UD Ourense vs Mérida AD Prediction
Spain · Group 1 - 12
UD Ourense vs Mérida AD in numbers
Mérida AD arrive in slightly better form, with 3 wins from their last five to 1 for UD Ourense. They meet in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 on 14 Nov 2026.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Team Comparison
UD Ourense
Mérida ADGame State Tendencies
UD Ourense- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.6 vs 0 in first half)
Mérida AD- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Recent Form
UD Ourense
PontevedraUD OurenseUD Ourense
Cultural Leonesa
Gimnástica TorrelavegaUD Ourense
Arenas GetxoUD Ourense
Real AvilésUD OurenseUD Ourense
Barakaldo
Real UniónUD OurenseUD Ourense
Cacereño
Unionistas de SalamancaUD OurenseUD Ourense
UD LogroñésMérida ADMérida AD
Athletic Club II
LugoMérida ADMérida AD
CD CoriaArenas GetxoMérida ADPontevedraMérida ADMérida ADCacereñoMérida ADUD Logroñés
PonferradinaMérida ADMérida AD
MirandesCultural LeonesaMérida ADLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 11 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | +10 | 28 | WWLWW |
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 22:14 | +8 | 23 | WLWDL |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:11 | +2 | 18 | WDWWL |
| 4 | Real Avilés | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 23:15 | +8 | 17 | WWLWW |
| 5 | Mirandes | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:12 | +1 | 17 | LWWLD |
| 6 |  Racing Ferrol | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 10:9 | +1 | 17 | LDLWW |
| 7 |  Extremadura 1924 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 21:15 | +6 | 16 | LWWDW |
| 8 | Mérida AD | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5 | 18:14 | +4 | 16 | WLDWW |
| 9 | Athletic Club II | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | LWLLD |
| 10 | Cacereño | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 15 | LLWLD |
| 11 | Ponferradina | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 15 | DDDDL |
| 12 | Barakaldo | 11 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 | WDDWL |
| 13 | Real Unión | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:19 | 0 | 13 | LLWDD |
| 14 | Cultural Leonesa | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:11 | 0 | 13 | DLLDW |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 11 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 13 | WLWLD |
| 16 |  Zamora | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 12 | LLLDD |
| 17 | CD Coria | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 | WLDWL |
| 18 |  Deportivo La Coruña II | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 12:19 | -7 | 11 | LWLLL |
| 19 | Arenas Getxo | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 10:23 | -13 | 11 | WWWLL |
| 20 | UD Ourense | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 4:16 | -12 | 8 | LWLLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lugo | 11 | 19:9 | 28 |
| 2 | UD Logroñés | 11 | 22:14 | 23 |
| 3 | Pontevedra | 11 | 13:11 | 18 |
| 4 | Real Avilés | 11 | 23:15 | 17 |
| 5 | Mirandes | 11 | 13:12 | 17 |
| 6 | Racing Ferrol | 11 | 10:9 | 17 |
| 7 | Extremadura 1924 | 11 | 21:15 | 16 |
| 8 | Mérida AD | 11 | 18:14 | 16 |
| 9 | Athletic Club II | 11 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 10 | Cacereño | 11 | 9:9 | 15 |
| 11 | Ponferradina | 11 | 7:7 | 15 |
| 12 | Barakaldo | 11 | 10:10 | 14 |
| 13 | Real Unión | 11 | 19:19 | 13 |
| 14 | Cultural Leonesa | 11 | 11:11 | 13 |
| 15 | Unionistas de Salamanca | 11 | 13:18 | 13 |
| 16 | Zamora | 11 | 11:13 | 12 |
| 17 | CD Coria | 11 | 14:17 | 12 |
| 18 | Deportivo La Coruña II | 11 | 12:19 | 11 |
| 19 | Arenas Getxo | 11 | 10:23 | 11 |
| 20 | UD Ourense | 11 | 4:16 | 8 |
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División RFEF - Group 1 matches
- Arenas Getxo vs Deportivo La Coruña II 08/11/26
- Mérida AD vs Athletic Club II 08/11/26
- Cultural Leonesa vs Ponferradina 08/11/26
- Ponferradina vs Cacereño 13/11/26
- Athletic Club II vs Racing Ferrol 14/11/26
- Real Unión vs Cultural Leonesa 14/11/26
- CD Coria vs Unionistas de Salamanca 14/11/26
- Deportivo La Coruña II vs Barakaldo 14/11/26
About the UD Ourense vs Mérida AD forecast
The forecasts for this Primera División RFEF - Group 1 match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
UD Ourense and Mérida AD in the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table
In the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 table, Mérida AD are 8th and UD Ourense 20th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: UD Ourense 4-16, Mérida AD 18-14. The full standings are on the Primera División RFEF - Group 1 Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
UD Ourense and Mérida AD have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.