Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka Prediction
Japan · Regular Season - 7
Edion Peace Wing Hiroshima, Hiroshima 12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
Value Analysis
64%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 10.5
1.62
SignalSOLIDModel64%SurpriseMediumGap+3.2%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Rest
6 days
Cerezo Osaka Rest
6 days
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka: result, form and history
Sanfrecce Hiroshima beat Cerezo Osaka 6-1 in the J1 League on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima have had the better of this fixture, winning 7 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.2 goals a game. Sanfrecce Hiroshima tend to win more corners, 7.8 a game to 2.7 for Cerezo Osaka.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
152%1.57
X28%4.25
220%5.00
Double Chance
1X80%1.16
X248%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes54%1.53
No46%2.30
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.11 = 2.67
Over 1.576%1.14
Over 2.549%1.50
Over 3.529%2.25
Under 1.524%5.20
Under 2.551%2.50
Under 3.571%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4.1 = 10.1
Over 8.565%1.43
Over 9.552%1.72
Over 10.536%2.13
Under 8.535%2.64
Under 9.548%2.00
Under 10.564%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.4 + 1.5 = 2.9
Over 3.532%-
Over 4.516%-
Under 3.568%-
Under 4.584%-
Match Events
10'Akito Suzuki(Penalty)
18'Shun AyukawaAssist: Shunki Higashi
45'Sho Sasaki INKim Ju-sung out
45+3'Akito SuzukiAssist: Shuto Nakano
55'Shuto NakanoAssist: Akito Suzuki
57'Shun AyukawaAssist: Mutsuki Kato
58'Goal confirmedShun Ayukawa
62'Mutsuki Kato INTakumu Kawamura out
62'Hayao Kawabe INTaishi Matsumoto out
63'Thiago Andrade INYumeki Yokoyama out
63'Shinnosuke Hatanaka INShinji Kagawa out
63'Javi Hernández INAyumu Ohata out
65'Hayato Okuda INPablo Sabbag out
68'Yotaro Nakajima INSota Koshimichi out
75'Lucas Fernandes INSatoki Uejo out
80'Shun Ayukawa(Penalty)
81'Shun Ayukawa INRento Noguchi out
87'Pablo SabbagFoul
90+1'Satoki UejoAssist: Shinji Kagawa
Lineups
Sanfrecce HiroshimaCerezo Osaka
3-4-2-1Coach: Pablo MachínAvg ratingAvg rating
1K. Osako
15S. Nakano
4H. Araki
19S. Sasaki
5N. Arai
6H. Kawabe
35Y. Nakajima
7S. Higashi
11M. Kato
23S. Ayukawa
10A. Suzuki
23K. Nakamura
27D. Cools
44S. Hatanaka
4R. Inoue
16H. Okuda
10S. Tanaka
36J. Irvine
15J. Hernández
77L. Fernandes
11T. Andrade
9S. SakuragawaSanfrecce Hiroshima Substitutes
99I. Ouchi
45S. Kobayashi
32S. Koshimichi68'for Yotaro Nakajima
14T. Matsumoto62'for Hayao Kawabe
46R. Noguchi81'for Shun Ayukawa
33T. Shiotani
18D. Suga
37Kim Ju-Sung45'for Sho Sasaki
8T. Kawamura62'for Mutsuki Kato
Cerezo Osaka Substitutes
8S. Kagawa63'for Shinnosuke Hatanaka
2T. Nakamura
14Y. Yokoyama63'for Thiago Andrade
66A. Ohata63'for Javi Hernández
7S. Uejo75'for Lucas Fernandes90+1'
31K. Abe
19P. Sabbag65'for Hayato Okuda87'
17R. Sakata
97T. Takahashi
Match Stats
Sanfrecce HiroshimaCerezo Osaka 49%Ball Possession51%
9Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
20Total Shots10
11Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal2
14Shots Inside Box4
6Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots5
8Fouls5
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves5
447Total Passes475
351Passes Accurate376
79%Pass Accuracy79%
Team Comparison
Sanfrecce HiroshimaCerezo Osaka1708Elo Rating 1591
2.11Attack 1.59
2.08Defense 1.42
77%Hit Rate 34%
17.3Shots per Game 10.5
5.1Shots on Target 3.2
7.8Corners per Game 2.7
1.0Cards per Game 3.7
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+116 Elo
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Sanfrecce Hiroshima- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
Cerezo Osaka- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Sanfrecce Hiroshima7Wins · 70%Draws330%
Cerezo Osaka0Wins · 0%
0Wins · 0%2.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
25/04/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaCerezo Osaka21
22/02/2026Cerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima12
31/08/2025Cerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima11
06/04/2025Sanfrecce HiroshimaCerezo Osaka21
11/08/2024Sanfrecce HiroshimaCerezo Osaka20
26/05/2024Cerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima11
21/10/2023Sanfrecce HiroshimaCerezo Osaka00
29/04/2023Cerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima01
22/10/2022Cerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima12
07/09/2022Cerezo OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima12
Recent Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima6W2D2L
06/09/2026
Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba OsakaSanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
JEF United Chiba
Fagiano OkayamaSanfrecce Hiroshima32
L02/09/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaNagoya Grampus30
W29/08/2026Gamba OsakaSanfrecce Hiroshima00
D26/08/2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Okinawa SV
22/08/2026Sanfrecce HiroshimaOkinawa SV41
WSanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale11
D15/08/2026
UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima
08/08/2026UrawaSanfrecce Hiroshima14
WSanfrecce HiroshimaJEF United Chiba30
W28/07/2026Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Verspah Oita
Sanfrecce HiroshimaVerspah Oita40
W14/07/2026
NK Slaven BelupoSanfrecce Hiroshima
NK Slaven BelupoSanfrecce Hiroshima13
W11/07/2026
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima
Sturm GrazSanfrecce Hiroshima41
LCerezo Osaka7W1D2L
06/09/2026Cerezo Osaka
Tokyo VerdyCerezo Osaka
Kashiwa Reysol
Avispa FukuokaCerezo OsakaCerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama
Cerezo OsakaTokyo Verdy00
D02/09/2026Cerezo OsakaKashiwa Reysol20
W29/08/2026
Vissel KobeCerezo Osaka
Vissel KobeCerezo Osaka10
L26/08/2026Cerezo Osaka
FC Gifu
Cerezo OsakaFC Gifu31
W22/08/2026Cerezo Osaka
Shimizu S-pulse
15/08/2026Cerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulse10
WAvispa FukuokaCerezo Osaka30
L08/08/2026Cerezo OsakaFagiano Okayama21
W29/07/2026Cerezo Osaka
Borussia Dortmund
Cerezo OsakaBorussia Dortmund10
W15/07/2026Cerezo Osaka
Tochigi City
Cerezo OsakaTochigi City10
W06/06/2026
FC TokyoCerezo Osaka
FC TokyoCerezo Osaka13
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Machida Zelvia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 30:10 | +20 | 27 | DWWWL |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 27:8 | +19 | 27 | WDWWW |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 29:10 | +19 | 26 | WLWWW |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 25:19 | +6 | 25 | WDLWW |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 18:11 | +7 | 23 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 25:18 | +7 | 22 | WWWLD |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 7 | 0 | 5 | 21:23 | -2 | 21 | WWWLW |
| 8 |  Kashima | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 25:21 | +4 | 20 | LDWWD |
| 9 |  Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 16:12 | +4 | 18 | DDDDW |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 5 | 1 | 6 | 15:17 | -2 | 16 | LWLLL |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14:18 | -4 | 14 | DDWWL |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 12:19 | -7 | 14 | DDLDD |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 10:20 | -10 | 14 | LLDWW |
| 14 |  V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 | LWLDD |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 14:21 | -7 | 11 | DWDLL |
| 16 |  Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 15:23 | -8 | 10 | DDLLW |
| 17 |  Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 9 | LLLLL |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 9:21 | -12 | 8 | WDLLL |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 13:21 | -8 | 7 | LLLWL |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 7 | DLDDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Machida Zelvia | 12 | 30:10 | 27 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 12 | 27:8 | 27 |
| 3 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 12 | 29:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Kashiwa Reysol | 12 | 25:19 | 25 |
| 5 | Vissel Kobe | 12 | 18:11 | 23 |
| 6 | Kawasaki Frontale | 12 | 25:18 | 22 |
| 7 | Urawa | 12 | 21:23 | 21 |
| 8 | Kashima | 12 | 25:21 | 20 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 12 | 16:12 | 18 |
| 10 | Fagiano Okayama | 12 | 15:17 | 16 |
| 11 | Nagoya Grampus | 12 | 14:18 | 14 |
| 12 | Cerezo Osaka | 12 | 12:19 | 14 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-pulse | 12 | 10:20 | 14 |
| 14 | V-varen Nagasaki | 12 | 15:19 | 12 |
| 15 | Gamba Osaka | 12 | 14:21 | 11 |
| 16 | Kyoto Sanga | 12 | 15:23 | 10 |
| 17 | Mito Hollyhock | 12 | 12:22 | 9 |
| 18 | Tokyo Verdy | 12 | 9:21 | 8 |
| 19 | Avispa Fukuoka | 12 | 13:21 | 7 |
| 20 | JEF United Chiba | 12 | 12:24 | 7 |
Champions LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More J1 League matches
- Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse 06/09/26
- Kyoto Sanga vs Kashiwa Reysol 11/09/26
- Vissel Kobe vs Kashima 11/09/26
- Shimizu S-pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka 12/09/26
- Machida Zelvia vs Yokohama F. Marinos 12/09/26
- V-varen Nagasaki vs Nagoya Grampus 12/09/26
- Urawa vs Fagiano Okayama 13/09/26
- Shimizu S-pulse vs JEF United Chiba 19/09/26
About the Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Cerezo Osaka forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Cerezo Osaka in the J1 League table
In the J1 League table, Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 3rd and Cerezo Osaka 12th, 12 points apart. League goal record so far: Sanfrecce Hiroshima 29-10, Cerezo Osaka 12-19. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.