U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca Prediction

Estadio Olimpico Universitario, Mexico City· Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce, Mexico 19/07/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
Value Analysis
63%Trust
Corners Total
Corners Under 9.5
1.76
SignalGOODModel36%RiskMediumGap+10.5%
U.N.A.M. - Pumas Rest
6 days
CF Pachuca Rest
14 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
39%2.40
X
28%3.40
2
33%2.80
Double Chance
1X
67%1.40
X2
61%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.61
No
47%2.15
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.29 + 1.11 = 2.40
Over 1.5
71%1.23
Over 2.5
45%1.79
Over 3.5
27%3.00
Under 1.5
29%3.77
Under 2.5
55%1.97
Under 3.5
73%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.1 = 8.7
Over 8.5
51%1.57
Over 9.5
37%1.95
Over 10.5
28%2.52
Under 8.5
49%2.23
Under 9.5
63%1.76
Under 10.5
72%1.45
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.8 + 2.3 = 4.1
Over 3.5
60%-
Over 4.5
42%-
Under 3.5
40%-
Under 4.5
58%-

Match Events

21'E. Montiel
32'S. RondonAssist: O. Idrissi
46'S. Garcia INV. Arteaga out
46'S. Trigos INA. Medina out
55'P. ViteFoul
69'S. Cordova ING. Martinez out
72'Kenedy INA. Dominguez out
72'R. Pizarro INN. Vallejo out
80'S. RondonAssist: E. Montiel
81'A. Angulo INC. Calderon out
85'A. Mozo INC. Sanchez out
85'E. Montiel INA. Bautista out
90+2'F. Venegas INM. Isais out

Lineups

U.N.A.M. - Pumas
4-2-3-1Coach: Esteban Solari
CF Pachuca
4-2-3-1Coach: Benjamin Mora
Keylor Navas1K. NavasKeylor Navas
Rodrigo Lopez7R. LopezRodrigo Lopez
Nathan Silva6N. SilvaNathan Silva
Rubén Duarte5R. DuarteRubén Duarte
Álvaro Angulo77Á. AnguloÁlvaro Angulo
Santiago Trigos20S. TrigosSantiago Trigos
Pedro Vite45P. VitePedro Vite
Sebastián Córdova17S. CórdovaSebastián Córdova
Robert Morales31R. MoralesRobert Morales
Stanley García203S. GarcíaStanley García
Juninho23JuninhoJuninho
Carlos Moreno25C. MorenoCarlos Moreno
Alan Mozo22A. MozoAlan Mozo
Eduardo Bauermann4E. BauermannEduardo Bauermann
Sergio Barreto2S. BarretoSergio Barreto
Francisco Venegas15F. VenegasFrancisco Venegas
Christian Rivera16C. RiveraChristian Rivera
Elías Montiel10E. MontielElías Montiel
Kenedy29KenedyKenedy
Rodolfo Pizarro7R. PizarroRodolfo Pizarro
Oussama Idrissi11O. IdrissiOussama Idrissi
Salomón Rondón23S. RondónSalomón Rondón

U.N.A.M. - Pumas Substitutes

22Alan MedinaF
18Victor ArteagaM
35Pablo LaraG
2Pablo BennevendoD
24Antonio LeoneD
12Cristian CalderónD
199Kleber CarranzaD
34Angel AzuajeD
30Santiago LópezF
9Guillermo MartínezF

CF Pachuca Substitutes

31Jose EulogioG
14Carlos SánchezD
13Jorge BerlangaD
6Mauricio IsaisD
187Gael ÁlvarezF
21Nicolás VallejoF
26Alan BautistaM
8Alexei DomínguezF
30Sergio RodríguezM
19Illian HernandezF

Match Stats

U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
61%Ball Possession39%
9Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards0
9Total Shots15
2Shots on Goal6
5Shots off Goal4
4Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box8
2Blocked Shots5
10Fouls5
2Offsides5
3Goalkeeper Saves2
561Total Passes353
489Passes Accurate282
87%Pass Accuracy80%

Team Comparison

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
1660Elo Rating 1681
0.85Attack 1.91
1.41Defense 2.22
23%Hit Rate 50%
15.6Shots per Game 15.4
4.6Shots on Target 4.9
6.1Corners per Game 4.7
1.8Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

U.N.A.M. - Pumas 46%Draw 0%54% CF Pachuca
2.25Avg Goals
31%BTTS Rate
31%Over 2.5

Recent Form

U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas
2W1D2L
12/07/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasAmerica de Cali
01
L
05/07/2026
CancúnU.N.A.M. - Pumas
03
W
25/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCruz Azul
12
L
22/05/2026
Cruz AzulU.N.A.M. - Pumas
00
D
18/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
10
W
CF PachucaCF Pachuca
4W0D1L
04/07/2026
CF PachucaPuebla
31
W
18/05/2026
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
10
L
15/05/2026
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
10
W
11/05/2026
CF PachucaToluca
20
W
04/05/2026
TolucaCF Pachuca
01
W

Referee Profile

Vicente Jassiel Reynoso Arce, Mexico · 20 matches analysed

3.7Avg Yellows
4.0Avg Cards
24.9Avg Fouls
Stricter than 12% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca961220:9+1119LWWWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro842211:8+314DWWLD
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana842212:10+214DLWLW
7LeonLeon942312:10+214DWLDW
8PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
9AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
10MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca933315:10+512DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna92169:15-67WWLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca920:919
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro811:814
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana812:1014
7LeonLeon912:1014
8PueblaPuebla911:1114
9AtlasAtlas913:1514
10MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca915:1012
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna99:157
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
Promotion

U.N.A.M. - Pumas vs CF Pachuca Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

U.N.A.M. - Pumas and CF Pachuca have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.25 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.