Sweden vs Poland Prediction
World · League B - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Sweden vs Poland: result, form and history
Sweden beat Poland 3-1 in the UEFA Nations League on 28 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 3 previous meetings averaged 4.0 goals, and both sides scored in 2 of them. Referee Javier Alberola Rojas averages 3.68 cards a game, 1.22 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Sweden
Avg ratingAvg rating
12V. Johansson
8D. Svensson
15C. Starfelt
3V. Lindelöf
5G. Gudmundsson
11P. Wålemark
7L. Bergvall
18Y. Ayari
22B. Zeneli
10B. Nygren
17V. Gyökeres
1M. Bułka
3P. Wiśniewski
5J. Bednarek
14J. Kiwior
2M. Cash
16W. Nowak
10P. Zieliński
15T. Puchacz
20S. Szymański
13M. Żukowski
21N. ZalewskiSweden Substitutes
Poland Substitutes
Match Stats
SwedenPoland Team Comparison
SwedenPolandAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Sweden- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
Poland- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.3 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Sweden2Wins · 67%1Wins · 33%Previous meetings
31/03/2026SwedenPoland29/03/2022PolandSweden
23/06/2021SwedenPolandRecent Form
SwedenSweden
Romania
FranceSweden
JapanSweden
NetherlandsSwedenSweden
TunisiaSweden
Greece
NorwaySwedenSwedenPoland
UkraineSwedenSweden
SloveniaPolandPoland
Bosnia & HerzegovinaPoland
NigeriaPolandUkraineSwedenPolandPoland
Albania
MaltaPolandPolandNetherlands
LithuaniaPolandPoland
FinlandNetherlandsPolandReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.68 cards a match, 1.22 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.90).
Cards come from 148 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 7:3 | +4 | 10 | WDWW |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6:3 | +3 | 8 | WDWD |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:4 | +3 | 4 | LWLD |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:13 | -10 | 0 | LLLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sweden | 4 | 7:3 | 10 |
| 2 | Bosnia & Herzegovina | 4 | 6:3 | 8 |
| 3 | Poland | 4 | 7:4 | 4 |
| 4 | Romania | 4 | 3:13 | 0 |
Explore more predictions
This match
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About the Sweden vs Poland forecast
This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Sweden and Poland in the UEFA Nations League table
This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Sweden are 1st in the UEFA Nations League, 6 points ahead of Poland in 3rd. League goal record so far: Sweden 7-3, Poland 7-4. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.