Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol Prediction

Rayo Vallecano
2-1
Finished
HT 2-0
Espanyol
Municipal de Butarque, Leganes 15/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.93
SignalGOODModel55%RiskMediumGap+3.9%
Rayo Vallecano Rest
2 days
Espanyol Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.32
X
30%3.40
2
31%3.10
Double Chance
1X
69%1.36
X2
61%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.69
No
44%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.18 = 2.68
Over 1.5
74%1.29
Over 2.5
55%1.93
Over 3.5
31%3.25
Under 1.5
26%3.50
Under 2.5
45%1.91
Under 3.5
69%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.7 = 9.4
Over 8.5
61%1.57
Over 9.5
52%1.98
Over 10.5
38%2.54
Under 8.5
39%2.25
Under 9.5
48%1.76
Under 10.5
62%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.5
57%1.24
Over 4.5
38%1.50
Under 3.5
43%3.80
Under 4.5
62%2.52

Match Events

3'Álvaro García
26'Adrià PedrosaAssist: Álvaro García
45+2'Unai LópezFoul
45'Roger Hinojo INMarcos Fernández out
45'Rafel Bauzà INBryan Zaragoza out
45'Gabriel Moscardo INEduardo Expósito Jaén out
54'Roberto Fernández JaénAssist: Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa
61'Mujaid Sadick INÓscar Valentín out
61'Unai López INGnangoro Bouare out
63'Marcos FernándezFoul
67'Georgiy TsitaishviliFoul
70'Pathé CissDissent
74'Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa INÁlex Calatrava Torrado out
76'Georgiy Tsitaishvili INFrancisco Pérez Martínez out
76'Sergio Camello INAlexandre Zurawski out
80'Gnangoro BouareFoul
84'Urko Gonzalez INPol Lozano out
84'Álvaro García INIvan Balliu out
90+1'Alexandre ZurawskiFoul
90+8'Omar El HilaliHandball

Lineups

Rayo Vallecano
4-3-3Coach: Beñat San José
Espanyol
4-2-3-1Coach: Manolo González
E. Audero25E. AuderoE. Audero
A. Rațiu2A. RațiuA. Rațiu
F. Lejeune24F. LejeuneF. Lejeune
Mujaid Sadick15M. SadickMujaid Sadick
Adrià Pedrosa17A. PedrosaAdrià Pedrosa
Pedro Díaz4P. DíazPedro Díaz
P. Ciss6P. CissP. Ciss
Unai López8U. LópezUnai López
G. Tsitaishvili14G. TsitaishviliG. Tsitaishvili
Sergio Camello10S. CamelloSergio Camello
Álvaro García18Á. GarcíaÁlvaro García
M. Dmitrović13M. DmitrovićM. Dmitrović
O. El Hilali23O. El HilaliO. El Hilali
C. Riedel5C. RiedelC. Riedel
L. Cabrera6L. CabreraL. Cabrera
Roger Hinojo21R. HinojoRoger Hinojo
Urko González4U. GonzálezUrko González
Gabriel Moscardo20G. MoscardoGabriel Moscardo
Javier Hernandez28J. HernandezJavier Hernandez
Rafel Bauzà26R. BauzàRafel Bauzà
Q. Hartman3Q. HartmanQ. Hartman
Roberto Fernández9R. FernándezRoberto Fernández

Rayo Vallecano Substitutes

37Rayane BelidF
20I. BalliuD
36G. BouareM
1Dani CárdenasG
22Pelayo FernándezD
3M. KumbullaD
30Adrián MolinaG
21Fran PérezF
31M. RomanM
23Óscar ValentínM
9AlemãoF
26Marco de las SíasD

Espanyol Substitutes

24T. DolanF
16V. DrkušićD
8Edu ExpósitoM
18Marcos FernándezF
1Ángel FortuñoG
10Pol LozanoM
32J. A. LopezD
11Pere MillaM
14Unai NúñezD
31Llorenç SerredG
15Bryan ZaragozaF
22Álex CalatravaF

Match Stats

Rayo VallecanoEspanyol
54%Ball Possession46%
3Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots19
2Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box12
7Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots7
10Fouls15
0Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves0
449Total Passes360
370Passes Accurate285
12Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
EspanyolEspanyol
1783Elo Rating 1741
1.65Attack 1.55
0.04Defense 2.05
23%Hit Rate 41%
12.4Shots per Game 9.6
5.9Shots on Target 3.3
6.2Corners per Game 2.0
2.3Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend31% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
EspanyolEspanyol
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.4 in second half)

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona550021:4+1715WWWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid540114:4+1012WLWWW
3Real BetisReal Betis54017:6+112WWLWW
4AlavesAlaves531111:5+610LWWDW
5Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid531110:6+410WLWDW
6SevillaSevilla53118:6+210WDLWW
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna52309:6+39DWWDD
8EspanyolEspanyol52128:5+37WDLLW
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club52127:6+17DWWLL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander52129:907WLWLD
11OsasunaOsasuna52125:8-37LLWWD
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad62136:11-57LWDWL
13LevanteLevante51227:9-25LDWDL
14GetafeGetafe51223:6-35DDLWL
15Celta VigoCelta Vigo60423:6-34DDDLL
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano51138:14-64LWLDL
17MalagaMalaga50322:8-63DDLDL
18VillarrealVillarreal50237:10-32LLLDD
19ElcheElche50236:13-72DLLLD
20ValenciaValencia50141:10-91LLLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona521:415
2Real MadridReal Madrid514:412
3Real BetisReal Betis57:612
4AlavesAlaves511:510
5Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid510:610
6SevillaSevilla58:610
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna59:69
8EspanyolEspanyol58:57
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club57:67
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander59:97
11OsasunaOsasuna55:87
12Real SociedadReal Sociedad66:117
13LevanteLevante57:95
14GetafeGetafe53:65
15Celta VigoCelta Vigo63:64
16Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano58:144
17MalagaMalaga52:83
18VillarrealVillarreal57:102
19ElcheElche56:132
20ValenciaValencia51:101
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About La Liga

ScorePredicts covers Spain football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.2 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.