Ogre United vs Tukums Prediction

Ogre United
3-2
Finished
HT 1-2
Tukums
26/06/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.44
SignalSTRONGModel29%SurpriseHighGap+11.5%
Ogre United Rest
4 days
Tukums Rest
5 days

Ogre United vs Tukums: the result in context

Ogre United beat Tukums 3-2 in the Virsliga on 26 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
29%3.77
X
27%3.62
2
44%1.80
Double Chance
1X
56%1.89
X2
71%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.57
No
56%2.18
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.64
Over 3.5
19%2.60
Under 1.5
37%4.20
Under 2.5
61%2.12
Under 3.5
81%1.44
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

1'K. CudarsAssist: M. Lormanis
20'R. DeruzinskisAssist: M. Derkach
31'R. DeruzinskisAssist: Anmanis Kaspars
46'E. Evelons INK. Johnson out
57'V. Mashchenko INM. Marusii out
57'K. Gulbis INA. Doroshenko out
60'T. MickevicsFoul
73'M. StalsFoul
76'T. Mickevics INL. Estevez Fernandez out
76'D. Vejkrigers INF. Machado out
77'Leoni INR. Baumanis out
77'F. MachadoAssist: M. Marusii
85'A. EnyouFoul
90+2'Anmanis KasparsFoul
90+8'R. ReingolcsSerious foul
90+9'K. Cudars(Penalty)

Team Comparison

Ogre UnitedOgre United
TukumsTukums
1342Elo Rating 1317
0.93Attack 0.14
1.17Defense 1.60
14%Hit Rate 0%
10.0Shots per Game 7.3
3.4Shots on Target 2.0
4.3Corners per Game 2.5
1.4Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Ogre UnitedOgre United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
TukumsTukums
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Ogre UnitedOgre United0Wins · 0%
Draws150%
TukumsTukums1Wins · 50%
4.5Avg Goals
100%Both teams scored2 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

Virsliga07/05/2026
TukumsOgre United
61
Virsliga15/03/2026
Ogre UnitedTukums
11

Recent Form

Ogre UnitedOgre United
1W1D8L
22/06/2026
Rīgas FSOgre United
60
L
17/06/2026
FS JelgavaOgre United
02
W
13/06/2026
Ogre UnitedRiga
14
L
30/05/2026
AudaOgre United
20
L
25/05/2026
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
11
D
21/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
L
16/05/2026
Super NovaOgre United
31
L
12/05/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
41
L
07/05/2026
TukumsOgre United
61
L
02/05/2026
Ogre UnitedRīgas FS
34
L
TukumsTukums
3W3D4L
21/06/2026
FS JelgavaTukums
41
L
17/06/2026
TukumsAuda
21
W
12/06/2026
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
11
D
30/05/2026
FK LiepajaTukums
30
L
25/05/2026
Rīgas FSTukums
31
L
20/05/2026
TukumsRiga
13
L
15/05/2026
GrobiņaTukums
33
D
11/05/2026
Super NovaTukums
11
D
07/05/2026
TukumsOgre United
61
W
01/05/2026
TukumsFS Jelgava
50
W

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda36227763:39+2473WWWLW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3614101243:38+552DWWWW
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja361491351:50+151WDDWL
6Super NovaSuper Nova361171836:54-1840DDLLL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava36981941:61-2035WLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa366111928:66-3829LLLWL
9TukumsTukums365102145:69-2425LLDLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United36472534:89-5519LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3663:3973
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3643:3852
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3651:5051
6Super NovaSuper Nova3636:5440
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3641:6135
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3628:6629
9TukumsTukums3645:6925
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3634:8919

About the Ogre United vs Tukums forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ogre United and Tukums in the Virsliga table

Tukums and Ogre United are close in the Virsliga table, 9th and 10th, with 6 points between them. League goal record so far: Ogre United 34-89, Tukums 45-69. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ogre United and Tukums have met only 2 times recently, averaging 4.5 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.