 10.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
142%2.24
X30%3.75
228%2.88
Double Chance
1X72%1.40
X258%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes63%1.46
No37%2.56
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.6 + 1.17 = 2.77
Over 1.578%1.16
Over 2.556%1.52
Over 3.535%2.32
Under 1.522%5.13
Under 2.544%2.46
Under 3.565%1.60
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.5 + 4.2 = 9.6
Over 8.562%1.33
Over 9.551%1.57
Over 10.536%1.98
Under 8.538%2.97
Under 9.549%2.23
Under 10.564%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.562%1.65
Over 4.542%2.20
Under 3.538%2.15
Under 4.558%1.62
Match Events
8'Beau LerouxAssist: N.Tsakiris
12'Goal cancelledBesard Sabovic
61'Jon Gallagher INŽan Kolmanič out
61'Oleksandr Svatok INJon Bell out
65'Reid RobertsFoul
69'Ousseni Bouda INPreston Judd out
70'Jorge Alastuey INChristian Ramirez out
70'Joseph Rosales INPrzemyslaw Płacheta out
75'Mikkel Desler INBrendan Hines-Ike out
81'Benjamin Kikanovic INJack Jasinski out
81'Jamar Ricketts INVitor Costa out
81'N.Tsakiris INIan Harkes out
87'Brad StuverDissent
88'Eduard Löwen INNick Fernandez out
90+6'Guilherme BiroAssist: Christian Ramirez
Lineups
AustinSan Jose Earthquakes
3-4-2-1Coach: B. ArenaAvg ratingAvg rating
1B. Stuver
3M. Desler
5O. Svatok
29G. Biro
30J. Rosales
38E. Torres
14B. Šabović
17J. Gallagher
11F. Torres
9B. Vázquez
24J. Alastuey
1A. Gunn
25M. Floriani
5D. Munie
18R. Roberts
28B. Kikanovic
14R. Vieira
34B. Leroux
2J. Ricketts
10N. Tsakiris
23E. Löwen
7O. BoudaAustin Substitutes
15J. Bell61'for Oleksandr Svatok
32M. Burton
35M. Đorđević
4B. Hines-Ike75'for Mikkel Desler
23Ž. Kolmanič61'for Jon Gallagher
12D. Las
77P. Płacheta70'for Joseph Rosales
21C. Ramirez70'for Jorge Alastuey
6Ilie Sánchez
San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes
16J. Skahan
4D. Romney
31Francesco Montali
19P. Judd69'for Ousseni Bouda
9L. Jovanović
6I. Harkes81'for N.Tsakiris
20N. Fernandez88'for Eduard Löwen
87Vítor Costa81'for Jamar Ricketts
17Jack Jasinski81'for Benjamin Kikanovic
Match Stats
AustinSan Jose Earthquakes 53%Ball Possession47%
7Corner Kicks7
1Yellow Cards1
16Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal3
7Shots off Goal1
14Shots Inside Box10
2Shots Outside Box0
6Blocked Shots6
10Fouls12
3Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves2
472Total Passes426
418Passes Accurate359
89%Pass Accuracy84%
Team Comparison
AustinSan Jose Earthquakes1520Elo Rating 1610
1.19Attack 1.30
0.51Defense 1.38
19%Hit Rate 27%
13.1Shots per Game 13.7
4.6Shots on Target 4.0
5.5Corners per Game 5.4
1.4Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Austin- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
San Jose Earthquakes- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Austin2Wins · 20%Draws660%
San Jose Earthquakes2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%4.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored10 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
23/04/2026San Jose EarthquakesAustin51
19/10/2025San Jose EarthquakesAustin21
31/08/2025AustinSan Jose Earthquakes31
09/07/2025San Jose EarthquakesAustin2141
26/05/2024San Jose EarthquakesAustin11
07/04/2024AustinSan Jose Earthquakes43
22/10/2023San Jose EarthquakesAustin11
30/04/2023AustinSan Jose Earthquakes22
07/08/2022AustinSan Jose Earthquakes33
04/04/2022San Jose EarthquakesAustin22
Recent Form
Austin5W1D4L
30/08/2026
Portland TimbersAustinAustin
Philadelphia Union
Seattle SoundersAustinAustin
FC Dallas
Colorado RapidsAustin
Houston DynamoAustin
Portland TimbersAustin12
W27/08/2026
TolucaAustin
23/08/2026TolucaAustin20
LAustinPhiladelphia Union11
D20/08/2026Seattle SoundersAustin12
W17/08/2026AustinFC Dallas12
L14/08/2026
Club AmericaAustin
Club AmericaAustin5161
W10/08/2026Austin
Puebla
AustinPuebla30
W07/08/2026Austin
Club Tijuana
02/08/2026AustinClub Tijuana20
WColorado RapidsAustin10
L26/07/2026Houston DynamoAustin30
LSan Jose Earthquakes1W2D7L
30/08/2026Houston DynamoSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
Los Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose Earthquakes
St. Louis City
FC CincinnatiSan Jose EarthquakesSan Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes
Orlando City SC
Houston DynamoSan Jose Earthquakes00
D23/08/2026San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FC15
L20/08/2026Los Angeles GalaxySan Jose Earthquakes10
L16/08/2026San Jose EarthquakesSt. Louis City13
L02/08/2026FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes42
L26/07/2026San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy11
D23/07/2026San Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC04
L04/07/2026San Jose EarthquakesClub Tijuana
San Jose EarthquakesClub Tijuana12
L24/05/2026Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes13
W21/05/2026Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes20
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74:34 | +40 | 64 | WWWLW |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62:51 | +11 | 58 | WDLWD |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 54 | WLLLL |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57:51 | +6 | 52 | LWDLD |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43:43 | 0 | 51 | LLWDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52:40 | +12 | 47 | LLDDW |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62:61 | +1 | 46 | WWWWD |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 46 | WLLDD |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53:52 | +1 | 45 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56:58 | -2 | 44 | WWWDW |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:57 | -7 | 44 | LWDDW |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 43 | LLDWD |
| 13 |  San Diego | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57:63 | -6 | 38 | LWLDD |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42:65 | -23 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40:81 | -41 | 26 | WDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 74:34 | 64 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 62:51 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | 59:48 | 54 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 57:51 | 52 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 43:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 52:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 62:61 | 46 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 44:46 | 46 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 53:52 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 56:58 | 44 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 50:57 | 44 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 47:50 | 43 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | 57:63 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 42:65 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 40:81 | 26 |
Promotion
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This match
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About the Austin vs San Jose Earthquakes forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Austin and San Jose Earthquakes in the Major League Soccer table
The table shows a wide gap: San Jose Earthquakes are 4th in the Major League Soccer, while Austin sit 14th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: Austin 42-65, San Jose Earthquakes 57-51. The full standings are on the Major League Soccer Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.