FS Jelgava vs Tukums Prediction

FS Jelgava
4-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Tukums
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava 21/06/2026
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
4-1
Finished
TukumsTukums

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalSTRONGModel24%SurpriseHighGap+7.8%
FS Jelgava Rest
3 days
Tukums Rest
3 days

FS Jelgava vs Tukums: result, form and history

FS Jelgava beat Tukums 4-1 in the Virsliga on 21 Jun 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.1 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.25
X
28%3.27
2
30%2.82
Double Chance
1X
70%1.32
X2
58%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.62
No
56%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.22
Over 2.5
38%1.76
Over 3.5
19%2.81
Under 1.5
36%3.75
Under 2.5
62%1.95
Under 3.5
81%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'G. ZaleikoFoul
34'M. SemeskoAssist: M. Pudil
46'A. Enyou INH. Joksts out
46'M. Susts INM. Stals out
54'K. VolkovsSerious foul
58'M. PudilAssist: E. Smaukstelis
59'R. Deruzinskis INLeoni out
59'B. Samoilovs INR. Reingolcs out
65'A. PetersonsAssist: E. Smaukstelis
67'E. Smaukstelis IND. Holoubek out
67'G. Patika INM. Hasek out
70'R. Melkis
78'A. Petersons INI. Smirnovs out
78'G. Zaleiko INA. Deklavs out
83'R. MelkisFoul
84'R. Melkis INK. Klavins out
86'R. Melkis INA. Dreimanis out
87'E. OlokoAssist: K. Klavins

Team Comparison

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
TukumsTukums
1376Elo Rating 1317
1.14Attack 0.14
0.30Defense 1.60
0%Hit Rate 0%
10.8Shots per Game 7.3
7.5Shots on Target 2.0
1.9Corners per Game 2.5
0.5Cards per Game 1.8

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
TukumsTukums
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava2Wins · 20%
Draws550%
TukumsTukums3Wins · 30%
3.1Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Virsliga01/05/2026
TukumsFS Jelgava
50
Virsliga08/03/2026
FS JelgavaTukums
21
Virsliga09/11/2025
TukumsFS Jelgava
11
Virsliga23/08/2025
FS JelgavaTukums
11
Virsliga17/06/2025
TukumsFS Jelgava
11
Virsliga23/04/2025
FS JelgavaTukums
21
Virsliga15/09/2024
TukumsFS Jelgava
33
Virsliga26/06/2024
FS JelgavaTukums
00
Virsliga07/05/2024
TukumsFS Jelgava
21
Virsliga17/03/2024
FS JelgavaTukums
23

Recent Form

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
2W5D3L
17/06/2026
FS JelgavaOgre United
02
L
13/06/2026
AudaFS Jelgava
11
D
31/05/2026
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
D
21/05/2026
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
40
L
16/05/2026
RigaFS Jelgava
22
D
11/05/2026
GrobiņaFS Jelgava
00
D
06/05/2026
FS JelgavaSuper Nova
10
W
01/05/2026
TukumsFS Jelgava
50
L
27/04/2026
Ogre UnitedFS Jelgava
01
W
TukumsTukums
3W3D4L
17/06/2026
TukumsAuda
21
W
12/06/2026
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
11
D
30/05/2026
FK LiepajaTukums
30
L
25/05/2026
Rīgas FSTukums
31
L
20/05/2026
TukumsRiga
13
L
15/05/2026
GrobiņaTukums
33
D
11/05/2026
Super NovaTukums
11
D
07/05/2026
TukumsOgre United
61
W
01/05/2026
TukumsFS Jelgava
50
W
26/04/2026
AudaTukums
21
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda36227763:39+2473WWWLW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3614101243:38+552DWWWW
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja361491351:50+151WDDWL
6Super NovaSuper Nova361171836:54-1840DDLLL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava36981941:61-2035WLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa366111928:66-3829LLLWL
9TukumsTukums365102145:69-2425LLDLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United36472534:89-5519LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3663:3973
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3643:3852
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3651:5051
6Super NovaSuper Nova3636:5440
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3641:6135
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3628:6629
9TukumsTukums3645:6925
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3634:8919

About the FS Jelgava vs Tukums forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

FS Jelgava and Tukums in the Virsliga table

FS Jelgava and Tukums are close in the Virsliga table, 7th and 9th, with 10 points between them. League goal record so far: FS Jelgava 41-61, Tukums 45-69. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.