Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 3
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Alaves vs Villarreal: result, form and history
Alaves beat Villarreal 1-0 in the La Liga on 28 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Alaves had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Villarreal.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them. Referee Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos averages 5.52 cards a game, 0.62 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Alaves
Avg ratingAvg rating
1A. Sivera
7Á. Pérez
14N. Tenaglia
16V. Koski
17J. Otto
21A. Rebbach
19P. Ibáñez
C8A. Blanco
18M. Rodriguez
11T. Martínez
15L. Boyé
1L. Júnior
15S. Mouriño
8J. Foyth
12R. Veiga
20C. Romero
19N. Pépé
14S. Comesaña
18P. Gueye
17T. Buchanan
C7G. Moreno
9G. MikautadzeAlaves Substitutes
Villarreal Substitutes
Match Stats
AlavesVillarreal Team Comparison
AlavesVillarrealAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Alaves- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Villarreal- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.7 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Alaves3Wins · 30%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
13/03/2026AlavesVillarreal10/01/2026VillarrealAlaves08/03/2025AlavesVillarreal09/11/2024VillarrealAlaves10/02/2024AlavesVillarreal22/10/2023VillarrealAlaves30/04/2022AlavesVillarreal21/12/2021VillarrealAlaves21/04/2021AlavesVillarreal30/09/2020VillarrealAlavesRecent Form
Alaves
Rayo VallecanoAlavesAlaves
Getafe
Racing SantanderAlavesAlaves
Castellón
GironaAlavesAlaves
EibarAlavesRayo Vallecano
OviedoAlavesAlaves
Barcelona
ElcheAlavesVillarreal
Atletico MadridVillarrealRacing SantanderVillarreal
GalatasarayVillarrealVillarreal
Levante
LensVillarreal
PSV EindhovenVillarreal
BenficaVillarrealRayo VallecanoVillarrealVillarreal
Sevilla
MallorcaVillarrealReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
5.52 cards a match, 0.62 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.90).
Cards come from 129 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | LWWWW |
| 4 |  Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 7 |  Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | WWLDD |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | WLWDL |
| 9 |  Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | WLWLD |
| 11 |  Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | DWLLD |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | LWLDL |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 |  Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 9:23 | 5 |
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About the Alaves vs Villarreal forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Alaves and Villarreal in the La Liga table
In the La Liga table, Villarreal are 8th and Alaves 12th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Alaves 15-17, Villarreal 17-15. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.