Santa Fe vs Once Caldas Prediction
Colombia · Clausura - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
74%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.28
SignalGOODModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-3.7%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.45
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+8.1%
Santa Fe Rest
3 days
Once Caldas Rest
3 days
Santa Fe vs Once Caldas: the result in context
Santa Fe and Once Caldas drew 2-2 in the Primera A on 3 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Santa Fe have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 1.6 goals a game. Once Caldas tend to win more corners, 7.0 a game to 4.6 for Santa Fe.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
146%2.10
X28%3.17
226%3.52
Double Chance
1X74%1.28
X254%1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes53%1.83
No47%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.19 + 0.97 = 2.16
Over 1.568%1.33
Over 2.540%2.06
Over 3.521%3.70
Under 1.532%3.10
Under 2.560%1.72
Under 3.579%1.25
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.2 = 9.3
Over 8.557%1.60
Over 9.545%1.94
Over 10.529%2.45
Under 8.543%2.25
Under 9.555%1.77
Under 10.571%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2.7 = 5.1
Over 3.574%-
Over 4.557%-
Under 3.526%-
Under 4.543%-
Match Events
4'J. ObrianAssist: N. Bustos
41'J. Obrian
46'E. Torres INP. Gomez out
46'N. Bustos INA. Zapata out
46'J. Obrian INL. Palacios out
54'J. A. Zapata RamirezAssist: M. Barrios
57'O. Fernandez INF. Fagundez out
63'A. CorreaOG
66'A. Roa IND. Moreno out
79'K. D. Toscano Bassa INJ. Torres out
82'A. ColoradoAssist: A. Correa
84'A. Colorado
85'J. A. Zapata Ramirez INM. Zuleta out
85'M. Barrios INJ. Quinones out
85'A. Colorado INT. Rojas out
90'D. Torres INM. Lovera out
90+2'J. Angulo
Lineups
Santa FeOnce Caldas
4-1-4-1Coach: Hernan HerreraAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Mosquera
13H. Palacios
18E. Olivera
3V. Moreno
24J. Angulo
16D. Torres
6K. Toscano
77J. Obrian
19N. Bustos
8O. Fernández
C11H. Rodallega
99F. Parra
22J. David Cuesta
2J. Cardona
30D. Londoño
3A. Correa
23A. Colorado
29E. Torres
20A. Roa
C15J. Alvarado
7M. Barrios
14J. ZapataSanta Fe Substitutes
10Alexis Zapata46'for N. Bustos
14Luis Angel Palacios46'for J. Obrian
9Franco Fagúndez57'for O. Fernandez
7Jhojan Torres79'for K. D. Toscano Bassa
17Maximiliano Lovera90'for D. Torres
12Weibmar Asprilla
15Ivan Scarpeta
43Jean Caicedo
40Martin Palacios
Once Caldas Substitutes
9Pipe Gómez46'for E. Torres
17Dayro Moreno66'for A. Roa
42Jader Quinones85'for M. Barrios
19Tomas García85'for A. Colorado
28Mateo Zuleta85'for J. A. Zapata Ramirez
25Juan Gallego
16Juan Castaño
4Efraín Navarro
21Helieyker Guzman
Match Stats
Santa FeOnce Caldas 40%Ball Possession60%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots22
2Shots on Goal9
5Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box12
3Shots Outside Box10
1Blocked Shots9
4Fouls6
2Offsides3
7Goalkeeper Saves1
329Total Passes514
262Passes Accurate460
80%Pass Accuracy89%
Team Comparison
Santa FeOnce Caldas1617Elo Rating 1634
0.61Attack 1.41
1.58Defense 2.64
31%Hit Rate 64%
13.7Shots per Game 20.7
4.7Shots on Target 7.6
4.6Corners per Game 7.0
2.7Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Santa Fe- No tendency data available
Once Caldas- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Santa Fe6Wins · 60%Draws220%
Once Caldas2Wins · 20%
2Wins · 20%1.6Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored4 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
26/01/2026Once CaldasSanta Fe11
02/09/2025Santa FeOnce Caldas12
17/06/2025Santa FeOnce Caldas10
06/06/2025Once CaldasSanta Fe12
16/03/2025Once CaldasSanta Fe01
09/11/2024Santa FeOnce Caldas21
24/05/2024Santa FeOnce Caldas10
19/05/2024Once CaldasSanta Fe00
17/04/2024Once CaldasSanta Fe01
08/11/2023Santa FeOnce Caldas01
Recent Form
Santa Fe5W3D2L
31/07/2026
Caracas FCSanta Fe
Águilas DoradasSanta FeSanta FeCaracas FC
Caracas FCSanta Fe03
W26/07/2026Águilas DoradasSanta Fe21
L24/07/2026Santa FeCaracas FC20
W28/05/2026
PenarolSanta Fe
PenarolSanta Fe01
W24/05/2026
JuniorSanta Fe
JuniorSanta Fe5040
L20/05/2026Santa Fe
Platense
Santa FePlatense21
W17/05/2026Santa FeJunior
Santa FeJunior11
D13/05/2026Santa Fe
America de Cali
Santa FeAmerica de Cali40
W10/05/2026America de CaliSanta Fe
America de CaliSanta Fe11
D07/05/2026Santa Fe
Corinthians
Santa FeCorinthians11
DOnce Caldas5W4D1L
30/07/2026
EnvigadoOnce Caldas
27/07/2026EnvigadoOnce Caldas03
WOnce Caldas
Cucuta51
W22/07/2026Once CaldasEnvigado
Once CaldasEnvigado30
W14/05/2026JuniorOnce Caldas
JuniorOnce Caldas22
D11/05/2026Once CaldasJunior
Once CaldasJunior01
L02/05/2026Once Caldas
Atletico Nacional
Once CaldasAtletico Nacional10
W26/04/2026Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas
Águilas DoradasOnce Caldas22
D21/04/2026Once Caldas
Internacional de Bogota
Once CaldasInternacional de Bogota21
W10/04/2026
Deportivo PereiraOnce Caldas
Deportivo PereiraOnce Caldas00
D03/04/2026Once Caldas
Independiente Medellin
Once CaldasIndependiente Medellin11
DReferee Profile
5.96Cards per match
5.60Yellow cards per match
0.36Red cards per match
21.5Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.96 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.71).
Cards come from 151 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | +20 | 40 | LWWWD |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | +7 | 35 | DWWLW |
| 3 |  Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | +4 | 34 | LWWDL |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | +10 | 33 | LWWLW |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | +9 | 33 | DWDDD |
| 6 |  Deportes Tolima | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | +10 | 31 | LWLDW |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | +7 | 29 | WWDDL |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Deportivo Cali | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | +4 | 27 | WLDWW |
| 10 |  Millonarios | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | +8 | 26 | WLDLD |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | +2 | 26 | WWWLD |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 | DLLWL |
| 13 |  Bucaramanga | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | +6 | 23 | DLWLL |
| 14 |  Llaneros | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 | DLDWD |
| 15 |  Fortaleza FC | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 | LLWDD |
| 16 |  Jaguares | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Chico | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 | LLWLW |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 | DLWDW |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 | WLDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 19 | 35:15 | 40 |
| 2 | Junior | 19 | 31:24 | 35 |
| 3 | Deportivo Pasto | 19 | 29:25 | 34 |
| 4 | America de Cali | 19 | 25:15 | 33 |
| 5 | Once Caldas | 19 | 31:22 | 33 |
| 6 | Deportes Tolima | 19 | 27:17 | 31 |
| 7 | Santa Fe | 19 | 29:22 | 29 |
| 8 | Internacional de Bogota | 19 | 26:26 | 28 |
| 9 | Deportivo Cali | 19 | 20:16 | 27 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 19 | 31:23 | 26 |
| 11 | Independiente Medellin | 19 | 26:24 | 26 |
| 12 | Águilas Doradas | 19 | 20:25 | 26 |
| 13 | Bucaramanga | 19 | 26:20 | 23 |
| 14 | Llaneros | 19 | 17:20 | 22 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 19 | 22:27 | 22 |
| 16 | Jaguares | 19 | 20:33 | 18 |
| 17 | Alianza Valledupar | 19 | 13:27 | 17 |
| 18 | Chico | 19 | 15:32 | 17 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 19 | 22:35 | 16 |
| 20 | Deportivo Pereira | 19 | 15:32 | 10 |
Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 37:17 | +20 | 39 | LWWWD |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 31:12 | +19 | 36 | LWWLW |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 26:10 | +16 | 34 | WLDWW |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 8 | 8 | 2 | 30:17 | +13 | 32 | DLWLL |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:18 | +10 | 31 | WWDDL |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 28:25 | +3 | 29 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 25:16 | +9 | 27 | WLDLD |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 22:18 | +4 | 27 | DWDDD |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:21 | +2 | 26 | LWLDW |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 22:21 | +1 | 25 | DLLWL |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 19:26 | -7 | 24 | DLWDW |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 7 | 2 | 9 | 21:24 | -3 | 23 | DLDWD |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 22:25 | -3 | 20 | WLWDL |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 19 | DWWLW |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 15:29 | -14 | 19 | LLWLW |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 18:31 | -13 | 18 | DLLWD |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 3 | 8 | 7 | 16:26 | -10 | 17 | WLDLL |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 13:29 | -16 | 15 | LWWDL |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 13 | DLLWL |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 17:28 | -11 | 12 | LLWDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Atletico Nacional | 18 | 37:17 | 39 |
| 2 | America de Cali | 18 | 31:12 | 36 |
| 3 | Deportivo Cali | 18 | 26:10 | 34 |
| 4 | Bucaramanga | 18 | 30:17 | 32 |
| 5 | Santa Fe | 18 | 28:18 | 31 |
| 6 | Independiente Medellin | 18 | 28:25 | 29 |
| 7 | Millonarios | 18 | 25:16 | 27 |
| 8 | Once Caldas | 18 | 22:18 | 27 |
| 9 | Deportes Tolima | 18 | 23:21 | 26 |
| 10 | Águilas Doradas | 18 | 22:21 | 25 |
| 11 | Cucuta | 18 | 19:26 | 24 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 18 | 21:24 | 23 |
| 13 | Internacional de Bogota | 18 | 22:25 | 20 |
| 14 | Junior | 18 | 25:27 | 19 |
| 15 | Chico | 18 | 15:29 | 19 |
| 16 | Alianza Valledupar | 18 | 18:31 | 18 |
| 17 | Deportivo Pereira | 18 | 16:26 | 17 |
| 18 | Deportivo Pasto | 18 | 13:29 | 15 |
| 19 | Jaguares | 18 | 17:35 | 13 |
| 20 | Fortaleza FC | 18 | 17:28 | 12 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera A matches
- Independiente Medellin vs Deportivo Cali 02/08/26
- Junior vs Millonarios 02/08/26
- Jaguares vs Atletico Nacional 02/08/26
- America de Cali vs Chico 03/08/26
- Bucaramanga vs Cucuta 04/08/26
- Llaneros vs Fortaleza FC 04/08/26
- Deportes Tolima vs Independiente Medellin 05/08/26
- Millonarios vs Deportivo Pasto 05/08/26
About the Santa Fe vs Once Caldas forecast
The forecasts for this Primera A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Santa Fe and Once Caldas in the Primera A table
Once Caldas and Santa Fe are close in the Primera A table, 5th and 7th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Santa Fe 29-22, Once Caldas 31-22. The full standings are on the Primera A Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.