Super Nova vs FS Jelgava Prediction

Super Nova
1-5
Finished
HT 1-3
FS Jelgava
Jana Skredela stadions, Riga 25/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel22%SurpriseHighGap-0.2%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalGOODModel16%SurpriseHighGap+6.8%
Super Nova Rest
4 days
FS Jelgava Rest
4 days

Super Nova vs FS Jelgava: result, form and history

FS Jelgava beat Super Nova 5-1 in the Virsliga on 25 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.1 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.70
X
27%3.10
2
31%2.43
Double Chance
1X
69%1.44
X2
58%1.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.75
No
56%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.30
Over 2.5
38%1.97
Over 3.5
18%3.35
Under 1.5
36%3.20
Under 2.5
62%1.75
Under 3.5
82%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'R. BecersAssist: G. Patika
29'G. Zaleiko(Penalty)
32'R. Melkis
36'I. Ndiaye INA. Grikovs out
41'V. LizunovsAssist: E. Emsis
45'E. EmsisFoul
47'M. PudilFoul
60'K. Skadmanis INN. Barkovskis out
68'N. BarkovskisFoul
68'E. Smaukstelis IND. Holoubek out
71'M. PudilAssist: D. Holoubek
71'J. CirulisFoul
72'R. Sitjakovs INI. Sylla out
72'R. Iida INA. Glaudans out
72'Bamba INN. Pathe out
79'G. ZaleikoAssist: R. Melkis
83'R. Melkis INF. Hasek out
83'A. Petersons INM. Hasek out
83'G. Patika INA. Janovskis out
90'R. Becers INA. Deklavs out
90+1'M. HasekFoul

Lineups

Super Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Maksims Rafalskis
FS Jelgava
5-4-1Coach: Aleksandrs Basovs
D. Veisbuks90D. Veisbuks
M. Ošs25M. Ošs
J. Cīrulis5J. Cīrulis
R. Iida3R. Iida
E. Emsis6E. Emsis
M. Tihonovičs21M. Tihonovičs
Kristers Skadmanis22K. Skadmanis
A. Pētersons19A. Pētersons
J. Novikovs13J. Novikovs
G. Žaleiko29G. Žaleiko
R. Meļķis8R. Meļķis

Super Nova Substitutes

7A. Glaudāns72'replaced by R. Iida
16K. Romanovs
13S. Vilkovs

FS Jelgava Substitutes

23Ā. Dreimanis
24Filip Hašek83'for R. Melkis
11M. Hašek83'replaced by A. Petersons90+1'
10D. Holoubek68'replaced by E. Smaukstelis
21G. Kačanovs
16T. Leitis

Team Comparison

Super NovaSuper Nova
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
1417Elo Rating 1376
1.29Attack 1.14
0.31Defense 0.30
14%Hit Rate 0%
9.9Shots per Game 10.8
3.4Shots on Target 7.5
2.3Corners per Game 1.9
2.5Cards per Game 0.5

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Super NovaSuper Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Super NovaSuper Nova0Wins · 0%
Draws660%
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava4Wins · 40%
2.1Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga06/05/2026
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
10
Virsliga15/03/2026
Super NovaFS Jelgava
11
Virsliga04/10/2025
Super NovaFS Jelgava
11
Virsliga20/07/2025
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
10
Virsliga21/05/2025
Super NovaFS Jelgava
00
Virsliga05/04/2025
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
21
Virsliga01/10/2023
Super NovaFS Jelgava
11
Virsliga09/07/2023
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
22
Virsliga18/05/2023
Super NovaFS Jelgava
22
Virsliga05/04/2023
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
20

Recent Form

Super NovaSuper Nova
2W2D6L
21/06/2026
Super NovaAuda
02
L
16/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
00
D
12/06/2026
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
21
L
29/05/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
12
L
24/05/2026
RigaSuper Nova
30
L
20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
W
16/05/2026
Super NovaOgre United
31
W
11/05/2026
Super NovaTukums
11
D
06/05/2026
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
10
L
01/05/2026
Super NovaAuda
12
L
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
2W5D3L
21/06/2026
FS JelgavaTukums
41
W
17/06/2026
FS JelgavaOgre United
02
L
13/06/2026
AudaFS Jelgava
11
D
31/05/2026
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
D
21/05/2026
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
40
L
16/05/2026
RigaFS Jelgava
22
D
11/05/2026
GrobiņaFS Jelgava
00
D
06/05/2026
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
10
W
01/05/2026
TukumsFS Jelgava
50
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda36227763:39+2473WWWLW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3614101243:38+552DWWWW
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja361491351:50+151WDDWL
6Super NovaSuper Nova361171836:54-1840DDLLL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava36981941:61-2035WLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa366111928:66-3829LLLWL
9TukumsTukums365102145:69-2425LLDLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United36472534:89-5519LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3663:3973
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3643:3852
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3651:5051
6Super NovaSuper Nova3636:5440
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3641:6135
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3628:6629
9TukumsTukums3645:6925
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3634:8919

About the Super Nova vs FS Jelgava forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Super Nova and FS Jelgava in the Virsliga table

Super Nova and FS Jelgava are close in the Virsliga table, 6th and 7th, with 5 points between them. League goal record so far: Super Nova 36-54, FS Jelgava 41-61. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.