FS Jelgava vs Tukums Prediction

FS Jelgava
4-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Tukums
Zemgales Olimpiskais centrs, Jelgava 21/06/2026
FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
4-1
Finished
TukumsTukums

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.36
SignalGOODModel24%RiskHighGap+7.8%
FS Jelgava Rest
3 days
Tukums Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
42%2.25
X
28%3.27
2
30%2.82
Double Chance
1X
70%1.32
X2
58%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.62
No
56%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.22
Over 2.5
38%1.76
Over 3.5
19%2.81
Under 1.5
36%3.75
Under 2.5
62%1.95
Under 3.5
81%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

18'G. ZaleikoFoul
34'M. SemeskoAssist: M. Pudil
46'A. Enyou INH. Joksts out
46'M. Susts INM. Stals out
54'K. VolkovsSerious foul
58'M. PudilAssist: E. Smaukstelis
59'R. Deruzinskis INLeoni out
59'B. Samoilovs INR. Reingolcs out
65'A. PetersonsAssist: E. Smaukstelis
67'E. Smaukstelis IND. Holoubek out
67'G. Patika INM. Hasek out
70'R. Melkis
78'A. Petersons INI. Smirnovs out
78'G. Zaleiko INA. Deklavs out
83'R. MelkisFoul
84'R. Melkis INK. Klavins out
86'R. Melkis INA. Dreimanis out
87'E. OlokoAssist: K. Klavins

Team Comparison

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
TukumsTukums
1411Elo Rating 1323
1.28Attack 0.65
2.10Defense 0.94
36%Hit Rate 23%

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend73% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
TukumsTukums
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.5 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

FS Jelgava 23%Draw 50%27% Tukums
3.04Avg Goals
73%BTTS Rate
50%Over 2.5

Recent Form

FS JelgavaFS Jelgava
0W3D2L
17/06/2026
FS JelgavaOgre United
02
L
13/06/2026
AudaFS Jelgava
11
D
31/05/2026
FS JelgavaBFC Daugavpils
11
D
26/05/2026
FS JelgavaFK Liepaja
11
D
21/05/2026
Rīgas FSFS Jelgava
40
L
TukumsTukums
1W1D3L
17/06/2026
TukumsAuda
21
W
12/06/2026
TukumsBFC Daugavpils
11
D
30/05/2026
FK LiepajaTukums
30
L
25/05/2026
Rīgas FSTukums
31
L
20/05/2026
TukumsRiga
13
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS29234270:21+4973WDWDW
2RigaRiga30217285:30+5570WDDLD
3AudaAuda30186648:29+1960WDWDW
4FK LiepajaFK Liepaja301261241:43-242DDWLW
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils301081235:35038LDLDW
6Super NovaSuper Nova291051429:39-1035LWWDD
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava30881432:48-1632DLWWL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa305101520:51-3125DLWLL
9TukumsTukums30581743:60-1723LWLLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United30362129:76-4715LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS2970:2173
2RigaRiga3085:3070
3AudaAuda3048:2960
4FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3041:4342
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3035:3538
6Super NovaSuper Nova2929:3935
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3032:4832
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3020:5125
9TukumsTukums3043:6023
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3029:7615

FS Jelgava vs Tukums Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Virsliga fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Virsliga

ScorePredicts covers Latvia football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

FS Jelgava and Tukums have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.04 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.