Super Nova vs Ogre United Prediction

Super Nova
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Ogre United
Jana Skredela stadions, Riga 06/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
81%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.40
SignalSTRONGModel57%SurpriseMediumGap+9.7%
Super Nova Rest
5 days
Ogre United Rest
6 days

Super Nova vs Ogre United: result, form and history

Ogre United beat Super Nova 2-1 in the Virsliga on 6 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Super Nova have had the better of this fixture, winning 3 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 3.0 goals a game. Ogre United tend to win more corners, 4.3 a game to 2.3 for Super Nova.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.62
X
22%3.80
2
20%4.50
Double Chance
1X
80%1.13
X2
42%2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.67
No
56%2.02
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
63%1.20
Over 2.5
39%1.67
Over 3.5
19%2.75
Under 1.5
37%4.05
Under 2.5
61%2.05
Under 3.5
81%1.40
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

45+1'A. KudelkinsFoul
46'M. Ivulans INM. Kalnins out
48'V. LizunovsOG
59'A. Grikovs INI. Sylla out
71'E. Evelons INT. Marusiy out
71'R. Iida INN. Pathe out
72'J. CirulisUnsportsmanlike conduct
80'A. KudelkinsAssist: A. Doroshenko
84'M. Tihonovics INK. Romanovs out
84'L. Estevez Fernandez INV. Mashchenko out
90+2'M. OssAssist: Bamba
90+3'A. Marchuk IND. Vejkrigers out

Team Comparison

Super NovaSuper Nova
Ogre UnitedOgre United
1417Elo Rating 1342
1.29Attack 0.93
0.31Defense 1.17
14%Hit Rate 14%
9.9Shots per Game 10.0
3.4Shots on Target 3.4
2.3Corners per Game 4.3
2.5Cards per Game 1.4

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend75% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified

Game State Tendencies

Super NovaSuper Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Ogre UnitedOgre United
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

Super NovaSuper Nova3Wins · 75%
Draws125%
Ogre UnitedOgre United0Wins · 0%
3.0Avg Goals
75%Both teams scored3 of 4
75%3+ goals3 of 4

Previous meetings

Virsliga16/05/2026
Super NovaOgre United
31
Virsliga03/04/2026
Ogre UnitedSuper Nova
12
1. Liga10/11/2024
Super NovaOgre United
30
1. Liga27/07/2024
Ogre UnitedSuper Nova
11

Recent Form

Super NovaSuper Nova
3W2D5L
01/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
W
25/06/2026
Super NovaFS Jelgava
15
L
21/06/2026
Super NovaAuda
02
L
16/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
00
D
12/06/2026
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
21
L
29/05/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
12
L
24/05/2026
RigaSuper Nova
30
L
20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
W
16/05/2026
Super NovaOgre United
31
W
11/05/2026
Super NovaTukums
11
D
Ogre UnitedOgre United
2W1D7L
30/06/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
40
L
26/06/2026
Ogre UnitedTukums
32
W
22/06/2026
Rīgas FSOgre United
60
L
17/06/2026
FS JelgavaOgre United
02
W
13/06/2026
Ogre UnitedRiga
14
L
30/05/2026
AudaOgre United
20
L
25/05/2026
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
11
D
21/05/2026
BFC DaugavpilsOgre United
31
L
16/05/2026
Super NovaOgre United
31
L
12/05/2026
FK LiepajaOgre United
41
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda36227763:39+2473WWWLW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3614101243:38+552DWWWW
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja361491351:50+151WDDWL
6Super NovaSuper Nova361171836:54-1840DDLLL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava36981941:61-2035WLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa366111928:66-3829LLLWL
9TukumsTukums365102145:69-2425LLDLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United36472534:89-5519LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3663:3973
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3643:3852
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3651:5051
6Super NovaSuper Nova3636:5440
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3641:6135
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3628:6629
9TukumsTukums3645:6925
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3634:8919

About the Super Nova vs Ogre United forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Super Nova and Ogre United in the Virsliga table

In the Virsliga table, Super Nova are 6th and Ogre United 10th, 21 points apart. League goal record so far: Super Nova 36-54, Ogre United 34-89. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.