Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk Prediction

Shamrock Rovers
3-2
Finished
HT 3-2
Dundalk
Tallaght Stadium, Dublin 07/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.19
SignalSTRONGModel64%SurpriseMediumGap-3.4%
Value Analysis
64%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.67
SignalSOLIDModel56%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Shamrock Rovers Rest
3 days
Dundalk Rest
7 days

Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk: the result in context

Shamrock Rovers beat Dundalk 3-2 in the Premier Division on 7 Aug 2026. It was in line with recent form: Shamrock Rovers had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Dundalk.

Their history points to a close game: 10 previous meetings produced 1.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
64%1.67
X
24%3.83
2
12%4.53
Double Chance
1X
88%1.18
X2
37%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%1.62
No
49%2.16
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.13 + 0.91 = 3.04
Over 1.5
81%1.19
Over 2.5
58%1.64
Over 3.5
29%2.52
Under 1.5
19%4.45
Under 2.5
42%2.16
Under 3.5
71%1.45
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'D. Watts(Penalty)
12'C. KilduffUnsportsmanlike conduct
13'M. KovalevskisDiving
15'R. CornwallAssist: T. Grivosti
19'M. NoonanAssist: D. Watts
27'D. Horgan(Penalty)
36'C. O'SullivanFoul
38'J. Afolabi
43'M. HealyFoul
45'S. BradleyUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'M. Kovalevskis INM. Asamoah out
46'C. O'Sullivan INA. Matthews out
47'C. Dillon
49'M. Animasahun IND. McDaid out
49'R. Teahan INH. Groome out
50'D. Watts INJ. Byrne out
59'M. Healy INC. Barrett out
60'J. Afolabi INA. Greene out
62'C. Dillon INL. Gaxha out
70'J. ByrneDelay of game
73'B. BurnsUnsportsmanlike conduct
81'C. BarrettFoul
85'T. Clarke INA. M. Keogh out
89'K. BuckleyFoul

Lineups

Shamrock Rovers
3-5-2Coach: Stephen Bradley
Dundalk
3-4-3Coach: Ciaran Kilduff
Avg rating6.90
Avg rating6.55
Ed McGinty7.31E. McGinty
Tunmise Sobowale6.622T. Sobowale
Lee GraceC6.95L. Grace
Cory O'Sullivan6.027C. O'Sullivan
Max Kovaleskis6.038M. Kovaleskis
John O'Sullivan7.226J. O'Sullivan
Matthew Healy7.28M. Healy
Dylan Watts7.97D. Watts
Luke O'Regan7.017L. O'Regan
Michael Noonan7.731M. Noonan
Jonathan Afolabi7.618J. Afolabi
Enda Minogue6.21E. Minogue
Mayowa Animasahun5.94M. Animasahun
Robert Cornwall7.324R. Cornwall
Tom Grivosti6.244T. Grivosti
Trevor Clarke5.915T. Clarke
Aodh Dervin6.96A. Dervin
Keith Buckley6.718K. Buckley
Bobby Burns7.03B. Burns
Ronan Teahan6.711R. Teahan
Cian Dillon6.09C. Dillon
Daryl HorganC7.67D. Horgan

Shamrock Rovers Substitutes

2Adam Matthews46'for C. O'Sullivan7.0
15Maleace Asamoah46'replaced by M. Kovalevskis6.2
29Jack Byrne50'for D. Watts70'7.0
33Cian Barrett59'for M. Healy81'6.5
9Aaron Greene60'for J. Afolabi6.3
41Alex Noonan
24William Fitzgerald
11Jake Mulraney
34Ben Mahon

Dundalk Substitutes

8Harry Groome49'for R. Teahan6.6
27Declan McDaid49'for M. Animasahun6.5
10Leonardo Gaxha62'for C. Dillon6.2
20Peter Cherrie
13Conor Kearns
19Sean Spaight
12Luke Mulligan
23Aaron Keogh85'for T. Clarke6.5
25Shay Casey

Match Stats

Shamrock RoversDundalk
53%Ball Possession47%
1Corner Kicks7
5Yellow Cards3
14Total Shots13
8Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal4
11Shots Inside Box5
3Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots4
15Fouls25
1Offsides0
3Goalkeeper Saves5
406Total Passes351
299Passes Accurate259
74%Pass Accuracy74%

Team Comparison

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
DundalkDundalk
1606Elo Rating 1521
1.94Attack 1.68
1.50Defense 1.32
54%Hit Rate 27%
11.9Shots per Game 18.6
4.6Shots on Target 5.8
6.3Corners per Game 5.2
2.9Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.04 goals
📈BTTS Trend20% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
  • Leads at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.6 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
DundalkDundalk
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.1 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
DundalkDundalk4Wins · 40%
1.4Avg Goals
20%Both teams scored2 of 10
0%3+ goals0 of 10

Previous meetings

Premier Division15/05/2026
DundalkShamrock Rovers
10
Premier Division23/02/2026
Shamrock RoversDundalk
11
Premier Division27/10/2024
DundalkShamrock Rovers
01
Premier Division04/07/2024
Shamrock RoversDundalk
10
Premier Division17/05/2024
DundalkShamrock Rovers
10
Premier Division16/02/2024
Shamrock RoversDundalk
11
Premier Division25/08/2023
Shamrock RoversDundalk
10
FAI Cup23/07/2023
DundalkShamrock Rovers
10
Premier Division30/06/2023
DundalkShamrock Rovers
20
Premier Division02/06/2023
Shamrock RoversDundalk
20

League Table

Premier Division 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers36208859:38+2168LWLWW
2BohemiansBohemians36198963:44+1965WLWLW
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.361791055:31+2460LDLLW
4ShelbourneShelbourne3612131152:50+249LWWWD
5Derry CityDerry City3611151050:47+348DWWLW
6DundalkDundalk3611121355:59-445WLDLL
7WaterfordWaterford3610131354:61-743WWWLL
8Galway UnitedGalway United3610121446:53-742LDLWD
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3610101644:57-1340WLWLL
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers365102128:66-3825DLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers3659:3868
2BohemiansBohemians3663:4465
3St Patrick's Athl.St Patrick's Athl.3655:3160
4ShelbourneShelbourne3652:5049
5Derry CityDerry City3650:4748
6DundalkDundalk3655:5945
7WaterfordWaterford3654:6143
8Galway UnitedGalway United3646:5342
9Drogheda UnitedDrogheda United3644:5740
10Sligo RoversSligo Rovers3628:6625
Relegation

About the Shamrock Rovers vs Dundalk forecast

The forecasts for this Premier Division match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Shamrock Rovers and Dundalk in the Premier Division table

In the Premier Division table, Shamrock Rovers are 1st and Dundalk 6th, 23 points apart. League goal record so far: Shamrock Rovers 59-38, Dundalk 55-59. The full standings are on the Premier Division Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Shamrock Rovers have led at half-time in 80% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.