Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 7
IAI Stadium Nihondaira, Shizuoka 12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.91
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+9.0%
Shimizu S-pulse Rest
5 days
Avispa Fukuoka Rest
6 days
Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka: the result in context
Shimizu S-pulse beat Avispa Fukuoka 1-0 in the J1 League on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.0 a game across 8 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
134%2.88
X26%3.11
240%2.50
Double Chance
1X60%1.50
X266%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes61%1.91
No39%1.80
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.39 + 1.44 = 2.83
Over 1.576%1.39
Over 2.547%2.27
Over 3.527%4.20
Under 1.524%2.84
Under 2.553%1.59
Under 3.573%1.20
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.1 + 4.9 = 9.1
Over 8.554%1.57
Over 9.543%1.95
Over 10.534%2.48
Under 8.546%2.21
Under 9.557%1.76
Under 10.566%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.1 + 1.5 = 2.6
Over 3.527%-
Over 4.512%-
Under 3.573%-
Under 4.588%-
Match Events
8'Werik Popo INShintaro Nago out
26'Daiki MiyaFoul
30'Daiki Fukazawa INTakumi Kamijima out
34'Kenta InoueFoul
67'Kenta Inoue INTomoya Fujii out
67'Kazuki Kozuka INWon Du-jae out
71'Yudai ShimamotoAssist: Ryo Germain
77'Keiya Shiihashi INHiroki Akino out
77'Yu Hashimoto INKaoru Yamawaki out
77'Masato Shigemi INAbdul Hanan Sani Brown out
90'Mateus Brunetti Valor INPark Seung-Wook out
90+3'Oh Se-hun INKosuke Kinoshita out
Lineups
Shimizu S-pulseAvispa Fukuoka
3-4-2-1Coach: S. TsukaharaAvg ratingAvg rating
16T. Umeda
24H. Sugai
3Y. Takahashi
15Y. Honda
25M. Brunetti
47Y. Shimamoto
17M. Yumiba
13R. Germain
81K. Kozuka
8K. Inoue
9O. Se-Hun
24Y. Obata
23D. Fukazawa
37M. Tashiro
38D. Miya
47Y. Hashimoto
34K. Shiihashi
11T. Miki
29Y. Maejima
13S. Morooka
6M. Shigemi
9W. PopóShimizu S-pulse Substitutes
70S. Takagi
50T. Fujii67'for Kenta Inoue
14Park Seung-Wook90'for Mateus Brunetti Valor
1Y. Oki
6Won Du-Jae67'for Kazuki Kozuka
21K. Matsuzaki
19K. Kinoshita90+3'for Oh Se-hun
7Capixaba
28Y. Yoshida
Avispa Fukuoka Substitutes
21Oriol Romeu
14S. Nago8'for Werik Popo
1T. Nagaishi
25Y. Kitajima
5T. Kamijima30'for Daiki Fukazawa
32A. Sani Brown77'for Masato Shigemi
17H. Akino77'for Keiya Shiihashi
15Y. Tsujioka
33K. Yamawaki77'for Yu Hashimoto
Match Stats
Shimizu S-pulseAvispa Fukuoka 56%Ball Possession44%
1Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards1
13Total Shots6
3Shots on Goal1
9Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box2
4Shots Outside Box4
1Blocked Shots1
12Fouls18
0Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves2
451Total Passes356
371Passes Accurate285
82%Pass Accuracy80%
Team Comparison
Shimizu S-pulseAvispa Fukuoka1483Elo Rating 1423
0.84Attack 0.95
0.00Defense 0.68
14%Hit Rate 14%
9.2Shots per Game 11.3
3.0Shots on Target 2.7
4.2Corners per Game 3.9
1.3Cards per Game 2.5
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.83 goals
📈BTTS Trend88% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
Shimizu S-pulse- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Avispa Fukuoka- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 8 meetings, all competitions
Shimizu S-pulse3Wins · 38%Draws450%
Avispa Fukuoka1Wins · 12%
1Wins · 12%3.0Avg Goals
88%Both teams scored7 of 8
63%3+ goals5 of 8
Previous meetings
10/05/2026Shimizu S-pulseAvispa Fukuoka4131
18/03/2026Avispa FukuokaShimizu S-pulse4151
23/08/2025Avispa FukuokaShimizu S-pulse00
20/04/2025Shimizu S-pulseAvispa Fukuoka31
17/09/2022Avispa FukuokaShimizu S-pulse32
18/06/2022Shimizu S-pulseAvispa Fukuoka31
02/10/2021Avispa FukuokaShimizu S-pulse12
06/03/2021Shimizu S-pulseAvispa Fukuoka22
Recent Form
Shimizu S-pulse3W2D5L
06/09/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
FC TokyoShimizu S-pulse
Kashiwa ReysolShimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. Marinos
Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-pulse
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse31
L02/09/2026Shimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo11
D29/08/2026Shimizu S-pulseKashiwa Reysol01
L26/08/2026Shimizu S-pulse
Osaka
Shimizu S-pulseOsaka2111
W22/08/2026
Cerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulse
15/08/2026Cerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulse10
LShimizu S-pulseYokohama F. Marinos01
L08/08/2026Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-pulse01
W18/07/2026
Karlsruher SCShimizu S-pulse
Karlsruher SCShimizu S-pulse11
D14/07/2026
PolessyaShimizu S-pulse
PolessyaShimizu S-pulse13
W06/06/2026Yokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulse
Yokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulse30
LAvispa Fukuoka4W1D5L
05/09/2026Avispa Fukuoka
Mito HollyhockAvispa Fukuoka
UrawaAvispa FukuokaCerezo OsakaAvispa Fukuoka
Vissel Kobe
Avispa FukuokaMito Hollyhock11
D02/09/2026Avispa FukuokaUrawa23
L29/08/2026
Kyoto SangaAvispa Fukuoka
Kyoto SangaAvispa Fukuoka21
L26/08/2026Avispa Fukuoka
Verspah Oita
Avispa FukuokaVerspah Oita5040
W22/08/2026
KashimaAvispa Fukuoka
15/08/2026KashimaAvispa Fukuoka32
LAvispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka30
W08/08/2026Avispa FukuokaVissel Kobe01
L19/07/2026Avispa FukuokaOsaka
Avispa FukuokaOsaka32
W11/07/2026Avispa Fukuoka
Kitakyushu
Avispa FukuokaKitakyushu12
L06/06/2026
JEF United ChibaAvispa Fukuoka
JEF United ChibaAvispa Fukuoka12
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:8 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW |
| 3 |  Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29:10 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:19 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25:18 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 |  Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 15 |  Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 |  Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:21 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 30:10 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 27:8 | 27 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 29:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 25:19 | 25 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 18:11 | 23 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 12:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 10:20 | 14 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 14:21 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 13:21 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 12:24 | 7 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Vissel Kobe vs V-varen Nagasaki 06/09/26
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse 06/09/26
- Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol 11/09/26
- Vissel Kobe vs Kashima 11/09/26
- Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos 12/09/26
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka 12/09/26
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus 12/09/26
- Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama 13/09/26
About the Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka forecast
The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Shimizu S-pulse and Avispa Fukuoka in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Shimizu S-pulse are 13th and Avispa Fukuoka 19th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Shimizu S-pulse 10-20, Avispa Fukuoka 13-21. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.