Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia Prediction

Slovenia
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
FYR Macedonia
Stožice Stadium, Ljubljana·Andrea Colombo 29/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
58%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.58
SignalNEUTRALModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-4.9%
Slovenia Rest
3 days
FYR Macedonia Rest
3 days

Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia: result, form and history

Slovenia beat FYR Macedonia 2-0 in the UEFA Nations League on 29 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Andrea Colombo averages 5.03 cards a game, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
59%1.62
X
26%3.60
2
15%6.10
Double Chance
1X
85%1.13
X2
41%2.30
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%2.25
No
58%1.58
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.22 + 0.78 = 3.00
Over 1.5
69%1.44
Over 2.5
46%2.38
Over 3.5
27%4.50
Under 1.5
31%2.62
Under 2.5
54%1.59
Under 3.5
73%1.18
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.4 + 2.5 = 7.9
Over 8.5
53%1.75
Over 9.5
42%2.25
Over 10.5
31%3.08
Under 8.5
47%2.00
Under 9.5
58%1.57
Under 10.5
69%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2.3 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%1.78
Over 4.5
43%2.15
Under 3.5
37%1.98
Under 4.5
57%1.65

Match Events

51'Andrej StojchevskiFoul
55'Sandi LovricAssist: Tjas Begic
57'Jani AtanasovFoul
61'Dimitar Mitrovski INHristijan Maleski out
61'Agon Elezi INEnis Bardhi out
71'Anes Meljichi INVisar Musliu out
71'Jani Atanasov INLuka·Stankovski out
71'Sandi Lovric INMark Zabukovnik out
71'Zan Vipotnik INŽan Celar out
71'Tjas Begic INAljosa Matko out
78'Aljosa MatkoFoul
80'Din Alomerovic INBojan Miovski out
82'Aljosa MatkoAssist: Danijel Sturm
85'Adam Gnezda Čerin INTimi Elsnik out
85'Vanja Drkusic INDavid Zec out

Lineups

Slovenia
5-4-1Coach: B. Cesar
FYR Macedonia
4-2-3-1Coach: G. Sedloski
Avg rating6.91
Avg rating6.28
J. Oblak6.91J. Oblak
Ž. Karničnik7.22Ž. Karničnik
D. Brekalo6.823D. Brekalo
J. Bijol6.96J. Bijol
V. Drkušić7.021V. Drkušić
E. Janža6.613E. Janža
T. Begić7.37T. Begić
S. Lovrić8.08S. Lovrić
A. Čerin6.722A. Čerin
D. Šturm7.615D. Šturm
Z. Vipotnik6.718Z. Vipotnik
S. Dimitrievski6.123S. Dimitrievski
A. Stojchevski6.04A. Stojchevski
M. Mladenovski6.414M. Mladenovski
Anes Meljichi6.613A. Meljichi
S. Alomeroviс5.83S. Alomeroviс
M. Gashtarov6.516M. Gashtarov
J. Atanasov6.621J. Atanasov
D. Mitrovski6.020D. Mitrovski
A. Elezi5.815A. Elezi
E. Elmas6.47E. Elmas
A. Omeragikj6.317A. Omeragikj

Slovenia Substitutes

11Ž. Celar71'for Zan Vipotnik6.4
17D. Zec85'for Vanja Drkusic6.5
4M. Zabukovnik71'for Sandi Lovric6.5
12M. Vidovšek
14T. Svetlin
9A. Šporar
20A. Matko71'for Tjas Begic78'82'7.2
3J. Balkovec
10T. Elšnik85'for Adam Gnezda Čerin6.3
19T. Horvat
5S. Kuzmić
16Žan-Luk Leban

FYR Macedonia Substitutes

1D. Taleski
10E. Bardhi61'for Agon Elezi6.7
12D. Shishkovski
11E. Rastoder
6V. Musliu71'for Anes Meljichi6.4
9B. Miovski80'for Din Alomerovic6.8
22H. Maleski61'for Dimitar Mitrovski6.2
19L. Doriev
18G. Dzhekov
2Bojan Ilievski
5G. Zajkov
8L. Stankovski71'for Jani Atanasov5.9

Match Stats

SloveniaFYR Macedonia
52%Ball Possession48%
6Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards2
16Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal1
5Shots off Goal4
13Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots4
8Fouls8
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
502Total Passes478
433Passes Accurate392
8Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

SloveniaSlovenia
FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia
1563Elo Rating 1498
1.30Attack 0.00
2.13Defense 0.28
46%Hit Rate 0%
11.2Shots per Game 5.4
3.1Shots on Target 0.2
4.7Corners per Game 1.9
3.1Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3 goals
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

SloveniaSlovenia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

SloveniaSlovenia0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia1Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Euro Championship10/10/2019
FYR MacedoniaSlovenia
21
Euro Championship24/03/2019
SloveniaFYR Macedonia
11

Recent Form

SloveniaSlovenia
1W6D3L
26/09/2026
SloveniaScotland
00
D
07/06/2026
CroatiaSlovenia
21
L
04/06/2026
SloveniaCyprus
11
D
18/11/2025
SwedenSlovenia
11
D
15/11/2025
SloveniaKosovo
02
L
13/10/2025
SloveniaSwitzerland
00
D
10/10/2025
KosovoSlovenia
00
D
08/09/2025
SwitzerlandSlovenia
30
L
05/09/2025
SloveniaSweden
22
D
23/03/2025
SloveniaSlovakia
1000
W
FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia
2W4D4L
26/09/2026
FYR MacedoniaSwitzerland
03
L
01/06/2026
TürkiyeFYR Macedonia
40
L
29/05/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaFYR Macedonia
00
D
26/03/2026
DenmarkFYR Macedonia
40
L
18/11/2025
WalesFYR Macedonia
71
L
13/10/2025
FYR MacedoniaKazakhstan
11
D
10/10/2025
BelgiumFYR Macedonia
00
D
07/09/2025
FYR MacedoniaLiechtenstein
50
W
09/06/2025
KazakhstanFYR Macedonia
01
W
06/06/2025
FYR MacedoniaBelgium
11
D

Referee Profile

Andrea Colombo139 matches

5.03Cards per match
4.77Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
27.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andrea Colombo5.03
Other referees4.53

5.03 cards a match, 0.50 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.53).

Cards come from 116 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland440011:1+1012WWWW
2SloveniaSlovenia42115:3+27WLWD
3ScotlandScotland41123:5-24LWLD
4FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia40040:10-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SwitzerlandSwitzerland411:112
2SloveniaSlovenia45:37
3ScotlandScotland43:54
4FYR MacedoniaFYR Macedonia40:100
PromotionRelegation

About the Slovenia vs FYR Macedonia forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Slovenia and FYR Macedonia in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Slovenia are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 7 points ahead of FYR Macedonia in 4th. League goal record so far: Slovenia 5-3, FYR Macedonia 0-10. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Slovenia and FYR Macedonia have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.5 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.