Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor Prediction

Vanspor FK
0-2
Finished
HT 0-0
Ümraniyespor
Spor Toto Akhisar Stadyumu, Akhisar·Turgut Doman 18/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseMediumGap-4.7%
Vanspor FK Rest
4 days
Ümraniyespor Rest
8 days

Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor: the result in context

Ümraniyespor beat Vanspor FK 2-0 in the 1. Lig on 18 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
43%2.18
X
27%3.25
2
30%3.00
Double Chance
1X
70%1.33
X2
57%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.73
No
45%1.99
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.27 + 1.29 = 2.56
Over 1.5
73%1.28
Over 2.5
49%1.90
Over 3.5
28%3.30
Under 1.5
27%3.23
Under 2.5
51%1.80
Under 3.5
72%1.29
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.3 + 3.9 = 9.2
Over 8.5
56%1.86
Over 9.5
44%2.43
Over 10.5
32%3.36
Under 8.5
44%1.82
Under 9.5
56%1.47
Under 10.5
68%1.24
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.2 = 4.5
Over 3.5
65%-
Over 4.5
46%-
Under 3.5
35%-
Under 4.5
54%-

Match Events

28'Jurgen Bardhi INOzan Kokcu out
45'Muhammet Tunahan Tasci INAlejandro Blanco out
56'Melih Bostan INBerat Yılmaz out
60'Alejandro BlancoAssist: Berat Yılmaz
61'Bengali-Fodé Koita INSanteri Hostikka out
63'Özkan Yiğiter INJesse Khan out
64'İlkan Sever INAlvaro de Oliveira out
71'Berat YılmazDissent
75'Mehmet Özcan INHikmet Çiftçi out
75'Mehmet Manis INMuhammed Furkan Özhan out
82'Santeri HostikkaAssist: Berat Yılmaz
84'Cebio Soukou INToheeb Adeola Kosoko out
84'Serkan Göksu INKerem Sen out
90'Kerem SenFoul
90+2'Alvaro de OliveiraFoul
90+2'Oguz YildirimViolent conduct

Lineups

Vanspor FK
4-3-3Coach: M. Gürsel
Ümraniyespor
4-4-2Coach: T. Albayrak
Avg rating6.45
Avg rating6.90
A. Uysal6.01A. Uysal
C. Hanalp6.577C. Hanalp
S. Osmanoğlu7.25S. Osmanoğlu
N. Oularé7.113N. Oularé
F. Genç7.061F. Genç
M. Maniş6.011M. Maniş
M. Özcan6.341M. Özcan
Ö. Yiğiter6.458Ö. Yiğiter
J. Bardhi6.427J. Bardhi
İlkan Sever5.917İ. Sever
T. Yenne6.815T. Yenne
C. Topaloğlu7.635C. Topaloğlu
O. Yıldırım6.370O. Yıldırım
M. Kartal7.758M. Kartal
T. Glumac7.344T. Glumac
E. Gedik6.288E. Gedik
T. Taşçı6.777T. Taşçı
S. Göksu6.68S. Göksu
A. Đokanović6.910A. Đokanović
C. Soukou6.127C. Soukou
M. Bostan6.89M. Bostan
F. Koita6.455F. Koita

Vanspor FK Substitutes

22A. Damlu
7I. Alhaft
65M. Bingöl
8M. Khan63'for Özkan Yiğiter6.2
10O. Kökçü28'for Jurgen Bardhi6.3
2K. Seven
9Álvaro de Oliveira64'for İlkan Sever90+2'6.1
19H. Çiftçi75'for Mehmet Özcan6.7
35B. İşçiler
25F. Özhan75'for Mehmet Manis6.5

Ümraniyespor Substitutes

20A. Babacan
11Álex Blanco45'for Muhammet Tunahan Tasci60'7.9
7S. Hostikka61'for Bengali-Fodé Koita82'7.4
12Toheeb Kosoko84'for Cebio Soukou6.4
13Ö. Köklü
66A. Yaşar
17Berat Yılmaz56'for Melih Bostan71'7.5
26B. Çakır
53B. Öksüz
16K. Şen84'for Serkan Göksu90'6.6

Match Stats

Vanspor FKÜmraniyespor
61%Ball Possession39%
7Corner Kicks2
1Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
14Total Shots5
4Shots on Goal3
5Shots off Goal1
7Shots Inside Box2
7Shots Outside Box3
5Blocked Shots1
16Fouls11
0Offsides4
1Goalkeeper Saves4
557Total Passes354
467Passes Accurate270
11Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Vanspor FKVanspor FK
ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
1538Elo Rating 1603
1.20Attack 2.04
1.59Defense 2.52
46%Hit Rate 66%
10.6Shots per Game 10.3
4.9Shots on Target 4.4
4.4Corners per Game 4.0
2.0Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Vanspor FKVanspor FK
  • Tied at half-time in 80% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 2 meetings, all competitions

Vanspor FKVanspor FK1Wins · 50%
Draws00%
ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1Wins · 50%
2.0Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored1 of 2
50%3+ goals1 of 2

Previous meetings

1. Lig19/04/2026
ÜmraniyesporVanspor FK
12
1. Lig14/12/2025
Vanspor FKÜmraniyespor
01

Recent Form

Vanspor FKVanspor FK
2W3D5L
13/10/2026
PendiksporVanspor FK
12
W
09/10/2026
Vanspor FKBandırmaspor
02
L
20/09/2026
AntalyasporVanspor FK
30
L
12/09/2026
Vanspor FKKeçiörengücü
11
D
06/09/2026
MuğlasporVanspor FK
22
D
02/09/2026
Vanspor FKBatman Petrolspor
02
L
29/08/2026
Mardin 1969Vanspor FK
11
D
23/08/2026
Vanspor FKİstanbulspor
32
W
15/08/2026
Manisa F.K.Vanspor FK
41
L
09/08/2026
Vanspor FKKayserispor
02
L
ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
1W4D5L
09/10/2026
ÜmraniyesporSarıyer
11
D
18/09/2026
BandırmasporÜmraniyespor
01
W
12/09/2026
ÜmraniyesporAntalyaspor
12
L
05/09/2026
PendiksporÜmraniyespor
10
L
01/09/2026
ÜmraniyesporMuğlaspor
01
L
28/08/2026
KeçiörengücüÜmraniyespor
22
D
22/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporEsenler Erokspor
11
D
15/08/2026
Fatih KaragümrükÜmraniyespor
21
L
08/08/2026
ÜmraniyesporMardin 1969
00
D
17/07/2026
ÜmraniyesporGalatasaray
15
L

Referee Profile

Turgut Doman100 matches

4.43Cards per match
4.20Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
25.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Turgut Doman4.43
Other referees4.73

4.43 cards a match, 0.30 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.73).

Cards come from 79 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691263316:11+521WLWWL
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1224619:22-310LLDLL
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5Mardin 1969Mardin 19691216:1121
6KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
7MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1219:2210
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
PromotionRelegation

About the Vanspor FK vs Ümraniyespor forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Vanspor FK and Ümraniyespor in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Ümraniyespor are 13th and Vanspor FK 18th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Vanspor FK 13-22, Ümraniyespor 13-10. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Ümraniyespor have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Vanspor FK and Ümraniyespor have met only 2 times recently, averaging 2.0 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.