Valencia vs Barcelona Prediction
Spain · Regular Season - 4
Estadio de Mestalla, Valencia 06/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.77
SignalSOLIDModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+10.0%
Valencia Rest
6 days
Barcelona Rest
5 days
Valencia vs Barcelona: result, form and history
Match Forecasts
Match Result
19%10.00
X24%6.25
267%1.27
Double Chance
1X33%3.70
X291%1.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.69
No46%2.08
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.02 + 1.6 = 2.62
Over 1.572%1.10
Over 2.551%1.37
Over 3.529%1.95
Under 1.528%6.50
Under 2.549%3.04
Under 3.571%1.88
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 5.1 = 9.5
Over 8.563%1.32
Over 9.551%1.62
Over 10.537%2.00
Under 8.537%2.94
Under 9.549%2.22
Under 10.563%1.77
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 1.6 = 3.4
Over 3.545%1.73
Over 4.526%2.10
Under 3.555%2.06
Under 4.574%1.67
Match Events
6'Lamine YamalAssist: Fermín López
8'Goal cancelledLamine Yamal
22'Fermín LópezAssist: Anthony Gordon
29'Eric García INJules Koundé out
45+3'Pau CubarsíFoul
47'Rodrigo Hernandez CascanteFoul
50'Raphael Dias BelloliAssist: Fermín López
54'José Luis García Vayá INCésar Tárrega Requeni out
54'Pablo Maffeo INHarvey Elliott out
54'Jesús Vázquez INJosé Gayà out
62'Anthony Gordon INKarim Adeyemi out
62'Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante INMarc Bernal out
62'Pau Cubarsí INAndreas Christensen out
62'Mouctar Diakhaby INIker Córdoba out
62'Javi Guerra INRyunosuke Sato out
65'Fermín LópezFoul
75'Fermín López INDaniel Olmo Carvajal out
76'David Otorbi Ejededawe INHugo Duro out
79'PedriAssist: Daniel Olmo Carvajal
81'Arnau Martínez LópezFoul
81'Pedri INGabriel Jesus out
84'Lamine YamalAssist: Daniel Olmo Carvajal
84'Goal confirmedLamine Yamal
Lineups
ValenciaBarcelona
4-3-3Coach: H. FlickAvg ratingAvg rating
1S. Dimitrievski
24P. Maffeo
22A. Martínez
4M. Diakhaby
18Pepelu
21J. Vázquez
27D. Otorbi
23F. Ugrinic
15A. Dieng
8J. Guerra
7A. Danjuma
1J. García
24E. García
5P. Cubarsí Paredes
18G. Martín
12X. Espart
7Fermín
16Rodri
8Pedri
10L. Yamal
11Raphinha
17A. GordonValencia Substitutes
25K. van Oevelen
5César Tárrega54'for José Luis García Vayá
39R. Sato62'for Javi Guerra
19Dani Raba
33Aaron Mayol
14José Gayà54'for Jesús Vázquez
31Rodrigo Gamón
10H. Elliott54'for Pablo Maffeo
9Hugo Duro76'for David Otorbi Ejededawe
38J. Dura
36Iker Córdoba62'for Mouctar Diakhaby
37Aimar Blázquez
Barcelona Substitutes
14K. Adeyemi62'for Anthony Gordon
29H. Abdelkarim
3Alejandro Balde
22Marc Bernal62'for Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante
2João Cancelo
15A. Christensen62'for Pau Cubarsí
9Gabriel Jesus81'for Pedri
6Gavi
23J. Koundé29'for Eric García
25D. Livaković
20Dani Olmo75'for Fermín López
13W. Szczęsny
Match Stats
ValenciaBarcelona 27%Ball Possession73%
1Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards3
3Total Shots25
2Shots on Goal10
1Shots off Goal10
3Shots Inside Box19
0Shots Outside Box6
0Blocked Shots5
7Fouls6
2Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves2
280Total Passes792
205Passes Accurate728
73%Pass Accuracy92%
Team Comparison
ValenciaBarcelona1735Elo Rating 2068
1.11Attack 3.41
1.79Defense 1.44
27%Hit Rate 64%
11.3Shots per Game 16.3
3.6Shots on Target 7.2
3.8Corners per Game 4.4
2.8Cards per Game 1.8
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Valencia- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Barcelona- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 1.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Valencia1Wins · 10%Draws110%
Barcelona8Wins · 80%
8Wins · 80%4.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
23/05/2026ValenciaBarcelona31
14/09/2025BarcelonaValencia60
06/02/2025ValenciaBarcelona05
26/01/2025BarcelonaValencia71
17/08/2024ValenciaBarcelona12
29/04/2024BarcelonaValencia42
16/12/2023ValenciaBarcelona11
05/03/2023BarcelonaValencia10
29/10/2022ValenciaBarcelona01
20/02/2022ValenciaBarcelona14
Recent Form
Valencia3W2D5L
30/08/2026
Deportivo La CorunaValenciaValencia
Real BetisValencia
Celta Vigo
Deportivo La CorunaValencia31
L25/08/2026ValenciaReal Betis01
L22/08/2026ValenciaCelta Vigo00
D08/08/2026Valencia
Newcastle
ValenciaNewcastle12
L01/08/2026
Stoke CityValencia
Stoke CityValencia11
D28/07/2026
DerbyValencia
DerbyValencia12
W25/07/2026Valencia
Castellón
ValenciaCastellón12
L22/07/2026Valencia
Eldense
ValenciaEldense30
W18/07/2026
Petro de LuandaValencia
Petro de LuandaValencia31
L23/05/2026ValenciaBarcelona
ValenciaBarcelona31
WBarcelona7W0D3L
31/08/2026Barcelona
Rayo VallecanoBarcelona
Athletic Club
ElcheBarcelona
BarcelonaRayo Vallecano52
W27/08/2026BarcelonaAthletic Club20
W23/08/2026ElcheBarcelona05
W19/08/2026Barcelona
Al Ahly
BarcelonaAl Ahly21
W16/08/2026
FC Basel 1893Barcelona
FC Basel 1893Barcelona25
W08/08/2026
UdineseBarcelona
UdineseBarcelona10
L08/08/2026Barcelona
Nottingham Forest
BarcelonaNottingham Forest10
W31/07/2026
BirminghamBarcelona
BirminghamBarcelona3222
L24/07/2026Barcelona
Europa Fc
BarcelonaEuropa Fc41
W23/05/2026ValenciaBarcelona
ValenciaBarcelona31
LLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 48:13 | +35 | 33 | WWLWW |
| 2 |  Real Madrid | 12 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 31:10 | +21 | 30 | WWWWW |
| 3 |  Atletico Madrid | 12 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 23:10 | +13 | 28 | LWWWW |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 20:15 | +5 | 26 | WWDLW |
| 5 |  Real Sociedad | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 21:20 | +1 | 22 | WLWWW |
| 6 |  Sevilla | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17:19 | -2 | 18 | DLWLD |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:11 | +4 | 16 | WWLDD |
| 8 |  Villarreal | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | WLWDL |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 15:14 | +1 | 15 | DWLDL |
| 10 |  Racing Santander | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 17:30 | -13 | 14 | WLWLD |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 | DLDWD |
| 12 |  Alaves | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 13 | DLDLL |
| 13 |  Espanyol | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 13:14 | -1 | 12 | DWLLD |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 15:21 | -6 | 12 | WLDDD |
| 15 |  Getafe | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8:18 | -10 | 12 | LWLDL |
| 16 |  Osasuna | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 12:23 | -11 | 12 | DLLWL |
| 17 |  Levante | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 11 | DLLWD |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 10 | LLWDD |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 20 |  Malaga | 12 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 5 | LLDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona | 12 | 48:13 | 33 |
| 2 | Real Madrid | 12 | 31:10 | 30 |
| 3 | Atletico Madrid | 12 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Real Betis | 12 | 20:15 | 26 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad | 12 | 21:20 | 22 |
| 6 | Sevilla | 12 | 17:19 | 18 |
| 7 | Athletic Club | 11 | 15:11 | 16 |
| 8 | Villarreal | 12 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 9 | Deportivo La Coruna | 12 | 15:14 | 15 |
| 10 | Racing Santander | 12 | 17:30 | 14 |
| 11 | Celta Vigo | 12 | 10:10 | 13 |
| 12 | Alaves | 12 | 15:17 | 13 |
| 13 | Espanyol | 12 | 13:14 | 12 |
| 14 | Rayo Vallecano | 11 | 15:21 | 12 |
| 15 | Getafe | 12 | 8:18 | 12 |
| 16 | Osasuna | 12 | 12:23 | 12 |
| 17 | Levante | 12 | 16:21 | 11 |
| 18 | Elche | 12 | 14:20 | 10 |
| 19 | Valencia | 12 | 8:20 | 9 |
| 20 | Malaga | 12 | 9:23 | 5 |
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About the Valencia vs Barcelona forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Valencia and Barcelona in the La Liga table
The table shows a wide gap: Barcelona are 1st in the La Liga, while Valencia sit 19th, 24 points behind. League goal record so far: Valencia 8-20, Barcelona 48-13. The full standings are on the La Liga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Barcelona have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.