St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford Prediction

Premier DivisionIreland Ireland · Regular Season - 29
St Patrick's Athl.
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Waterford
Richmond Park, Dublin·D. Toland 28/08/2026
St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
0-2
Finished
WaterfordWaterford

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams NOT to Score
1.89
SignalNEUTRALModel46%SurpriseMediumGap+4.9%
St Patrick's Athl. Rest
7 days
Waterford Rest
6 days

St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford: the result in context

Waterford beat St Patrick's Athl. 2-0 in the Premier Division on 28 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
53%1.33
X
28%5.00
2
19%7.60
Double Chance
1X
81%1.07
X2
46%3.10
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.81
No
54%1.89
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.42 + 0.97 = 2.39
Over 1.5
66%1.16
Over 2.5
46%1.53
Over 3.5
24%2.37
Under 1.5
34%4.72
Under 2.5
54%2.35
Under 3.5
76%1.55
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

55'J. VoilasAssist: T. Lonergan
59'D. Nugent INR. Sheridan out
60'A. Breslin INJ. Brown out
66'A. Keena INR. Edmondson out
76'J. MahonAssist: B. Couto
78'C. Forrester INS. Rooney out
78'L. Turner INJ. McClelland out
78'J. Houston INH. Cann out
88'N. Mawene IND. McMenamy out
88'E. McLaughlin INL. Heeney out

Lineups

St Patrick's Athl.
3-5-2Coach: Stephen Kenny
Waterford
3-5-2Coach: Graham Coughlan
Avg rating6.77
Avg rating6.99
Joseph Anang6.794J. Anang
Joe RedmondC8.04J. Redmond
Sean Hoare7.22S. Hoare
Luke Turner6.624L. Turner
Zac Elbouzedi6.67Z. Elbouzedi
Chris Forrester6.68C. Forrester
Jamie Lennon6.96J. Lennon
Darragh Nugent6.916D. Nugent
Anto Breslin6.93A. Breslin
Anthony Olusanya6.521A. Olusanya
Aidan Keena6.69A. Keena
Stephen McMullan7.71S. McMullan
Jordan Houston7.72J. Houston
John Mahon7.75J. Mahon
Kevin Long6.513K. Long
Jørgen Voilås7.620J. Voilås
Conan Noonan6.210C. Noonan
Noah Mawene7.27N. Mawene
Evan McLaughlin6.28E. McLaughlin
Benny Couto7.63B. Couto
Pádraig AmondC6.39P. Amond
Tom Lonergan6.218T. Lonergan

St Patrick's Athl. Substitutes

23James Brown60'for A. Breslin6.5
48Ryan Sheridan59'for D. Nugent6.5
27Ryan Edmondson66'for A. Keena6.3
1Danny Rogers
33Sean McHale
11Jason McClelland78'for L. Turner
19Barry Baggley
17Romal Palmer
35Sam Rooney78'for C. Forrester

Waterford Substitutes

21Arlo Doherty
16Hayden Cann78'for J. Houston
6Joe Ashton
56Aaron Brennan
27Dean McMenamy88'for N. Mawene
15Luke Heeney88'for E. McLaughlin
12Blair McKenzie
17Jordan Faria
11Trae Coyle

Match Stats

St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
70%Ball Possession30%
8Corner Kicks10
16Total Shots21
6Shots on Goal6
6Shots off Goal6
10Shots Inside Box16
6Shots Outside Box5
4Blocked Shots9
4Fouls8
4Goalkeeper Saves6
546Total Passes226
443Passes Accurate130
81%Pass Accuracy58%

Team Comparison

St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
WaterfordWaterford
1613Elo Rating 1631
0.85Attack 2.53
1.67Defense 1.51
14%Hit Rate 83%
17.7Shots per Game 16.0
4.4Shots on Target 6.1
6.4Corners per Game 4.6
2.0Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
WaterfordWaterford
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 1.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.5Wins · 50%
Draws440%
WaterfordWaterford1Wins · 10%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division10/07/2026
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
11
Premier Division08/05/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
41
Premier Division20/03/2026
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
02
Premier Division24/10/2025
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
11
Premier Division03/08/2025
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
02
Premier Division23/05/2025
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
22
Premier Division28/03/2025
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
12
Premier Division20/09/2024
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
30
Premier Division04/07/2024
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
10
Premier Division19/04/2024
St Patrick's Athl.Waterford
11

Recent Form

St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.
5W3D2L
21/08/2026
Drogheda UnitedSt Patrick's Athl.
02
W
16/08/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Shamrock Rovers
3222
W
09/08/2026
ShelbourneSt Patrick's Athl.
12
W
02/08/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Derry City
11
D
24/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Dundalk
11
D
17/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Wexford
21
W
14/07/2026
DoncasterSt Patrick's Athl.
42
L
10/07/2026
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
11
D03/07/2026
St Patrick's Athl.Galway United
30
W26/06/2026
BohemiansSt Patrick's Athl.
20
L
WaterfordWaterford
6W3D1L
21/08/2026
Sligo RoversWaterford
00
D
14/08/2026
WaterfordAthlone Town
21
W
09/08/2026
WaterfordBohemians
31
W02/08/2026
WaterfordShelbourne
10
W
25/07/2026
Galway UnitedWaterford
00
D
17/07/2026
WaterfordCobh Ramblers
21
W
10/07/2026
WaterfordSt Patrick's Athl.
11
D03/07/2026
Derry CityWaterford
24
W
26/06/2026
DundalkWaterford
23
W
19/06/2026
WaterfordShamrock Rovers
02
L

Referee Profile

D. Toland74 matches

5.40Cards per match
5.30Yellow cards per match
0.10Red cards per match
23.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

D. Toland5.40
Other referees4.98

5.40 cards a match, 0.42 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.98).

Cards come from 20 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers36208859:38+2168LWLWW
2BohemiansBohemians36198963:44+1965WLWLW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.361791055:31+2460LDLLW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3612131152:50+249LWWWD
5Derry CityDerry City3611151050:47+348DWWLW
6DundalkDundalk3611121355:59-445WLDLL
7WaterfordWaterford3610131354:61-743WWWLL
8Galway UnitedGalway United3610121446:53-742LDLWD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3610101644:57-1340WLWLL
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers365102128:66-3825DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3659:3868
2BohemiansBohemians3663:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3655:3160
4ShelbourneShelbourne3652:5049
5Derry CityDerry City3650:4748
6DundalkDundalk3655:5945
7WaterfordWaterford3654:6143
8Galway UnitedGalway United3646:5342
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3644:5740
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3628:6625
Relegation

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About the St Patrick's Athl. vs Waterford forecast

The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

St Patrick's Athl. and Waterford in the Premier Division table

The table shows a wide gap: St Patrick's Athl. are 3rd in the Premier Division, while Waterford sit 7th, 17 points behind. League goal record so far: St Patrick's Athl. 55-31, Waterford 54-61. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.