Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid: the result in context
Atletico Madrid beat Sevilla 3-1 in the La Liga on 29 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Sevilla had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Atletico Madrid.
Atletico Madrid have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Referee Javier Alberola Rojas averages 3.69 cards a game, 1.21 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Sevilla
Avg ratingAvg rating
1O. Vlachodimos
2J. Iglesias
5A. Castrín
4K. Salas
C17G. Suazo
6L. Agoumé
18J. Guridi
30M. Ángel
10P. Fernández
3J. Díaz del Romo
9R. Ure
C13J. Oblak
14M. Llorente
18M. Pubill
17D. Hancko
22Á. Grimaldo
20G. Simeone
8P. Barrios
23M. Hjulmand
11A. Lookman
7L. Kang-In
10Á. BaenaSevilla Substitutes
Atletico Madrid Substitutes
Match Stats
SevillaAtletico Madrid Team Comparison
SevillaAtletico MadridAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Sevilla- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.8 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico Madrid- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sevilla2Wins · 20%7Wins · 70%Previous meetings
11/04/2026SevillaAtletico Madrid01/11/2025Atletico MadridSevilla06/04/2025SevillaAtletico Madrid08/12/2024Atletico MadridSevilla11/02/2024SevillaAtletico Madrid
25/01/2024Atletico MadridSevilla23/12/2023Atletico MadridSevilla04/03/2023Atletico MadridSevilla01/10/2022SevillaAtletico Madrid15/05/2022Atletico MadridSevillaRecent Form
Sevilla
Athletic ClubSevillaSevilla
Rayo Vallecano
Bayer LeverkusenSevilla
UtrechtSevilla
NEC NijmegenSevillaSevilla
AD Ceuta FC
CordobaSevilla
Cracovia KrakowSevillaSevilla
Juventud Torremolinos
Celta VigoSevillaAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid
VillarrealAtletico Madrid
Malaga
MarseilleAtletico Madrid
Manchester CityAtletico Madrid
Manchester UnitedAtletico MadridAtletico Madrid
GetafeAtletico Madrid
Girona
OsasunaAtletico MadridAtletico MadridCelta Vigo
ArsenalAtletico MadridReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.69 cards a match, 1.21 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.90).
Cards come from 149 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | WWLDD |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | DWLLD |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | LWLDL |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | DLLWD |
| 18 |  Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 9:23 | 5 |
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About the Sevilla vs Atletico Madrid forecast
The forecasts for this La Liga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sevilla and Atletico Madrid in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Atletico Madrid are 3rd and Sevilla 6th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Sevilla 17-19, Atletico Madrid 23-10. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Sevilla have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.