FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes Prediction
USA · Regular Season - 18
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.64
SignalGOODModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+13.1%
FC Cincinnati Rest
7 days
San Jose Earthquakes Rest
6 days
FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes: the result in context
FC Cincinnati beat San Jose Earthquakes 4-2 in the Major League Soccer on 2 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: FC Cincinnati had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for San Jose Earthquakes.
San Jose Earthquakes tend to win more corners, 5.4 a game to 3.4 for FC Cincinnati.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%1.85
X21%4.33
233%3.50
Double Chance
1X67%1.29
X254%1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.29
No39%3.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.46 + 1.31 = 2.77
Over 1.581%1.06
Over 2.564%1.28
Over 3.537%1.73
Under 1.519%8.00
Under 2.536%3.55
Under 3.563%2.10
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.2 = 9.4
Over 8.558%1.45
Over 9.546%1.73
Over 10.530%2.15
Under 8.542%2.60
Under 9.554%2.00
Under 10.570%1.64
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.5 + 2.8 = 5.3
Over 3.574%1.35
Over 4.557%1.83
Under 3.526%2.88
Under 4.543%1.86
Match Events
20'K. Smith
26'D. MunieAssist: T. Werner
34'B. J. Ramirez LeonAssist: Evander
46'N. Fernandez INI. Harkes out
57'T. WernerAssist: P. Judd
60'Vitor Costa INJ. Ricketts out
70'K. Mboma INT. Barlow out
70'K. Smith INT. Hadebe out
73'O. Bouda INJ. Skahan out
79'T. BarlowAssist: Evander
81'B. Kikanovic INJ. Jasinski out
81'R. Vieira IND. Romney out
82'EvanderAssist: O. Nwobodo
87'P. Bucha
88'E. Echenique INA. Powell out
88'O. Nwobodo INT. Anunga out
89'M. Robinson
90+3'K. Denkey INA. Jabbari out
90+6'A. JabbariAssist: T. Barlow
Lineups
FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes
Coach: Bruce ArenaFC Cincinnati Starting XI
18Roman Celentano
24Kyle Smith20'70'replaced by T. Hadebe
12Miles Robinson89'
11Samuel Gidi
66Ender Echenique88'replaced by A. Powell
20Pavel Bucha87'
5Obinna Nwobodo88'replaced by T. Anunga
29Bryan Ramirez34'
10Evander82'
17Kenji Mboma Dem70'replaced by T. Barlow
9Kévin Denkey90+3'replaced by A. Jabbari
San Jose Earthquakes Starting XI
1Angus Gunn
87Vitor Costa60'replaced by J. Ricketts
18Reid Roberts
5Daniel Munie26'
28Benjamin Kikanović81'replaced by J. Jasinski
34Beau Leroux
14Ronaldo Vieira81'replaced by D. Romney
20Nick Fernandez46'replaced by I. Harkes
11Timo Werner57'
19Preston Judd
7Ousseni Bouda73'replaced by J. Skahan
FC Cincinnati Substitutes
13Evan Louro
4Nick Hagglund
88Andrei Chirila
15Teenage Hadebe70'for K. Smith
2Alvas Powell88'for E. Echenique
27Tah Anunga88'for O. Nwobodo
99Ayoub Jabbari90+3'for K. Denkey90+6'
16Tom Barlow70'for K. Mboma79'
14Kristian Fletcher
San Jose Earthquakes Substitutes
31Francesco Montali
17Jack Jasinski81'for B. Kikanovic
4Dave Romney81'for R. Vieira
2Jamar Ricketts60'for Vitor Costa
79Darius Johnson
6Ian Harkes46'for N. Fernandez
16Jack Skahan73'for O. Bouda
3Paul Marie
9Luka Jovanovic
Match Stats
FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes 60%Ball Possession40%
9Corner Kicks6
3Yellow Cards0
23Total Shots12
11Shots on Goal2
8Shots off Goal6
14Shots Inside Box11
9Shots Outside Box1
4Blocked Shots4
12Fouls6
2Offsides2
0Goalkeeper Saves7
421Total Passes246
Team Comparison
FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes1637Elo Rating 1610
1.45Attack 1.30
2.09Defense 1.38
63%Hit Rate 27%
12.5Shots per Game 13.7
4.0Shots on Target 4.0
3.4Corners per Game 5.4
1.0Cards per Game 2.1
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
FC Cincinnati- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
San Jose Earthquakes- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 2 meetings, all competitions
FC Cincinnati2Wins · 100%Draws00%
San Jose Earthquakes0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%6.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
100%3+ goals2 of 2
Previous meetings
16/06/2024San Jose EarthquakesFC Cincinnati24
11/09/2022FC CincinnatiSan Jose Earthquakes60
Recent Form
FC Cincinnati5W3D2L
26/07/2026
Columbus CrewFC CincinnatiFC Cincinnati
Vancouver Whitecaps
Columbus CrewFC Cincinnati21
L23/07/2026FC CincinnatiVancouver Whitecaps43
W11/07/2026FC Cincinnati
Burnley
FC CincinnatiBurnley31
W24/05/2026FC Cincinnati
Orlando City SC
FC CincinnatiOrlando City SC62
W17/05/2026
San DiegoFC Cincinnati
San DiegoFC Cincinnati33
D14/05/2026FC Cincinnati
Inter Miami
FC CincinnatiInter Miami35
L10/05/2026
CharlotteFC Cincinnati
CharlotteFC Cincinnati22
D03/05/2026
Chicago FireFC Cincinnati
Chicago FireFC Cincinnati23
W26/04/2026FC Cincinnati
New York Red Bulls
FC CincinnatiNew York Red Bulls20
W23/04/2026
New York City FCFC Cincinnati
New York City FCFC Cincinnati44
DSan Jose Earthquakes2W3D5L
26/07/2026San Jose Earthquakes
Los Angeles GalaxySan Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC
San Jose EarthquakesLos Angeles Galaxy11
D23/07/2026San Jose EarthquakesOrlando City SC04
L04/07/2026San Jose Earthquakes
Club Tijuana
San Jose EarthquakesClub Tijuana12
L24/05/2026
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes
Portland TimbersSan Jose Earthquakes13
W21/05/2026
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes
Colorado RapidsSan Jose Earthquakes20
L17/05/2026San Jose Earthquakes
FC Dallas
San Jose EarthquakesFC Dallas23
L14/05/2026
Seattle SoundersSan Jose Earthquakes
Seattle SoundersSan Jose Earthquakes32
L10/05/2026San Jose EarthquakesVancouver Whitecaps
San Jose EarthquakesVancouver Whitecaps11
D02/05/2026
Toronto FCSan Jose Earthquakes
Toronto FCSan Jose Earthquakes11
D29/04/2026San Jose Earthquakes
Minnesota United FC
San Jose EarthquakesMinnesota United FC42
WReferee Profile
4.75Cards per match
4.53Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
24.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.75 cards a match, 0.45 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).
Cards come from 139 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Western Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 74:34 | +40 | 64 | WWWLW |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 62:51 | +11 | 58 | WDLWD |
| 3 |  St. Louis City | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 59:48 | +11 | 54 | WLLLL |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 57:51 | +6 | 52 | LWDLD |
| 5 |  Houston Dynamo | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 43:43 | 0 | 51 | LLWDD |
| 6 |  Los Angeles FC | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 52:40 | +12 | 47 | LLDDW |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 62:61 | +1 | 46 | WWWWD |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 44:46 | -2 | 46 | WLLDD |
| 9 |  Real Salt Lake | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 53:52 | +1 | 45 | WLWWW |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 56:58 | -2 | 44 | WWWDW |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 50:57 | -7 | 44 | LWDDW |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 43 | LLDWD |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 57:63 | -6 | 38 | LWLDD |
| 14 |  Austin | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 42:65 | -23 | 34 | LLLWL |
| 15 |  Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 7 | 5 | 22 | 40:81 | -41 | 26 | WDLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 34 | 74:34 | 64 |
| 2 | FC Dallas | 34 | 62:51 | 58 |
| 3 | St. Louis City | 34 | 59:48 | 54 |
| 4 | San Jose Earthquakes | 34 | 57:51 | 52 |
| 5 | Houston Dynamo | 34 | 43:43 | 51 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC | 34 | 52:40 | 47 |
| 7 | Portland Timbers | 34 | 62:61 | 46 |
| 8 | Seattle Sounders | 34 | 44:46 | 46 |
| 9 | Real Salt Lake | 34 | 53:52 | 45 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 34 | 56:58 | 44 |
| 11 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 34 | 50:57 | 44 |
| 12 | Colorado Rapids | 34 | 47:50 | 43 |
| 13 | San Diego | 34 | 57:63 | 38 |
| 14 | Austin | 34 | 42:65 | 34 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 34 | 40:81 | 26 |
Eastern Conference
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Nashville SC | 34 | 23 | 8 | 3 | 71:25 | +46 | 77 | WWDWD |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 80:59 | +21 | 60 | DWDLW |
| 3 |  New England Revolution | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 55:47 | +8 | 58 | LLWWW |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 64:54 | +10 | 55 | LWDWL |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 66:51 | +15 | 54 | DWWLD |
| 6 |  Philadelphia Union | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 66:52 | +14 | 50 | WLDLD |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 14 | 5 | 15 | 59:52 | +7 | 47 | WWWWW |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 63:78 | -15 | 46 | WLDDW |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 67:75 | -8 | 46 | LWDWW |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 48:62 | -14 | 42 | WLLWL |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 49:45 | +4 | 42 | WDWDD |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 52:67 | -15 | 39 | LLWLW |
| 13 |  Atlanta United FC | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 | LWLLL |
| 14 |  DC United | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 39:61 | -22 | 33 | LLLLL |
| 15 |  CF Montreal | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 37:69 | -32 | 26 | LDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 34 | 71:25 | 77 |
| 2 | Inter Miami | 34 | 80:59 | 60 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 34 | 55:47 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 64:54 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte | 34 | 66:51 | 54 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 34 | 66:52 | 50 |
| 7 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 59:52 | 47 |
| 8 | Orlando City SC | 34 | 63:78 | 46 |
| 9 | FC Cincinnati | 34 | 67:75 | 46 |
| 10 | New York Red Bulls | 34 | 48:62 | 42 |
| 11 | New York City FC | 34 | 49:45 | 42 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 34 | 52:67 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 34 | 43:60 | 33 |
| 14 | DC United | 34 | 39:61 | 33 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 34 | 37:69 | 26 |
Promotion
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This match
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- Inter Miami vs Columbus Crew 02/08/26
- Vancouver Whitecaps vs Los Angeles FC 02/08/26
- Philadelphia Union vs Atlanta United FC 02/08/26
- New York Red Bulls vs Orlando City SC 02/08/26
About the FC Cincinnati vs San Jose Earthquakes forecast
The forecasts for this Major League Soccer match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
About Major League Soccer
More Major League Soccer fixtures and forecasts are on the Major League Soccer Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
FC Cincinnati and San Jose Earthquakes have met only 2 times recently, averaging 6.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.