Sevilla vs Valencia Prediction

Sevilla
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Valencia
11/09/2026
SevillaSevilla
1-0
Finished
ValenciaValencia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.73
SignalHIGHModel61%RiskMediumGap+5.4%
Sevilla Rest
5 days
Valencia Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
48%2.04
X
28%3.23
2
24%3.95
Double Chance
1X
76%1.25
X2
52%1.77
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%2.00
No
52%1.75
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.38 + 1.07 = 2.45
Over 1.5
72%1.41
Over 2.5
42%2.30
Over 3.5
18%4.33
Under 1.5
28%2.80
Under 2.5
58%1.62
Under 3.5
82%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 3.7 = 9.1
Over 8.5
51%1.93
Over 9.5
43%2.49
Over 10.5
31%3.38
Under 8.5
49%1.85
Under 9.5
57%1.47
Under 10.5
69%1.25
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 3.9
Over 3.5
56%1.27
Over 4.5
36%1.56
Under 3.5
44%3.50
Under 4.5
64%2.27

Match Events

24'César Tárrega Requeni INIker Córdoba out
27'Ryunosuke SatoFoul
62'Arnau Martínez López INPablo Maffeo out
62'Ryunosuke Sato INHarvey Elliott out
63'Isaac Romero INRobbie Ure out
63'Miguel Sierra INChidera Ejuke out
67'Chidera EjukeFoul
71'Youssouf Fofana INGiorgi Kochorashvili out
81'Juan Antonio Iglesias SánchezAssist: Giorgi Kochorashvili
83'Javi Guerra INHugo Duro out
83'José Gayà INJesús Vázquez out
83'Lucas Stassin INJon Guridi out
83'Felix Correia INJulio Diaz out
88'Pablo MaffeoFoul

Lineups

Sevilla
4-4-2Coach: Luis García
Valencia
4-4-1-1Coach: Carlos Corberán
O. Vlachodimos1O. VlachodimosO. Vlachodimos
Juan Iglesias2J. IglesiasJuan Iglesias
Andrés Castrín5A. CastrínAndrés Castrín
Kike Salas4K. SalasKike Salas
G. Suazo17G. SuazoG. Suazo
M. Sierra30M. SierraM. Sierra
L. Agoumé6L. AgouméL. Agoumé
Y. Fofana24Y. FofanaY. Fofana
Félix Correia20F. CorreiaFélix Correia
L. Stassin19L. StassinL. Stassin
Isaac16IsaacIsaac
S. Dimitrievski1S. DimitrievskiS. Dimitrievski
Arnau Martínez22A. MartínezArnau Martínez
César Tárrega5C. TárregaCésar Tárrega
Pepelu18PepeluPepelu
José Gayà14J. GayàJosé Gayà
David Otorbi27D. OtorbiDavid Otorbi
A. Dieng15A. DiengA. Dieng
F. Ugrinic23F. UgrinicF. Ugrinic
R. Sato39R. SatoR. Sato
Javi Guerra8J. GuerraJavi Guerra
A. Danjuma7A. DanjumaA. Danjuma

Sevilla Substitutes

22José Ángel CarmonaD
14Manu BuenoM
3Julio Díaz del RomoD
21C. EjukeF
10Peque FernándezF
7Alfon GonzálezF
13Fran GonzálezG
18Jon GuridiM
8G. KochorashviliM
34Iker Ortín MuñozD
9R. UreF
23MarcãoD

Valencia Substitutes

36Iker CórdobaD
9Hugo DuroF
38Jaume DuráM
10H. ElliottM
24Pablo MaffeoD
33Aaron MayolM
29Alex PanachD
19Dani RabaF
21Jesús VázquezD
12J. de HaasD
25K. van OevelenG
37Aimar BlázquezF

Match Stats

SevillaValencia
46%Ball Possession54%
6Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots3
4Shots on Goal0
5Shots off Goal2
8Shots Inside Box1
5Shots Outside Box2
4Blocked Shots1
8Fouls12
2Offsides1
0Goalkeeper Saves3
348Total Passes428
277Passes Accurate350
11Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

SevillaSevilla
ValenciaValencia
1753Elo Rating 1729
1.47Attack 0.19
1.88Defense 0.83
58%Hit Rate 0%
10.6Shots per Game 7.1
3.3Shots on Target 1.7
3.2Corners per Game 3.6
2.7Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SevillaSevilla
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
ValenciaValencia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Sevilla 0%Draw 54%46% Valencia
1.52Avg Goals
39%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

League Table

La Liga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarcelonaBarcelona550021:4+1715WWWWW
2Real MadridReal Madrid650117:6+1115WWLWW
3Real BetisReal Betis54017:6+112WWLWW
4AlavesAlaves631211:6+510LLWWD
5Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid531110:6+410WLWDW
6SevillaSevilla53118:6+210WDLWW
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna52309:6+39DWWDD
8EspanyolEspanyol62139:7+27LWDLL
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club52127:6+17DWWLL
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander52129:907WLWLD
11OsasunaOsasuna52125:8-37LLWWD
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano621310:15-57WLWLD
13Real SociedadReal Sociedad62136:11-57LWDWL
14LevanteLevante51227:9-25LDWDL
15GetafeGetafe51223:6-35DDLWL
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo60423:6-34DDDLL
17ValenciaValencia61142:10-84WLLLL
18MalagaMalaga50322:8-63DDLDL
19VillarrealVillarreal50237:10-32LLLDD
20ElcheElche60248:16-82LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarcelonaBarcelona521:415
2Real MadridReal Madrid617:615
3Real BetisReal Betis57:612
4AlavesAlaves611:610
5Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid510:610
6SevillaSevilla58:610
7Deportivo La CorunaDeportivo La Coruna59:69
8EspanyolEspanyol69:77
9Athletic ClubAthletic Club57:67
10Racing SantanderRacing Santander59:97
11OsasunaOsasuna55:87
12Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano610:157
13Real SociedadReal Sociedad66:117
14LevanteLevante57:95
15GetafeGetafe53:65
16Celta VigoCelta Vigo63:64
17ValenciaValencia62:104
18MalagaMalaga52:83
19VillarrealVillarreal57:102
20ElcheElche68:162
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

Sevilla vs Valencia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this La Liga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About La Liga

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Key Factors for This Match

Sevilla and Valencia have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.52 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.