Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 2
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas: the result in context
U.N.A.M. - Pumas beat Toluca 2-1 in the Liga MX on 22 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 8. Referee Victor Alfonso Caceres Hernandez averages 4.07 cards a game, 0.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Match Events
Lineups
Toluca
Avg ratingAvg rating
1H. Gonzalez
2D. Barbosa
4B. Méndez
13Luan
17B. García
7V. Guzmán
24F. Arce Juárez
11Helinho
10J. Ricardo Angulo
C9A. Vega
29J. Díaz
C1K. Navas
2P. Bennevendo
6N. Silva
5R. Duarte
77Á. Angulo
7R. Lopez
45P. Vite
18V. Arteaga
21U. Antuna
23Juninho
31R. MoralesToluca Substitutes
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Substitutes
Match Stats
TolucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas Team Comparison
TolucaU.N.A.M. - PumasAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Toluca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
U.N.A.M. - Pumas- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Toluca2Wins · 20%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
04/03/2026U.N.A.M. - PumasToluca17/08/2025TolucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas30/01/2025U.N.A.M. - PumasToluca06/10/2024TolucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas18/03/2024TolucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas19/08/2023U.N.A.M. - PumasToluca16/04/2023U.N.A.M. - PumasToluca
14/12/2022U.N.A.M. - PumasToluca11/09/2022TolucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas11/01/2022U.N.A.M. - PumasTolucaRecent Form
Toluca
Guadalajara ChivasToluca
Atlante FCToluca
CancúnTolucaToluca
Tigres UANL
CF PachucaTolucaToluca
Los Angeles FCTolucaCF PachucaLos Angeles FCTolucaToluca
Leon
MazatlánTolucaU.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - PumasCF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
America de CaliCancúnU.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
Cruz AzulCruz AzulU.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - PumasCF PachucaCF PachucaU.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
Club AmericaClub AmericaU.N.A.M. - PumasCF PachucaU.N.A.M. - PumasReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
4.07 cards a match, 0.62 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.69).
Cards come from 123 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 |  Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 |  Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 |  Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 |  Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 |  Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
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About the Toluca vs U.N.A.M. - Pumas forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Toluca and U.N.A.M. - Pumas in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Toluca are 4th and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 11th, 6 points apart. League goal record so far: Toluca 35-21, U.N.A.M. - Pumas 24-26. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.