FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 18
TQL Stadium, Cincinnati· V. Rivas 02/08/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.64SignalGOODModel46%RiskMediumGap+13.1%
FC Cincinnati Rest
7 days
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
6 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%1.85
X21%4.33
233%3.50
Double Chance
1X67%1.29
X254%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.29
No39%3.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.31 = 2.77
Over 1.581%1.06
Over 2.564%1.28
Over 3.537%1.73
Under 1.519%8.00
Under 2.536%3.55
Under 3.563%2.10
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.558%1.45
Over 9.546%1.73
Over 10.530%2.15
Under 8.542%2.60
Under 9.554%2.00
Under 10.570%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.8 = 5.3
Over 3.574%1.35
Over 4.557%1.83
Under 3.526%2.88
Under 4.543%1.86
Match Events
20'K. Smith
26'D. MunieAssist: T. Werner
34'B. J. Ramirez LeonAssist: Evander
46'N. Fernandez INI. Harkes out
57'T. WernerAssist: P. Judd
60'Vitor Costa INJ. Ricketts out
70'K. Mboma INT. Barlow out
70'K. Smith INT. Hadebe out
73'O. Bouda INJ. Skahan out
79'T. BarlowAssist: Evander
81'B. Kikanovic INJ. Jasinski out
81'R. Vieira IND. Romney out
82'EvanderAssist: O. Nwobodo
87'P. Bucha
88'E. Echenique INA. Powell out
88'O. Nwobodo INT. Anunga out
89'M. Robinson
90+3'K. Denkey INA. Jabbari out
90+6'A. JabbariAssist: T. Barlow
Lineups
FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes
Coach: Bruce ArenaFC Cincinnati Starting XI
18Roman CelentanoG
24Kyle SmithD
12Miles RobinsonD
11Samuel GidiD
66Ender EcheniqueM
20Pavel BuchaM
5Obinna NwobodoM
29Bryan RamirezM
10EvanderF
17Kenji Mboma DemF
9Kévin DenkeyF
San Jose Earthquakes Starting XI
1Angus GunnG
87Vitor CostaD
18Reid RobertsD
5Daniel MunieD
28Benjamin KikanovićD
34Beau LerouxM
14Ronaldo VieiraM
20Nick FernandezM
11Timo WernerF
19Preston JuddF
7Ousseni BoudaF
FC Cincinnati Substitutes
13Evan LouroG
4Nick HagglundD
88Andrei ChirilaD
15Teenage HadebeD
2Alvas PowellD
27Tah AnungaM
99Ayoub JabbariF
16Tom BarlowF
14Kristian FletcherF
San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes
31Francesco MontaliG
17Jack JasinskiD
4Dave RomneyD
2Jamar RickettsD
79Darius JohnsonF
6Ian HarkesM
16Jack SkahanM
3Paul MarieD
9Luka JovanovicF
Match Stats
FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes 60%Ball Possession40%
9Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards0
23Total Shots12
11Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box11
9Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots4
12Fouls6
2Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves7
421Total Passes246
Team Comparison
FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes1636Elo Rating 1591
1.26Attack 1.29
0.00Defense 1.64
14%Hit Rate 50%
15.8Shots per Game 10.5
6.6Shots on Target 3.5
6.0Corners per Game 3.4
2.2Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
FC Cincinnati- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
San Jose Earthquakes- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0 in second half)
Head to Head
Based on 2 historical meetings
FC Cincinnati 100%Draw 0%0% San Jose Earthquakes
6Avg Goals
54%BTTS Rate
100%Over 2.5
Recent Form
FC Cincinnati3W1D1L
26/07/2026
Columbus CrewFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati21
L23/07/2026FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps43
W11/07/2026FC Cincinnati
Burnley
FC CincinnatiBurnley31
W24/05/2026FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC CincinnatiOrlando City SC62
W17/05/2026
San DiegoFC Cincinnati
San DiegoFC Cincinnati33
DSan Jose Earthquakes1W1D3L
26/07/2026San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy11
D23/07/2026San Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC04
L04/07/2026San Jose Earthquakes
Club Tijuana
San Jose EarthquakesClub Tijuana12
L24/05/2026
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes13
W21/05/2026
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes20
LReferee Profile
V. Rivas · 104 matches analysed
4.5Avg Yellows
4.7Avg Cards
24.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 65% of referees analysed
League Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 56:23 | +33 | 49 | WLWLW |
| 2 |  Houston Dynamo | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 34:30 | +4 | 44 | DLWDD |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 45:36 | +9 | 44 | WWDWD |
| 4 |  FC Dallas | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 49:42 | +7 | 44 | DWWWD |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 46:38 | +8 | 42 | DWWDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 43:29 | +14 | 41 | DLWDD |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 11 | 3 | 12 | 36:35 | +1 | 36 | DWDLW |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 34:42 | -8 | 33 | WDLWL |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 47:48 | -1 | 32 | LLDWL |
| 10 | San Diego | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 42:42 | 0 | 30 | LLLWW |
| 11 |  Austin | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 32:44 | -12 | 30 | DWDDW |
| 12 |  Real Salt Lake | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 37:42 | -5 | 29 | LLLDL |
| 13 |  Seattle Sounders | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 28:33 | -5 | 29 | DDDDD |
| 14 |  Minnesota United FC | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 39:46 | -7 | 29 | LLLLD |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 29:63 | -34 | 18 | LWLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 25 | 56:23 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo | 26 | 34:30 | 44 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 26 | 45:36 | 44 |
| 4 | FC Dallas | 26 | 49:42 | 44 |
| 5 | San Jose Earthquakes | 26 | 46:38 | 42 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 27 | 43:29 | 41 |
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 26 | 36:35 | 36 |
| 8 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 34:42 | 33 |
| 9 | Portland Timbers | 26 | 47:48 | 32 |
| 10 | San Diego | 25 | 42:42 | 30 |
| 11 | Austin | 26 | 32:44 | 30 |
| 12 | Real Salt Lake | 25 | 37:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Seattle Sounders | 24 | 28:33 | 29 |
| 14 | Minnesota United FC | 26 | 39:46 | 29 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 25 | 29:63 | 18 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 53:21 | +32 | 57 | WDLDW |
| 2 |  New England Revolution | 26 | 14 | 4 | 8 | 45:33 | +12 | 46 | WWWLW |
| 3 |  Inter Miami | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 61:46 | +15 | 45 | DDDWL |
| 4 |  Charlotte | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 47:37 | +10 | 43 | WDWDW |
| 5 |  Chicago Fire | 25 | 11 | 6 | 8 | 45:38 | +7 | 39 | LLDDD |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 50:42 | +8 | 36 | WWWWW |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 26 | 10 | 4 | 12 | 46:60 | -14 | 34 | LWWWD |
| 8 |  New York Red Bulls | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 34:48 | -14 | 33 | WWLDL |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 54:61 | -7 | 33 | DDLLD |
| 10 |  New York City FC | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 39:34 | +5 | 32 | LWLDD |
| 11 |  DC United | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 31:39 | -8 | 29 | LDWDL |
| 12 |  Toronto FC | 26 | 6 | 11 | 9 | 39:49 | -10 | 29 | LLWDD |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 37:42 | -5 | 26 | WLLWL |
| 14 |  Atlanta United FC | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 30:43 | -13 | 26 | WDLDL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 26 | 5 | 6 | 15 | 31:53 | -22 | 21 | LLLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 26 | 53:21 | 57 |
| 2 | New England Revolution | 26 | 45:33 | 46 |
| 3 | Inter Miami | 25 | 61:46 | 45 |
| 4 | Charlotte | 26 | 47:37 | 43 |
| 5 | Chicago Fire | 25 | 45:38 | 39 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 26 | 50:42 | 36 |
| 7 | Orlando City SC | 26 | 46:60 | 34 |
| 8 | New York Red Bulls | 26 | 34:48 | 33 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 25 | 54:61 | 33 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 26 | 39:34 | 32 |
| 11 | DC United | 25 | 31:39 | 29 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 26 | 39:49 | 29 |
| 13 | Columbus Crew | 26 | 37:42 | 26 |
| 14 | Atlanta United FC | 26 | 30:43 | 26 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 26 | 31:53 | 21 |
Promotion
FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction
Our AI model has analysed this Major League Soccer fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Major League Soccer
ScorePredicts covers USA football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.
Key Factors for This Match
San Jose Earthquakes have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes have met 2 times recently, averaging 6 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.