Club Tijuana vs Leon Prediction

Club Tijuana
1-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Leon
Estadio Caliente, Tijuana·Joaquin Alberto Vizcarra Armenta, Mexico 25/07/2026
Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
1-0
Finished
LeonLeon

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
80%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.25
SignalHIGHModel51%SurpriseMediumGap-0.5%
Value Analysis
77%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.46
SignalHIGHModel49%SurpriseMediumGap+14.4%
Club Tijuana Rest
7 days
Leon Rest
7 days

Club Tijuana vs Leon: the result in context

Club Tijuana beat Leon 1-0 in the Liga MX on 25 Jul 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.6 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
54%1.91
X
25%3.60
2
21%3.65
Double Chance
1X
80%1.25
X2
46%1.80
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%1.57
No
46%2.25
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.5 + 0.85 = 2.35
Over 1.5
74%1.20
Over 2.5
47%1.64
Over 3.5
24%2.60
Under 1.5
26%4.33
Under 2.5
53%2.21
Under 3.5
76%1.46
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.5 + 4 = 10.6
Over 8.5
67%1.56
Over 9.5
58%1.93
Over 10.5
44%2.43
Under 8.5
33%2.25
Under 9.5
42%1.80
Under 10.5
56%1.47
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.9 = 5
Over 3.5
72%1.26
Over 4.5
54%1.61
Under 3.5
28%3.05
Under 4.5
46%2.10

Match Events

28'D. ArcilaUnsportsmanlike conduct
43'B. ColulaUnsportsmanlike conduct
44'M. El Ghezouani(Penalty missed)
46'D. Arcila INF. Beltran Cruz out
46'A. Zapata ING. Mora out
46'A. Alvarado INE. Guerra out
53'G. Mora(Penalty)
67'R. Arciga INA. Vega out
67'M. El Ghezouani IND. Abreu out
71'R. Echeverria INI. Moreno out
71'B. Colula INL. Valadez out
79'S. Reyes INJ. Lara out
81'Y. Padilla INA. Mejia out

Lineups

Club Tijuana
4-1-4-1Coach: Sebastian Abreu
Leon
4-2-3-1Coach: Javier Gandolfi
Avg rating7.04
Avg rating6.64
Antonio RodríguezC7.32A. Rodríguez
Rafael Fernández7.33R. Fernández
Jackson Porozo7.912J. Porozo
Jesús Gómez7.66J. Gómez
Pablo Nicolás Ortíz7.033P. Nicolás Ortíz
Iván Tona7.58I. Tona
Ramiro Árciga6.617R. Árciga
Ángel Zapata6.620Á. Zapata
Yael Padilla6.531Y. Padilla
Adonis Preciado7.67A. Preciado
Mourad El Ghezouani5.99M. El Ghezouani
Oscar García7.323O. García
Bryan Colula6.34B. Colula
Jhohan Romaña6.914J. Romaña
Juan Guevara6.63J. Guevara
Salvador Reyes6.226S. Reyes
Rodrigo Echeverría6.720R. Echeverría
José RodríguezC6.729J. Rodríguez
Jordi Cortizo6.616J. Cortizo
Daniel Arcila6.913D. Arcila
Ismael Díaz6.711I. Díaz
José Alvarado6.319J. Alvarado

Club Tijuana Substitutes

10Gilberto Mora46'for A. Zapata53'7.7
16Jesús Vega67'for R. Arciga6.9
19Diego Abreu67'for M. El Ghezouani6.9
18Aarón Mejía81'for Y. Padilla6.3
29Jorge Hernández
188Alejandro Magallon
4Unai Bilbao
26Aldahir Pérez
197David Orduño
34Frank Boya

Leon Substitutes

18Edgar Guerra46'for A. Alvarado6.2
6Fernando Beltrán6.9
7Iván Moreno71'for R. Echeverria6.9
35Luis Valadez71'for B. Colula6.5
203Jesús Lara79'for S. Reyes6.6
1Jordan García
5Sebastián Vegas
22Sebastián Santos
185Christopher Mora
25Paul Bellón

Match Stats

Club TijuanaLeon
39%Ball Possession61%
3Corner Kicks10
0Yellow Cards2
9Total Shots11
3Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal4
5Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box5
2Blocked Shots5
12Fouls13
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
360Total Passes550
287Passes Accurate485
80%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
LeonLeon
1649Elo Rating 1655
2.15Attack 1.53
1.44Defense 1.26
19%Hit Rate 19%
10.9Shots per Game 14.0
4.1Shots on Target 5.2
4.2Corners per Game 5.1
2.4Cards per Game 3.2

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.8 in second half)
LeonLeon
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Club TijuanaClub Tijuana3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
LeonLeon3Wins · 30%
2.6Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX15/03/2026
LeonClub Tijuana
03
Liga MX20/09/2025
Club TijuanaLeon
50
Liga MX02/03/2025
LeonClub Tijuana
21
Liga MX31/08/2024
Club TijuanaLeon
21
Liga MX04/03/2024
Club TijuanaLeon
11
Liga MX24/09/2023
LeonClub Tijuana
10
Liga MX22/04/2023
Club TijuanaLeon
00
Liga MX03/10/2022
LeonClub Tijuana
22
Liga MX16/01/2022
Club TijuanaLeon
11
Liga MX01/08/2021
LeonClub Tijuana
21

Recent Form

Club TijuanaClub Tijuana
6W2D2L
17/07/2026
Club TijuanaTigres UANL
31
W
04/07/2026
San Jose EarthquakesClub Tijuana
12
W
26/04/2026
Guadalajara ChivasClub Tijuana
00
D
23/04/2026
Club TijuanaCF Pachuca
31
W
19/04/2026
Cruz AzulClub Tijuana
11
D
11/04/2026
FC JuarezClub Tijuana
12
W
04/04/2026
Club TijuanaTigres UANL
10
W
21/03/2026
NecaxaClub Tijuana
30
L
15/03/2026
LeonClub Tijuana
03
W
09/03/2026
Club TijuanaSantos Laguna
12
L
LeonLeon
6W0D4L
18/07/2026
LeonAtlas
23
L
03/07/2026
LeonTapatío
42
W
27/06/2026
LeonMineros de Zacatecas
74
W
26/04/2026
TolucaLeon
41
L
22/04/2026
LeonClub America
23
L
19/04/2026
LeonFC Juarez
31
W
11/04/2026
PueblaLeon
01
W
05/04/2026
LeonAtlas
20
W
22/03/2026
Atletico San LuisLeon
12
W
19/03/2026
Guadalajara ChivasLeon
50
L

Referee Profile

Joaquin Alberto Vizcarra Armenta79 matches

4.75Cards per match
4.33Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
24.1Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Joaquin Alberto Vizcarra Armenta4.75
Other referees4.87

4.75 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.87).

Cards come from 12 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7LeonLeon1665523:21+223DLDWL
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7LeonLeon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
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About the Club Tijuana vs Leon forecast

The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Club Tijuana and Leon in the Liga MX table

Leon and Club Tijuana are close in the Liga MX table, 7th and 9th, with 1 point between them. League goal record so far: Club Tijuana 25-22, Leon 23-21. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.