Super Nova vs FS Jelgava Prediction

Super Nova
1-5
Finished
HT 1-3
FS Jelgava
Jana Skredela stadions, Riga 25/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalNEUTRALModel22%RiskHighGap-0.2%
Value Analysis
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.44
SignalSOLIDModel16%RiskHighGap+6.8%
Super Nova Rest
4 days
FS Jelgava Rest
4 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.70
X
27%3.10
2
31%2.43
Double Chance
1X
69%1.44
X2
58%1.37
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.75
No
56%1.95
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.30
Over 2.5
38%1.98
Over 3.5
18%3.35
Under 1.5
36%3.20
Under 2.5
62%1.75
Under 3.5
82%1.25
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

21'R. BecersAssist: G. Patika
29'G. Zaleiko(Penalty)
32'R. Melkis
36'I. Ndiaye INA. Grikovs out
41'V. LizunovsAssist: E. Emsis
45'E. EmsisFoul
47'M. PudilFoul
60'K. Skadmanis INN. Barkovskis out
68'N. BarkovskisFoul
68'E. Smaukstelis IND. Holoubek out
71'M. PudilAssist: D. Holoubek
71'J. CirulisFoul
72'R. Sitjakovs INI. Sylla out
72'R. Iida INA. Glaudans out
72'Bamba INN. Pathe out
79'G. ZaleikoAssist: R. Melkis
83'R. Melkis INF. Hasek out
83'A. Petersons INM. Hasek out
83'G. Patika INA. Janovskis out
90'R. Becers INA. Deklavs out
90+1'M. HasekFoul

Lineups

Super Nova
4-2-3-1Coach: Maksims Rafalskis
FS Jelgava
5-4-1Coach: Aleksandrs Basovs
D. Veisbuks90D. VeisbuksD. Veisbuks
M. Ošs25M. OšsM. Ošs
J. Cīrulis5J. CīrulisJ. Cīrulis
R. Iida3R. IidaR. Iida
E. Emsis6E. EmsisE. Emsis
M. Tihonovičs21M. TihonovičsM. Tihonovičs
Kristers Skadmanis22K. SkadmanisKristers Skadmanis
A. Pētersons19A. PētersonsA. Pētersons
J. Novikovs13J. NovikovsJ. Novikovs
G. Žaleiko29G. ŽaleikoG. Žaleiko
R. Meļķis8R. MeļķisR. Meļķis

Super Nova Substitutes

7A. GlaudānsF
16K. RomanovsD
13S. VilkovsG

FS Jelgava Substitutes

23Ā. DreimanisM
24Filip HašekM
11M. HašekM
10D. HoloubekM
21G. KačanovsD
16T. LeitisG

Team Comparison

Super NovaSuper Nova
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
1438Elo Rating 1411
0.69Attack 1.28
2.66Defense 2.10
50%Hit Rate 36%

Game State Tendencies

Super NovaSuper Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Super Nova 0%Draw 56%44% FS Jelgava
1.28Avg Goals
42%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Super NovaSuper Nova
0W1D4L
21/06/2026
Super NovaAuda
02
L
16/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
00
D
12/06/2026
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
21
L
29/05/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
12
L
24/05/2026
RigaSuper Nova
30
L
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
1W3D1L
21/06/2026
FS JelgavaTukums
41
W
17/06/2026
FS JelgavaOgre United
02
L
13/06/2026
AudaFS Jelgava
11
D
31/05/2026
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
D

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS29234270:21+4973WDWDW
2RigaRiga30217285:30+5570WDDLD
3AudaAuda30186648:29+1960WDWDW
4FK LiepajaFK Liepaja301261241:43-242DDWLW
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils301081235:35038LDLDW
6Super NovaSuper Nova291051429:39-1035LWWDD
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava30881432:48-1632DLWWL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa305101520:51-3125DLWLL
9TukumsTukums30581743:60-1723LWLLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United30362129:76-4715LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS2970:2173
2RigaRiga3085:3070
3AudaAuda3048:2960
4FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3041:4342
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3035:3538
6Super NovaSuper Nova2929:3935
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3032:4832
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3020:5125
9TukumsTukums3043:6023
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3029:7615

Super Nova vs FS Jelgava Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Virsliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Virsliga

ScorePredicts covers Latvia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Super Nova and FS Jelgava have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.28 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.