Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina Prediction

Arena Națională, Bucharest·Luis Miguel Branco Godinho 28/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
68%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.38
SignalSOLIDModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Value Analysis
70%Trust
Home Cards
Home Cards Under 2.5
1.69
SignalGOODModel70%SurpriseMediumGap+11.3%
Romania Rest
3 days
Bosnia & Herzegovina Rest
3 days

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina: the result in context

Bosnia & Herzegovina beat Romania 4-2 in the UEFA Nations League on 28 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Bosnia & Herzegovina have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
41%2.39
X
28%3.25
2
31%3.00
Double Chance
1X
69%1.38
X2
59%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.78
No
50%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 0.97 = 2.67
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
49%2.06
Over 3.5
30%3.50
Under 1.5
27%3.20
Under 2.5
51%1.78
Under 3.5
70%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.9 + 3.3 = 9.1
Over 8.5
55%1.76
Over 9.5
45%2.28
Over 10.5
33%3.06
Under 8.5
45%1.99
Under 9.5
55%1.59
Under 10.5
67%1.30
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 2.3 = 4.2
Over 3.5
61%-
Over 4.5
41%1.73
Under 3.5
39%-
Under 4.5
59%2.00

Match Events

12'Armin GigovicAssist: Esmir Bajraktarević
16'Ermin MahmićFoul
19'Tarik MuharemovicAssist: Ivan Bašić
28'Daniel BirligeaAssist: Lisav Naif Eissat
40'Haris Tabaković
45'Valentin Mihăilă INLouis Munteanu out
45'Darius Olaru INAlexandru Cicâldău out
55'Ermin MahmićAssist: Esmir Bajraktarević
62'Alexandru Cicâldău
63'Esmir Bajraktarević INAjdin Hasić out
63'Ermin Mahmić INErmedin Demirović out
65'Vladimir Screciu INDavid Matei out
65'Nicolae Stanciu INOlimpiu Moruțan out
74'Haris Tabaković INJovo Lukić out
80'Tarik MuharemovicFoul
81'Andrei Burcă INTony Strata out
81'Armin Gigovic INBenjamin Tahirovic out
81'Sead Kolašinac INNihad Mujakić out

Lineups

Romania
4-3-1-2Coach: G. Hagi
Bosnia & Herzegovina
4-2-3-1Coach: S. Barbarez
Avg rating6.33
Avg rating6.88
I. Radu5.91I. Radu
A. Coubiș6.34A. Coubiș
A. Burcă6.415A. Burcă
M. Ilie6.03M. Ilie
L. Eissat6.623L. Eissat
N. Stanciu6.110N. Stanciu
V. Screciu6.617V. Screciu
V. Dragomir7.022V. Dragomir
D. Olaru5.920D. Olaru
D. Bîrligea7.511D. Bîrligea
V. Mihăilă6.313V. Mihăilă
M. Zlomislić6.222M. Zlomislić
A. Memić7.015A. Memić
N. Katić6.718N. Katić
T. Muharemović7.44T. Muharemović
S. Kolašinac6.35S. Kolašinac
I. Bašić7.713I. Bašić
A. Gigović7.88A. Gigović
E. Bajraktarevic8.520E. Bajraktarevic
Ermin Mahmić7.216E. Mahmić
Kerim-Sam Alajbegović6.219K. Alajbegović
H. Tabaković7.723H. Tabaković

Romania Substitutes

14A. Borza
6T. Băluță
8A. Cicâldău45'for Darius Olaru62'6.7
18C. Cîrjan
16V. Cojocaru
5V. Ghiță
12O. Hindrich
19D. Matei65'for Vladimir Screciu5.9
21O. Moruțan65'for Nicolae Stanciu6.3
9L. Munteanu45'for Valentin Mihăilă6.4
2T. Strata81'for Andrei Burcă5.7
7F. Tănase

Bosnia & Herzegovina Substitutes

7Z. Smajlović
14I. Šunjić
6B. Tahirović81'for Armin Gigovic6.0
21S. Radeljić
2N. Mujakić81'for Sead Kolašinac6.1
3A. Malic
11J. Lukić74'for Haris Tabaković6.7
1M. Jurkas
17A. Hasić63'for Esmir Bajraktarević6.0
12S. Hamzić
10E. Demirović63'for Ermin Mahmić6.6
9L. Đurić

Match Stats

RomaniaBosnia & Herzegovina
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks3
0Yellow Cards2
13Total Shots15
4Shots on Goal7
3Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box9
7Shots Outside Box6
6Blocked Shots3
15Fouls9
3Offsides1
3Goalkeeper Saves2
592Total Passes461
520Passes Accurate392
9Free Kicks15

Team Comparison

RomaniaRomania
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
1524Elo Rating 1554
0.56Attack 1.28
0.10Defense 2.10
0%Hit Rate 46%
10.8Shots per Game 9.2
2.7Shots on Target 2.7
2.8Corners per Game 3.0
3.0Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

RomaniaRomania
  • No tendency data available
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

RomaniaRomania1Wins · 25%
Draws00%
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina3Wins · 75%
2.8Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored2 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

World Cup - Qualification Europe15/11/2025
Bosnia & HerzegovinaRomania
31
World Cup - Qualification Europe21/03/2025
RomaniaBosnia & Herzegovina
01
UEFA Nations League26/09/2022
RomaniaBosnia & Herzegovina
41
UEFA Nations League07/06/2022
Bosnia & HerzegovinaRomania
10

Recent Form

RomaniaRomania
4W2D4L
25/09/2026
SwedenRomania
21
L
06/06/2026
RomaniaWales
21
W
02/06/2026
GeorgiaRomania
11
D
26/03/2026
TürkiyeRomania
10
L
18/11/2025
RomaniaSan Marino
71
W
15/11/2025
Bosnia & HerzegovinaRomania
31
L
12/10/2025
RomaniaAustria
10
W
09/09/2025
CyprusRomania
22
D
10/06/2025
RomaniaCyprus
20
W
07/06/2025
AustriaRomania
21
L
Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina
3W5D2L
25/09/2026
PolandBosnia & Herzegovina
00
D
02/07/2026
USABosnia & Herzegovina
20
L
24/06/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaQatar
31
W
18/06/2026
SwitzerlandBosnia & Herzegovina
41
L
12/06/2026
CanadaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
06/06/2026
PanamaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D
29/05/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaFYR Macedonia
00
D
31/03/2026
Bosnia & HerzegovinaItaly
4111
W
26/03/2026
WalesBosnia & Herzegovina
2141
W
18/11/2025
AustriaBosnia & Herzegovina
11
D

Referee Profile

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho221 matches

5.55Cards per match
5.30Yellow cards per match
0.25Red cards per match
29.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luis Miguel Branco Godinho5.55
Other referees5.27

5.55 cards a match, 0.28 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.27).

Cards come from 181 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Nations League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1SwedenSweden43107:3+410WDWW
2Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina42206:3+38WDWD
3PolandPoland41127:4+34LWLD
4RomaniaRomania40043:13-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1SwedenSweden47:310
2Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina46:38
3PolandPoland47:44
4RomaniaRomania43:130
PromotionRelegation

About the Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina forecast

This is a UEFA Nations League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Romania and Bosnia & Herzegovina in the UEFA Nations League table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Bosnia & Herzegovina are 2nd in the UEFA Nations League, 8 points ahead of Romania in 4th. League goal record so far: Romania 3-13, Bosnia & Herzegovina 6-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Nations League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.