Dundalk vs Galway United Prediction

Dundalk
1-2
Finished
HT 0-1
Galway United
Oriel Park, Dundalk·M. Houlihan 21/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.22
SignalSTRONGModel59%SurpriseMediumGap-1.4%
Dundalk Rest
6 days
Galway United Rest
7 days

Dundalk vs Galway United: result, form and history

Galway United beat Dundalk 2-1 in the Premier Division on 21 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 3 of them. Dundalk tend to win more corners, 5.2 a game to 2.9 for Galway United.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
57%1.73
X
28%3.80
2
15%4.10
Double Chance
1X
85%1.22
X2
43%2.06
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.57
No
51%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1 = 2.56
Over 1.5
71%1.17
Over 2.5
48%1.58
Over 3.5
26%2.45
Under 1.5
29%4.55
Under 2.5
52%2.25
Under 3.5
74%1.51
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

9'Edward McCarthyAssist: Stephen Walsh
32'Leigh KavanaghArgument
37'Mayowa AnimasahunSimulation
55'Kristopher TwardekAssist: Anthony O'Connor
59'Aodh Dervin INDeclan McDaid out
59'Cian Dillon INLeonardo Gaxha out
59'Tom Grivosti INHarry Groome out
62'Leigh Kavanagh INMatthew Wolfe out
69'Harry GroomeFoul
71'Robert Cornwall INShane Tracey out
71'Ronan Teahan INEgor Vassenin out
74'Kristopher Twardek INFrantz Pierrot out
74'Stephen Walsh INFrancely Lomboto out
80'Keith BuckleyArgument
82'Francely LombotoTime wasting
85'Trevor Clarke
90'Francely Lomboto INAl-Amin Kazeem out
90'Matthew Wolfe INJunior Thiam out

Lineups

Dundalk
Coach: Ciaran Kilduff
Galway United
Coach: John Caulfield

Dundalk Starting XI

1Enda Minogue6.2
6Aodh Dervin59'replaced by Declan McDaid6.7
4Mayowa Animasahun37'6.7
24Robert Cornwall71'replaced by Shane Tracey6.2
44Tom Grivosti59'replaced by Harry Groome6.3
18Keith Buckley80'7.3
3Bobby Burns7.0
11Ronan Teahan71'replaced by Egor Vassenin6.6
7Daryl HorganC8.2
15Trevor Clarke85'7.9
9Cian Dillon59'replaced by Leonardo Gaxha5.9
Avg rating6.77

Galway United Starting XI

16Hugo Cunha6.9
15Wasiri Ola Williams7.9
2Anthony O'Connor7.3
12Gianfranco Facchineri6.9
4Jimmy KeohaneC6.7
19Leigh Kavanagh32'62'replaced by Matthew Wolfe6.7
10David Hurley6.9
20Lee Devitt6.9
24Edward McCarthy9'8.0
11Kristopher Twardek55'74'replaced by Frantz Pierrot7.0
7Stephen Walsh74'replaced by Francely Lomboto6.7
Avg rating6.93

Dundalk Substitutes

8Harry Groome59'for Tom Grivosti69'6.3
10Leonardo Gaxha59'for Cian Dillon6.2
27Declan McDaid59'for Aodh Dervin7.3
16Egor Vassenin71'for Ronan Teahan6.9
17Shane Tracey71'for Robert Cornwall6.6
35Samuel Safaei
13Peter Cherrie
12Luke Mulligan
23Aaron Keogh

Galway United Substitutes

14Matthew Wolfe62'for Leigh Kavanagh90'for Junior Thiam6.5
23Frantz Pierrot74'for Kristopher Twardek6.3
9Francely Lomboto74'for Stephen Walsh82'90'for Al-Amin Kazeem6.3
30Al-Amin Kazeem90'replaced by Francely Lomboto
17Junior Thiam90'replaced by Matthew Wolfe
32Vincent Angelini
3Connor Barratt
21Dylan Connolly
37Mitchell Bates

Match Stats

DundalkGalway United
75%Ball Possession25%
10Corner Kicks0
3Yellow Cards2
27Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal3
13Shots off Goal0
15Shots Inside Box5
12Shots Outside Box0
10Blocked Shots2
7Fouls18
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
558Total Passes198
435Passes Accurate71
78%Pass Accuracy36%

Team Comparison

DundalkDundalk
Galway UnitedGalway United
1521Elo Rating 1522
1.68Attack 0.72
1.32Defense 1.59
27%Hit Rate 17%
18.6Shots per Game 9.5
5.8Shots on Target 4.0
5.2Corners per Game 2.9
1.4Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

DundalkDundalk
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.1 in first half)
Galway UnitedGalway United
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

DundalkDundalk2Wins · 25%
Draws225%
Galway UnitedGalway United4Wins · 50%
2.5Avg Goals
38%Both teams scored3 of 8
38%3+ goals3 of 8

Previous meetings

Premier Division12/06/2026
Galway UnitedDundalk
01
Premier Division17/04/2026
DundalkGalway United
21
Premier Division06/03/2026
Galway UnitedDundalk
22
Premier Division04/10/2024
Galway UnitedDundalk
11
Premier Division02/08/2024
DundalkGalway United
02
Premier Division24/05/2024
Galway UnitedDundalk
20
Premier Division23/02/2024
DundalkGalway United
02
FAI Cup15/09/2023
Galway UnitedDundalk
40

Referee Profile

M. Houlihan7 matches analysed

4.37Cards per match
4.25Yellow cards per match
0.12Red cards per match
23.9Fouls per match

Strictness

Stricter than 31% of referees analysed

Model estimates, weighted toward the competition average while the sample is small.

Full referee stats

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers36208859:38+2168LWLWW
2BohemiansBohemians36198963:44+1965WLWLW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.361791055:31+2460LDLLW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3612131152:50+249LWWWD
5Derry CityDerry City3611151050:47+348DWWLW
6DundalkDundalk3611121355:59-445WLDLL
7WaterfordWaterford3610131354:61-743WWWLL
8Galway UnitedGalway United3610121446:53-742LDLWD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3610101644:57-1340WLWLL
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers365102128:66-3825DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3659:3868
2BohemiansBohemians3663:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3655:3160
4ShelbourneShelbourne3652:5049
5Derry CityDerry City3650:4748
6DundalkDundalk3655:5945
7WaterfordWaterford3654:6143
8Galway UnitedGalway United3646:5342
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3644:5740
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3628:6625
Relegation

About the Dundalk vs Galway United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Dundalk and Galway United in the Premier Division table

Dundalk and Galway United are close in the Premier Division table, 6th and 8th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Dundalk 55-59, Galway United 46-53. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.