U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca Prediction

Estadio Olimpico Universitario, Mexico City·Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce, Mexico 19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.75
SignalSOLIDModel36%SurpriseMediumGap+10.5%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Rest
6 days
CF Pachuca Rest
14 days

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca: result, form and history

CF Pachuca beat U.N.A.M. - Pumas 3-0 in the Liga MX on 19 Jul 2026. It was in line with recent form: CF Pachuca had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for U.N.A.M. - Pumas.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.4 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Referee Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce averages 3.50 cards a game, 1.29 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.40
X
28%3.40
2
33%2.80
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
61%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.62
No
47%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.11 = 2.40
Over 1.5
71%1.24
Over 2.5
45%1.79
Over 3.5
27%3.00
Under 1.5
29%3.75
Under 2.5
55%1.99
Under 3.5
73%1.37
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.1 = 8.7
Over 8.5
51%1.57
Over 9.5
37%1.95
Over 10.5
28%2.53
Under 8.5
49%2.20
Under 9.5
63%1.75
Under 10.5
72%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
42%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
58%-

Match Events

21'E. Montiel
32'S. RondonAssist: O. Idrissi
46'S. Garcia INV. Arteaga out
46'S. Trigos INA. Medina out
55'P. ViteFoul
69'S. Cordova ING. Martinez out
72'Kenedy INA. Dominguez out
72'R. Pizarro INN. Vallejo out
80'S. RondonAssist: E. Montiel
81'A. Angulo INC. Calderon out
85'A. Mozo INC. Sanchez out
85'E. Montiel INA. Bautista out
90+2'F. Venegas INM. Isais out

Lineups

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4-2-3-1Coach: Esteban Solari
CF Pachuca
4-2-3-1Coach: Benjamin Mora
Avg rating6.49
Avg rating7.14
Keylor NavasC6.51K. Navas
Rodrigo Lopez6.37R. Lopez
Nathan Silva6.26N. Silva
Rubén Duarte7.25R. Duarte
Álvaro Angulo6.077Á. Angulo
Santiago Trigos6.720S. Trigos
Pedro Vite6.645P. Vite
Sebastián Córdova6.217S. Córdova
Robert Morales6.731R. Morales
Stanley García6.3203S. García
Juninho6.223Juninho
Carlos MorenoC7.525C. Moreno
Alan Mozo6.922A. Mozo
Eduardo Bauermann6.94E. Bauermann
Sergio Barreto7.22S. Barreto
Francisco Venegas6.915F. Venegas
Christian Rivera7.216C. Rivera
Elías Montiel8.310E. Montiel
Kenedy6.929Kenedy
Rodolfo Pizarro6.37R. Pizarro
Oussama Idrissi7.711O. Idrissi
Salomón Rondón8.923S. Rondón

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Substitutes

22Alan Medina46'for S. Trigos7.2
18Victor Arteaga46'for S. Garcia6.7
35Pablo Lara
2Pablo Bennevendo
24Antonio Leone
12Cristian Calderón81'for A. Angulo6.2
199Kleber Carranza
34Angel Azuaje
30Santiago López
9Guillermo Martínez69'for S. Cordova6.3

CF Pachuca Substitutes

31Jose Eulogio
14Carlos Sánchez85'for A. Mozo6.3
13Jorge Berlanga
6Mauricio Isais90+2'for F. Venegas
187Gael Álvarez
21Nicolás Vallejo72'for R. Pizarro6.7
26Alan Bautista85'for E. Montiel6.7
8Alexei Domínguez72'for Kenedy6.7
30Sergio Rodríguez
19Illian Hernandez

Match Stats

U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
61%Ball Possession39%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards0
9Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots5
10Fouls5
2Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves2
561Total Passes353
489Passes Accurate282
87%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
1638Elo Rating 1667
1.52Attack 2.05
1.52Defense 1.63
44%Hit Rate 50%
10.4Shots per Game 16.4
3.4Shots on Target 5.1
3.3Corners per Game 4.3
2.2Cards per Game 3.0

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
CF PachucaCF Pachuca4Wins · 40%
2.4Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
40%3+ goals4 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX18/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
10
Liga MX15/05/2026
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
10
Liga MX26/04/2026
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
02
Liga MX21/11/2025
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
31
Liga MX20/07/2025
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
23
Liga MX17/02/2025
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
21
Liga MX22/07/2024
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
20
Liga MX03/05/2024
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
3050
Liga MX29/01/2024
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
31
Liga MX17/07/2023
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
11

Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
4W3D3L
12/07/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasAmerica de Cali
01
L
05/07/2026
CancúnU.N.A.M. - Pumas
03
W
25/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul
12
L
22/05/2026
Cruz AzulU.N.A.M. - Pumas
00
D
18/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
10
W
15/05/2026
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
10
L
11/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasClub America
33
D
04/05/2026
Club AmericaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
33
D
26/04/2026
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
02
W
22/04/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasFC Juarez
42
W
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
7W0D3L
04/07/2026
CF PachucaPuebla
31
W
18/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
10
L
15/05/2026
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
10
W
11/05/2026
CF PachucaToluca
20
W
04/05/2026
TolucaCF Pachuca
01
W
26/04/2026
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
02
L
23/04/2026
Club TijuanaCF Pachuca
31
L
19/04/2026
MonterreyCF Pachuca
13
W
12/04/2026
CF PachucaSantos Laguna
42
W
05/04/2026
Cruz AzulCF Pachuca
12
W

Referee Profile

Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce82 matches

3.50Cards per match
3.24Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce3.50
Other referees4.79

3.50 cards a match, 1.29 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.79).

Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7LeonLeon1665523:21+223DLDWL
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7LeonLeon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
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About the U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and CF Pachuca in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, CF Pachuca are 8th and U.N.A.M. - Pumas 11th, 1 point apart. League goal record so far: U.N.A.M. - Pumas 24-26, CF Pachuca 29-20. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.