Ogre United vs Tukums Prediction

Ogre United
3-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Tukums
26/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.43
SignalGOODModel29%RiskHighGap+11.0%
Ogre United Rest
4 days
Tukums Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.77
X
27%3.62
2
44%1.80
Double Chance
1X
56%1.89
X2
71%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.57
No
56%2.19
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.19
Over 2.5
39%1.62
Over 3.5
19%2.60
Under 1.5
37%4.20
Under 2.5
61%2.13
Under 3.5
81%1.43
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'K. CudarsAssist: M. Lormanis
20'R. DeruzinskisAssist: M. Derkach
31'R. DeruzinskisAssist: Anmanis Kaspars
46'E. Evelons INK. Johnson out
57'V. Mashchenko INM. Marusii out
57'K. Gulbis INA. Doroshenko out
60'T. MickevicsFoul
73'M. StalsFoul
76'T. Mickevics INL. Estevez Fernandez out
76'D. Vejkrigers INF. Machado out
77'Leoni INR. Baumanis out
77'F. MachadoAssist: M. Marusii
85'A. EnyouFoul
90+2'Anmanis KasparsFoul
90+8'R. ReingolcsSerious foul
90+9'K. Cudars(Penalty)

Team Comparison

Ogre UnitedOgre United
TukumsTukums
1351Elo Rating 1323
1.24Attack 0.65
0.50Defense 0.94
0%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend100% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Ogre UnitedOgre United
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1 vs 0.3 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TukumsTukums
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 2 historical meetings

Ogre United 0%Draw 46%54% Tukums
4.7Avg Goals
100%BTTS Rate
54%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Ogre UnitedOgre United
1W1D3L
22/06/2026
Rīgas FSOgre United
60
L
17/06/2026
FS JelgavaOgre United
02
W
13/06/2026
Ogre UnitedRiga
14
L
30/05/2026
AudaOgre United
20
L
25/05/2026
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
11
D
TukumsTukums
1W1D3L
21/06/2026
FS JelgavaTukums
41
L
17/06/2026
TukumsAuda
21
W
12/06/2026
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
11
D
30/05/2026
FK LiepajaTukums
30
L
25/05/2026
Rīgas FSTukums
31
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS29234270:21+4973WDWDW
2RigaRiga30217285:30+5570WDDLD
3AudaAuda30186648:29+1960WDWDW
4FK LiepajaFK Liepaja301261241:43-242DDWLW
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils301081235:35038LDLDW
6Super NovaSuper Nova291051429:39-1035LWWDD
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava30881432:48-1632DLWWL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa305101520:51-3125DLWLL
9TukumsTukums30581743:60-1723LWLLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United30362129:76-4715LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS2970:2173
2RigaRiga3085:3070
3AudaAuda3048:2960
4FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3041:4342
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3035:3538
6Super NovaSuper Nova2929:3935
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3032:4832
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3020:5125
9TukumsTukums3043:6023
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3029:7615

Ogre United vs Tukums Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Virsliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Virsliga

ScorePredicts covers Latvia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Ogre United have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Ogre United and Tukums have met 2 times recently, averaging 4.7 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.