Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse Prediction

Kawasaki Todoroki Stadium, Kawasaki 06/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel50%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Value Analysis
66%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.57
SignalGOODModel48%SurpriseMediumGap+7.1%
Kawasaki Frontale Rest
4 days
Shimizu S-pulse Rest
4 days

Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse: the result in context

Kawasaki Frontale beat Shimizu S-pulse 3-1 in the J1 League on 6 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Kawasaki Frontale have had the better of this fixture, winning 8 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 4.0 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
52%1.85
X
28%3.65
2
20%3.90
Double Chance
1X
80%1.25
X2
48%1.90
Both Teams to Score
Yes
66%1.57
No
34%2.26
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.59 + 1.47 = 3.06
Over 1.5
83%1.19
Over 2.5
59%1.63
Over 3.5
37%2.54
Under 1.5
17%4.33
Under 2.5
41%2.19
Under 3.5
63%1.45
Corners
Projected Corners: 6 + 4 = 10
Over 8.5
62%1.49
Over 9.5
47%1.80
Over 10.5
42%2.27
Under 8.5
38%2.43
Under 9.5
53%1.92
Under 10.5
58%1.54
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 1.4 = 3.1
Over 3.5
37%-
Over 4.5
20%-
Under 3.5
63%-
Under 4.5
80%-

Match Events

1'Kyosuke MochiyamaAssist: Asahi Sasaki
27'Tomoya FujiiFoul
40'Jelani Reshaun Sumiyoshi
44'Kai Matsuzaki INPark Seung-Wook out
45'Kazuya Konno INMarcio Augusto da Silva Barbosa out
45'Kyosuke Mochiyama INDerik Lacerda out
57'Kosuke Kinoshita INOh Se-hun out
57'Tomoya Fujii INKenta Inoue out
58'Yutaka Yoshida INMateus Brunetti Valor out
68'Oh Se-hun(Penalty)
72'Marcio Augusto da Silva BarbosaFoul
73'Kento Tachibanada INYuto Ozeki out
77'Marcio Augusto da Silva BarbosaAssist: Derik Lacerda
80'Mateus Brunetti ValorDissent
82'Asahi Sasaki INSota Miura out
83'Yuji TakahashiFoul
86'Yudai Shimamoto INKazuki Kozuka out
90'Marcio Augusto da Silva BarbosaAssist: Yasuto Wakizaka
90+3'Tatsuya Ito INShuto Yamaichi out

Lineups

Kawasaki Frontale
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Hasebe
Shimizu S-pulse
4-3-3Coach: T. Yoshida
Avg rating7.14
Avg rating6.15
S. Brodersen6.649S. Brodersen
R. Yamahara7.429R. Yamahara
F. Uremović6.722F. Uremović
Y. Maruyama6.928Y. Maruyama
A. Sasaki7.75A. Sasaki
K. Tachibanada6.48K. Tachibanada
Y. Yamamoto7.16Y. Yamamoto
K. Konno6.718K. Konno
Y. Wakizaka7.714Y. Wakizaka
T. Ito7.217T. Ito
K. Mochiyama7.920K. Mochiyama
T. Umeda6.616T. Umeda
H. Sugai5.824H. Sugai
Y. Takahashi6.03Y. Takahashi
J. Sumiyoshi5.351J. Sumiyoshi
Y. Yoshida5.728Y. Yoshida
Y. Shimamoto6.347Y. Shimamoto
R. Germain5.613R. Germain
M. Yumiba6.017M. Yumiba
K. Matsuzaki6.521K. Matsuzaki
K. Kinoshita6.519K. Kinoshita
T. Fujii6.150T. Fujii

Kawasaki Frontale Substitutes

25Shuto Yamaichi90+3'for Tatsuya Ito
1L. Yamaguchi
3H. Taniguchi
4Pedro Romano
16Y. Ozeki73'for Kento Tachibanada6.4
13S. Miura82'for Asahi Sasaki6.6
23Marcinho45'for Kazuya Konno72'77'90'9.1
19S. Kawahara
97Derik Lacerda45'for Kyosuke Mochiyama6.9

Shimizu S-pulse Substitutes

6Won Du-Jae
70S. Takagi
14Park Seung-Wook44'for Kai Matsuzaki6.2
1Y. Oki
9Oh Se-Hun57'for Kosuke Kinoshita68'7.8
81K. Kozuka86'for Yudai Shimamoto5.9
8K. Inoue57'for Tomoya Fujii6.4
7Capixaba
25Mateus Brunetti58'for Yutaka Yoshida80'5.7

Match Stats

Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse
56%Ball Possession44%
8Corner Kicks5
1Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
25Total Shots13
9Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal5
15Shots Inside Box9
10Shots Outside Box4
9Blocked Shots4
16Fouls11
4Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
488Total Passes365
426Passes Accurate291
87%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
1671Elo Rating 1483
2.61Attack 0.84
2.24Defense 0.00
100%Hit Rate 14%
10.5Shots per Game 9.2
4.5Shots on Target 3.0
3.0Corners per Game 4.2
1.3Cards per Game 1.3

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+188 Elo
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.07 goals
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.7 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale8Wins · 80%
Draws110%
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1Wins · 10%
4.0Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

J1 League18/10/2025
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse
53
J1 League12/04/2025
Shimizu S-pulseKawasaki Frontale
11
J-League Cup19/04/2023
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse
60
J-League Cup08/03/2023
Shimizu S-pulseKawasaki Frontale
32
J1 League08/10/2022
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse
32
J1 League07/05/2022
Shimizu S-pulseKawasaki Frontale
02
J1 League24/10/2021
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse
10
Emperor Cup18/08/2021
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse
21
J1 League17/07/2021
Shimizu S-pulseKawasaki Frontale
02
J-League Cup16/02/2020
Kawasaki FrontaleShimizu S-pulse
51

Recent Form

Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale
3W4D3L
02/09/2026
Machida ZelviaKawasaki Frontale
21
L
29/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleJEF United Chiba
42
W
26/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleTochigi SC
31
W
22/08/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
11
D
15/08/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleKyoto Sanga
22
D
09/08/2026
Tokyo VerdyKawasaki Frontale
11
D
16/07/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleVanraure Hachinohe
00
D
06/06/2026
Kawasaki FrontaleSanfrecce Hiroshima
01
L
30/05/2026
Sanfrecce HiroshimaKawasaki Frontale
21
L
24/05/2026
Mito HollyhockKawasaki Frontale
13
W
Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse
3W3D4L
02/09/2026
Shimizu S-pulseFC Tokyo
11
D
29/08/2026
Shimizu S-pulseKashiwa Reysol
01
L
26/08/2026
Shimizu S-pulseOsaka
2111
W
22/08/2026
Cerezo OsakaShimizu S-pulse
10
L
15/08/2026
Shimizu S-pulseYokohama F. Marinos
01
L
08/08/2026
Nagoya GrampusShimizu S-pulse
01
W
18/07/2026
Karlsruher SCShimizu S-pulse
11
D
14/07/2026
PolessyaShimizu S-pulse
13
W
06/06/2026
Yokohama F. MarinosShimizu S-pulse
30
L
31/05/2026
Shimizu S-pulseYokohama F. Marinos
11
D

League Table

J1 League 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1393131:8+2330WWDWW
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1392232:10+2229WWLWW
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1384130:10+2028DDWWW
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1391329:19+1028WWDLW
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1382321:12+926WDLWL
6KashimaKashima1372429:22+723WLDWW
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1364327:22+522LWWWL
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1356220:14+621WDDDD
9UrawaUrawa1370621:27-621LWWWL
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1351715:21-616LLWLL
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1342715:21-614LDDWW
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1335513:23-1014LDDLD
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1342710:22-1214LLLDW
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1334617:23-613WDDLL
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1333716:21-512LLWLD
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1326514:21-712DDWDL
17Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1325611:22-1111WWDLL
18JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1324715:24-910WDLDD
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1323812:25-139LLLLL
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka13211013:24-117LLLLW
#TeamMPGPts
1FC TokyoFC Tokyo1331:830
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaSanfrecce Hiroshima1332:1029
3Machida ZelviaMachida Zelvia1330:1028
4Kashiwa ReysolKashiwa Reysol1329:1928
5Vissel KobeVissel Kobe1321:1226
6KashimaKashima1329:2223
7Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki Frontale1327:2222
8Yokohama F. MarinosYokohama F. Marinos1320:1421
9UrawaUrawa1321:2721
10Fagiano OkayamaFagiano Okayama1315:2116
11Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus1315:2114
12Cerezo OsakaCerezo Osaka1313:2314
13Shimizu S-pulseShimizu S-pulse1310:2214
14Kyoto SangaKyoto Sanga1317:2313
15V-varen NagasakiV-varen Nagasaki1316:2112
16Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka1314:2112
17Tokyo VerdyTokyo Verdy1311:2211
18JEF United ChibaJEF United Chiba1315:2410
19Mito HollyhockMito Hollyhock1312:259
20Avispa FukuokaAvispa Fukuoka1313:247
Champions LeagueRelegation

About the Kawasaki Frontale vs Shimizu S-pulse forecast

The forecasts for this J1 League match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Kawasaki Frontale and Shimizu S-pulse in the J1 League table

In the J1 League table, Kawasaki Frontale are 7th and Shimizu S-pulse 13th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Kawasaki Frontale 27-22, Shimizu S-pulse 10-22. The full standings are on the J1 League Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Kawasaki Frontale have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.