Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 6
Municipal de Butarque, Leganes 15/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
55%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.93
SignalNEUTRALModel55%SurpriseMediumGap+3.9%
Rayo Vallecano Rest
2 days
Espanyol Rest
3 days
Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol: result, form and history
Rayo Vallecano beat Espanyol 2-1 in the La Liga on 15 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Rayo Vallecano have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game. Rayo Vallecano tend to win more corners, 6.8 a game to 4.8 for Espanyol.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
139%2.32
X30%3.40
231%3.10
Double Chance
1X69%1.36
X261%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes56%1.69
No44%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 1.18 = 2.68
Over 1.574%1.29
Over 2.555%1.93
Over 3.531%3.25
Under 1.526%3.50
Under 2.545%1.91
Under 3.569%1.33
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 3.7 = 9.4
Over 8.561%1.57
Over 9.552%1.98
Over 10.538%2.54
Under 8.539%2.25
Under 9.548%1.76
Under 10.562%1.44
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.1 = 4
Over 3.557%1.24
Over 4.538%1.50
Under 3.543%3.80
Under 4.562%2.52
Match Events
3'Álvaro García
26'Adrià PedrosaAssist: Álvaro García
45'Roger Hinojo INMarcos Fernández out
45'Rafel Bauzà INBryan Zaragoza out
45'Gabriel Moscardo INEduardo Expósito Jaén out
45+2'Unai LópezFoul
54'Roberto Fernández JaénAssist: Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa
61'Mujaid Sadick INÓscar Valentín out
61'Unai López INGnangoro Bouare out
63'Marcos FernándezFoul
67'Georgiy TsitaishviliFoul
70'Pathé CissDissent
74'Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa INÁlex Calatrava Torrado out
76'Georgiy Tsitaishvili INFrancisco Pérez Martínez out
76'Sergio Camello INAlexandre Zurawski out
80'Gnangoro BouareFoul
84'Urko Gonzalez INPol Lozano out
84'Álvaro García INIvan Balliu out
90+1'Alexandre ZurawskiFoul
90+8'Omar El HilaliHandball
Lineups
Rayo VallecanoEspanyol
4-2-3-1Coach: Manolo GonzálezAvg ratingAvg rating
25E. Audero
2A. Rațiu
24F. Lejeune
15M. Sadick
17A. Pedrosa
4P. Díaz
6P. Ciss
8U. López
14G. Tsitaishvili
10S. Camello
18Á. García
13M. Dmitrović
23O. El Hilali
5C. Riedel
6L. Cabrera
21R. Hinojo
4U. González
20G. Moscardo
28J. Hernandez
26R. Bauzà
3Q. Hartman
9R. FernándezRayo Vallecano Substitutes
37Rayane Belid
20I. Balliu84'for Álvaro García
36G. Bouare61'for Unai López80'
1Dani Cárdenas
22Pelayo Fernández
3M. Kumbulla
30Adrián Molina
21Fran Pérez76'for Georgiy Tsitaishvili
31M. Roman
23Óscar Valentín61'for Mujaid Sadick
9Alemão76'for Sergio Camello90+1'
26Marco de las Sías
Espanyol Substitutes
24T. Dolan
16V. Drkušić
8Edu Expósito45'for Gabriel Moscardo
18Marcos Fernández45'for Roger Hinojo63'
1Ángel Fortuño
10Pol Lozano84'for Urko Gonzalez
32J. A. Lopez
11Pere Milla
14Unai Núñez
31Llorenç Serred
15Bryan Zaragoza45'for Rafel Bauzà
22Álex Calatrava74'for Francisco Javier Hernandez Coarasa
Match Stats
Rayo VallecanoEspanyol 55%Ball Possession45%
3Corner Kicks5
5Yellow Cards1
0Red Cards1
16Total Shots19
2Shots on Goal5
10Shots off Goal7
9Shots Inside Box12
7Shots Outside Box7
4Blocked Shots7
10Fouls15
0Offsides2
3Goalkeeper Saves0
450Total Passes361
370Passes Accurate285
82%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
Rayo VallecanoEspanyol1776Elo Rating 1700
1.34Attack 1.06
1.88Defense 1.85
27%Hit Rate 27%
20.5Shots per Game 9.4
5.6Shots on Target 2.8
6.8Corners per Game 4.8
2.4Cards per Game 3.3
AI Insights
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Rayo Vallecano- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Espanyol- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Rayo Vallecano6Wins · 60%Draws00%
Espanyol4Wins · 40%
4Wins · 40%2.2Avg Goals
30%Both teams scored3 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10
Previous meetings
23/04/2026Rayo VallecanoEspanyol10
07/12/2025EspanyolRayo Vallecano10
04/04/2025Rayo VallecanoEspanyol04
31/08/2024EspanyolRayo Vallecano21
21/05/2023Rayo VallecanoEspanyol12
19/08/2022EspanyolRayo Vallecano02
21/04/2022EspanyolRayo Vallecano01
05/12/2021Rayo VallecanoEspanyol10
31/01/2021EspanyolRayo Vallecano23
18/10/2020Rayo VallecanoEspanyol10
Recent Form
Rayo Vallecano2W1D7L
12/09/2026
Real MadridRayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
Racing Santander
BarcelonaRayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
Alaves
SevillaRayo Vallecano
Real MadridRayo Vallecano41
L05/09/2026Rayo VallecanoRacing Santander32
W31/08/2026BarcelonaRayo Vallecano52
L20/08/2026Rayo VallecanoAlaves11
D15/08/2026SevillaRayo Vallecano21
L08/08/2026
IpswichRayo Vallecano
IpswichRayo Vallecano30
L01/08/2026
CharleroiRayo Vallecano
CharleroiRayo Vallecano23
W26/07/2026
FeyenoordRayo Vallecano
FeyenoordRayo Vallecano21
L17/07/2026
Heart Of MidlothianRayo Vallecano
Heart Of MidlothianRayo Vallecano21
L27/05/2026
Crystal PalaceRayo Vallecano
Crystal PalaceRayo Vallecano10
LEspanyol3W4D3L
12/09/2026
OsasunaEspanyolEspanyolSevilla
Real SociedadEspanyolEspanyolReal MadridEspanyol
Levante
OsasunaEspanyol02
W06/09/2026EspanyolSevilla11
D29/08/2026Real SociedadEspanyol21
L22/08/2026EspanyolReal Madrid12
L16/08/2026EspanyolLevante30
W08/08/2026
CoventryEspanyol
CoventryEspanyol31
L01/08/2026
MiddlesbroughEspanyol
MiddlesbroughEspanyol33
D29/07/2026
BurnleyEspanyol
BurnleyEspanyol22
D25/07/2026Espanyol
Sabadell
EspanyolSabadell11
D21/07/2026Espanyol
PAU
EspanyolPAU40
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | WWLWW |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | WWLDD |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | WLWLD |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | DWLLD |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | LWLDL |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 9:23 | 5 |
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About the Rayo Vallecano vs Espanyol forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Rayo Vallecano and Espanyol in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Rayo Vallecano (14th) and Espanyol (13th) are level on 12 points. League goal record so far: Rayo Vallecano 15-21, Espanyol 13-14. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.