Stoke City vs Middlesbrough Prediction
England · Regular Season - 10
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Stoke City vs Middlesbrough: the result in context
Middlesbrough beat Stoke City 3-2 in the Championship on 13 Oct 2026. That went against recent form: Stoke City had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for Middlesbrough.
Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.8 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Stoke City
Avg ratingAvg rating
1V. Johansson
2B. Johnson
16B. Wilmot
5L. Graham
22J. Tchamadeu
27E. Hadji Djibril Soumaré
8E. Galbraith
17E. Bocat
7J. McGlynn
11L. Cissé
10B. Jun-Ho
1R. Vítek
12L. Ayling
4A. Phillips
29A. Malanda
2C. Brittain
6S. Berhalter
10A. Morris
30N. Borges
11A. Cozier-Duberry
16J. Sarmiento
7W. LankshearStoke City Substitutes
Middlesbrough Substitutes
Match Stats
Stoke CityMiddlesbrough Team Comparison
Stoke CityMiddlesbroughAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Stoke City- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.3 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Middlesbrough- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.9 vs 0.2 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Stoke City3Wins · 30%4Wins · 40%Previous meetings
21/01/2026Stoke CityMiddlesbrough30/09/2025MiddlesbroughStoke City25/02/2025Stoke CityMiddlesbrough28/09/2024MiddlesbroughStoke City
27/08/2024MiddlesbroughStoke City02/03/2024Stoke CityMiddlesbrough28/10/2023MiddlesbroughStoke City14/03/2023MiddlesbroughStoke City17/08/2022Stoke CityMiddlesbrough30/04/2022MiddlesbroughStoke CityRecent Form
Stoke City
BoltonStoke CityStoke City
Sheffield Utd
WatfordStoke City
CardiffStoke CityStoke City
CharltonStoke City
Norwich
WolvesStoke CityStoke City
Hull City
SouthamptonStoke CityStoke City
SwanseaMiddlesbroughMiddlesbroughWolves
BirminghamMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
MillwallMiddlesbroughNorwich
Crystal PalaceMiddlesbrough
QPRMiddlesbrough
BurnleyMiddlesbroughMiddlesbrough
West Brom
DoncasterMiddlesbrough
BlackburnMiddlesbroughReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.27 cards a match, 0.34 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.93).
Cards come from 79 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 27:17 | +10 | 25 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Swansea | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 23 | LWWWW |
| 3 |  West Ham | 11 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 30:12 | +18 | 22 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Birmingham | 11 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 20:11 | +9 | 20 | WWWDW |
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | +3 | 20 | WWLLD |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 18:16 | +2 | 19 | WLWWW |
| 7 | Wolves | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:16 | +3 | 18 | DWLLW |
| 8 |  Portsmouth | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 18 | WDWWL |
| 9 | Southampton | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 21:10 | +11 | 17 | DWWLW |
| 10 | QPR | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:12 | +3 | 17 | LWDDD |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | +1 | 16 | DWLWL |
| 12 | Blackburn | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:16 | +1 | 15 | LWWDW |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 15 | LDLWD |
| 14 |  Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 14 | WLDWL |
| 15 |  Bristol City | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 14 | LLDWL |
| 16 | Bolton | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 16:23 | -7 | 14 | LDWLW |
| 17 | Charlton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 11:18 | -7 | 14 | LLDDL |
| 18 | Norwich | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 20:22 | -2 | 12 | WLLLL |
| 19 |  Lincoln | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:19 | -10 | 12 | DLLLW |
| 20 | Cardiff | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 18:17 | +1 | 11 | DWLWL |
| 21 | Watford | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:19 | -9 | 11 | WLLLL |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 16:21 | -5 | 8 | LDWDL |
| 23 |  Derby | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 10:21 | -11 | 7 | DLLDD |
| 24 |  Preston | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9:24 | -15 | 4 | LLLDL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Middlesbrough | 12 | 27:17 | 25 |
| 2 | Swansea | 11 | 16:8 | 23 |
| 3 | West Ham | 11 | 30:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Birmingham | 11 | 20:11 | 20 |
| 5 | West Brom | 11 | 15:12 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke City | 11 | 18:16 | 19 |
| 7 | Wolves | 11 | 19:16 | 18 |
| 8 | Portsmouth | 12 | 16:15 | 18 |
| 9 | Southampton | 11 | 21:10 | 17 |
| 10 | QPR | 11 | 15:12 | 17 |
| 11 | Sheffield Utd | 12 | 16:15 | 16 |
| 12 | Blackburn | 11 | 17:16 | 15 |
| 13 | Millwall | 12 | 19:20 | 15 |
| 14 | Wrexham | 11 | 15:16 | 14 |
| 15 | Bristol City | 11 | 12:15 | 14 |
| 16 | Bolton | 12 | 16:23 | 14 |
| 17 | Charlton | 12 | 11:18 | 14 |
| 18 | Norwich | 12 | 20:22 | 12 |
| 19 | Lincoln | 11 | 9:19 | 12 |
| 20 | Cardiff | 11 | 18:17 | 11 |
| 21 | Watford | 11 | 10:19 | 11 |
| 22 | Burnley | 11 | 16:21 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby | 12 | 10:21 | 7 |
| 24 | Preston | 11 | 9:24 | 4 |
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This match
About the Stoke City vs Middlesbrough forecast
The forecasts for this Championship match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Stoke City and Middlesbrough in the Championship table
In the Championship table, Middlesbrough are 1st and Stoke City 6th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Stoke City 18-16, Middlesbrough 27-17. The full standings are on the Championship Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.