U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction

Claro Arena, Santiago de Chile·W. Roldan 19/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
6.8 / 10
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.50
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+8.6%
U. Catolica Rest
7 days
Estudiantes L.P. Rest
3 days

U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P.: the result in context

Estudiantes L.P. beat U. Catolica 3-0 in the CONMEBOL Libertadores on 19 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
30%3.15
X
30%3.00
2
40%2.45
Double Chance
1X
60%1.53
X2
70%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%2.07
No
55%1.70
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1 = 2.29
Over 1.5
70%1.50
Over 2.5
37%2.56
Over 3.5
18%5.00
Under 1.5
30%2.51
Under 2.5
63%1.49
Under 3.5
82%1.15
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 3.3 = 8.4
Over 8.5
58%1.89
Over 9.5
45%2.44
Over 10.5
34%3.32
Under 8.5
42%1.85
Under 9.5
55%1.46
Under 10.5
66%1.26
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.9 + 2.7 = 5.6
Over 3.5
75%1.16
Over 4.5
58%1.38
Under 3.5
25%4.25
Under 4.5
42%2.65

Match Events

35'T. Palacios INJ. Correa out
44'J. CorreaAssist: B. Rodriguez
45+4'G. BenedettiUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'D. Corral INC. Montes out
48'J. Valencia
50'A. FariasFoul
53'G. CarrilloAssist: E. Mancuso
59'A. Farias INS. Arancibia out
59'J. A. Martinez INM. Palavecino out
60'B. Rodriguez INE. Meza out
60'A. Castro INGabriel Neves out
60'J. Burgos INE. Cetre out
65'T. PalaciosHandling
71'M. Gomez INA. Perez out
79'J. Valencia INA. Canales out
82'E. Mancuso INV. Pierani out
83'G. CarrilloAssist: E. Cetre
86'L. PioviFoul

Lineups

U. Catolica
4-2-3-1Coach: Daniel Garnero
Estudiantes L.P.
4-2-3-1Coach: Alexander Medina
Avg rating6.46
Avg rating7.14
V. Bernedo1V. Bernedo
D. Gonzalez2D. Gonzalez
A. Farias6.05A. Farias
B. AmpueroC6.019B. Ampuero
E. Mena6.03E. Mena
F. Zuqui7.98F. Zuqui
J. Valencia6.920J. Valencia
D. Corral6.325D. Corral
J. A. Martinez6.214J. A. Martinez
M. Gomez6.322M. Gomez
J. Giani6.37J. Giani
F. Muslera6.916F. Muslera
E. Mancuso7.340E. Mancuso
S. Nunez7.24S. Nunez
T. Palacios7.324T. Palacios
G. Benedetti7.313G. Benedetti
L. Piovi7.521L. Piovi
A. Castro6.222A. Castro
B. Rodriguez7.031B. Rodriguez
T. Palacios6.510T. Palacios
J. Burgos6.317J. Burgos
G. CarrilloC9.59G. Carrillo

U. Catolica Substitutes

27D. Melo
17G. Medel
4I. Perez
39N. L’Huillier
6S. Arancibia59'for A. Farias
34F. Daza
13A. Canales79'for J. Valencia6.2
10M. Palavecino59'for J. A. Martinez6.6
11C. Montes46'for D. Corral6.3
43A. Perez71'for M. Gomez6.2
42N. Pino
38N. Giron

Estudiantes L.P. Substitutes

1F. Iacovich
26R. Funes Mori
20E. Meza60'for B. Rodriguez6.9
35V. Pierani82'for E. Mancuso6.6
7J. Sosa
8Gabriel Neves60'for A. Castro6.5
32J. Correa35'for T. Palacios44'8.0
18E. Cetre60'for J. Burgos7.3
19A. Gaich
28B. Aguirre
27L. Alario
29Perez Fabricio

Match Stats

U. CatolicaEstudiantes L.P.
48%Ball Possession52%
5Corner Kicks1
2Yellow Cards3
11Total Shots11
1Shots on Goal7
8Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box5
6Shots Outside Box6
2Blocked Shots0
16Fouls7
1Offsides2
4Goalkeeper Saves2
359Total Passes407
276Passes Accurate321
77%Pass Accuracy79%

Team Comparison

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
1677Elo Rating 1665
0.83Attack 1.20
2.05Defense 1.17
27%Hit Rate 0%
11.2Shots per Game 13.6
2.9Shots on Target 4.8
3.6Corners per Game 5.6
2.6Cards per Game 3.4

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.7 vs 0.1 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

U. CatolicaU. Catolica0Wins · 0%
Draws1100%
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.0Wins · 0%
2.0Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored1 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Recent Form

U. CatolicaU. Catolica
6W2D2L
Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.
4W1D5L
15/08/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Gimnasia L.P.
40
W
12/08/2026
Estudiantes L.P.U. Catolica
11
D
08/08/2026
Deportivo RiestraEstudiantes L.P.
20
L
06/08/2026
Boca JuniorsEstudiantes L.P.
10
L
01/08/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Defensa Y Justicia
30
W
26/07/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente
02
L
31/05/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Rosario Central
30
W
27/05/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Independiente Medellin
10
W
21/05/2026
FlamengoEstudiantes L.P.
10
L
10/05/2026
Estudiantes L.P.Racing Club
01
L

Referee Profile

W. Roldan321 matches

5.42Cards per match
4.98Yellow cards per match
0.44Red cards per match
21.3Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

W. Roldan5.42
Other referees5.53

5.42 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.53).

Cards come from 293 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

Bracket

Round of 16
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals

League Table

CONMEBOL Libertadores 2026

Group A

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FlamengoFlamengo651014:2+1216WWWDW
2Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.62316:5+19WLDDW
3Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin62136:11-57LWLWL
4CuscoCusco60154:12-81LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1FlamengoFlamengo614:216
2Estudiantes L.P.Estudiantes L.P.66:59
3Independiente MedellinIndependiente Medellin66:117
4CuscoCusco64:121

Group D

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1U. CatolicaU. Catolica64118:4+413WWDWW
2CruzeiroCruzeiro63218:3+511WDDWL
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors62136:5+17LDLLW
4Barcelona SCBarcelona SC61052:12-103LLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1U. CatolicaU. Catolica68:413
2CruzeiroCruzeiro68:311
3Boca JuniorsBoca Juniors66:57
4Barcelona SCBarcelona SC62:123

About the U. Catolica vs Estudiantes L.P. forecast

As a knockout tie in the CONMEBOL Libertadores, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

About CONMEBOL Libertadores

More CONMEBOL Libertadores fixtures and forecasts are on the CONMEBOL Libertadores Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

U. Catolica and Estudiantes L.P. have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.