Super Nova vs Grobiņa Prediction

Super Nova
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Grobiņa
Jana Skredela stadions, Riga 20/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap-0.4%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.42
SignalGOODModel33%SurpriseHighGap+7.1%
Super Nova Rest
9 days
Grobiņa Rest
8 days

Super Nova vs Grobiņa: the result in context

Super Nova beat Grobiņa 2-0 in the Virsliga on 20 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their history points to a close game: 7 previous meetings produced 1.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.62
X
27%3.10
2
30%2.52
Double Chance
1X
70%1.42
X2
57%1.40
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%1.80
No
56%1.86
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.2 + 1 = 2.20
Over 1.5
64%1.33
Over 2.5
38%2.07
Over 3.5
18%3.64
Under 1.5
36%3.00
Under 2.5
62%1.69
Under 3.5
82%1.24
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

16'J. RibeiroFoul
33'A. PuzirevskisFoul
39'M. OssFoul
59'BambaAssist: V. Lizunovs
61'A. Puzirevskis INA. Zjuzins out
65'M. Sidorovs INH. Yamada out
66'Bamba INR. Kirss out
75'J. Ribeiro INA. Aruna out
75'D. Sirbu INA. Kholod out
75'K. Rupeiks ING. Kluskins out
77'A. Glaudans INA. Grikovs out
82'V. LizunovsFoul
87'I. Patrikejevs INK. Skadmanis out
90+3'V. LizunovsAssist: K. Skadmanis

Team Comparison

Super NovaSuper Nova
GrobiņaGrobiņa
1417Elo Rating 1370
1.29Attack 1.35
0.31Defense 0.18
14%Hit Rate 19%
9.9Shots per Game 8.4
3.4Shots on Target 2.7
2.3Corners per Game 3.6
2.5Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Super NovaSuper Nova
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.9 vs 0.3 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
GrobiņaGrobiņa
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.5 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Super NovaSuper Nova3Wins · 43%
Draws457%
GrobiņaGrobiņa0Wins · 0%
1.4Avg Goals
43%Both teams scored3 of 7
14%3+ goals1 of 7

Previous meetings

Virsliga20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
Virsliga09/04/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
01
Virsliga18/10/2025
GrobiņaSuper Nova
00
Virsliga26/07/2025
Super NovaGrobiņa
00
Virsliga26/05/2025
GrobiņaSuper Nova
11
Virsliga10/04/2025
Super NovaGrobiņa
11
1. Liga29/08/2021
Super NovaGrobiņa
21

Recent Form

Super NovaSuper Nova
3W1D6L
11/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
W
06/07/2026
Super NovaOgre United
12
L
01/07/2026
TukumsSuper Nova
12
W
25/06/2026
Super NovaFS Jelgava
15
L
21/06/2026
Super NovaAuda
02
L
16/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsSuper Nova
00
D
12/06/2026
FK LiepajaSuper Nova
21
L
29/05/2026
Super NovaRīgas FS
12
L
24/05/2026
RigaSuper Nova
30
L
20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
W
GrobiņaGrobiņa
4W1D5L
12/07/2026
MārupeGrobiņa
01
W
05/07/2026
GrobiņaTukums
31
W
29/06/2026
FS JelgavaGrobiņa
20
L
25/06/2026
GrobiņaAuda
10
W
20/06/2026
BFC DaugavpilsGrobiņa
10
L
16/06/2026
GrobiņaFK Liepaja
10
W
13/06/2026
GrobiņaRīgas FS
13
L
29/05/2026
RigaGrobiņa
20
L
25/05/2026
Ogre UnitedGrobiņa
11
D
20/05/2026
GrobiņaSuper Nova
02
L

League Table

Virsliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS35285287:24+6389WWWWW
2RigaRiga35258295:33+6283DWWWW
3AudaAuda36227763:39+2473WWWLW
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3614101243:38+552DWWWW
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja361491351:50+151WDDWL
6Super NovaSuper Nova361171836:54-1840DDLLL
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava36981941:61-2035WLLLL
8GrobiņaGrobiņa366111928:66-3829LLLWL
9TukumsTukums365102145:69-2425LLDLL
10Ogre UnitedOgre United36472534:89-5519LDLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS3587:2489
2RigaRiga3595:3383
3AudaAuda3663:3973
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3643:3852
5FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3651:5051
6Super NovaSuper Nova3636:5440
7FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3641:6135
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3628:6629
9TukumsTukums3645:6925
10Ogre UnitedOgre United3634:8919

About the Super Nova vs Grobiņa forecast

The forecasts for this Virsliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Super Nova and Grobiņa in the Virsliga table

Super Nova and Grobiņa are close in the Virsliga table, 6th and 8th, with 11 points between them. League goal record so far: Super Nova 36-54, Grobiņa 28-66. The full standings are on the Virsliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.