Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor Prediction

Manisa F.K.
3-4
Finished
HT 2-3
Muğlaspor
Manisa 19 Mayis, Manisa·Ayberk Demirbas 19/10/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
69%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.36
SignalSOLIDModel38%SurpriseHighGap-4.9%
Manisa F.K. Rest
3 days
Muğlaspor Rest
3 days

Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor: the result in context

Muğlaspor beat Manisa F.K. 4-3 in the 1. Lig on 19 Oct 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Referee Ayberk Demirbas averages 3.76 cards a game, 0.95 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
40%2.27
X
28%3.30
2
32%2.83
Double Chance
1X
68%1.36
X2
61%1.53
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.65
No
43%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.32 + 1.4 = 2.72
Over 1.5
75%1.25
Over 2.5
52%1.82
Over 3.5
31%3.11
Under 1.5
25%3.60
Under 2.5
48%1.91
Under 3.5
69%1.30
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.7 = 9.8
Over 8.5
62%1.68
Over 9.5
50%2.10
Over 10.5
39%2.75
Under 8.5
38%2.07
Under 9.5
50%1.65
Under 10.5
61%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.3 + 2.6 = 4.9
Over 3.5
72%-
Over 4.5
55%-
Under 3.5
28%-
Under 4.5
45%-

Match Events

10'İ. Furat
12'Ibrahim SissokoAssist: Daniel Avramovski
32'Ibrahim Sissoko(Penalty missed)
32'Mamady·Diarra
33'Osman Kahraman INNoha Lemina out
40'Julien Anziani(Penalty)
45+2'Yassine Benrahou
56'Yiğit FidanArgument
56'Yassine BenrahouArgument
59'K. Yurdakul INFirat İnal out
60'Birama Toure INJonathan Lindseth out
62'Oguzhan Matur INAli·Barak out
62'İ. Furat INKorede Osundina out
73'Ahmet Engin INBilal Ceylan out
73'Ibrahim Sissoko INPoyraz Yildirim out
82'Buluthan Bulut INOrhan Nahirci out
83'Christophe HerelleFoul
84'Daniel AvramovskiAssist: Mamady·Diarra
86'Daniel Avramovski
86'Luis MagoViolent conduct
89'Julien Anziani(Penalty)
90+2'Ali Kaan Guneren(Penalty missed)
90+8'Mamady·DiarraFoul

Lineups

Manisa F.K.
4-4-2Coach: Ahmet Pektaş
Muğlaspor
4-2-3-1Coach: Y. Koşukavak
Avg rating6.21
Avg rating6.50
V. Karakuş6.91V. Karakuş
K. Yurdakul6.122K. Yurdakul
C. Hérelle6.45C. Hérelle
Ada Ibik6.545A. Ibik
O. Kaynak5.33O. Kaynak
Osman Kahraman5.817O. Kahraman
B. Touré6.260B. Touré
A. Çankaya5.56A. Çankaya
A. Vargas6.170A. Vargas
Y. Benrahou7.420Y. Benrahou
J. Anziani7.823J. Anziani
E. Kılıçarslan6.117E. Kılıçarslan
A. Engin6.228A. Engin
Yiğit Fidan6.188Y. Fidan
L. Del Pino5.344L. Del Pino
O. Matur5.95O. Matur
A. Güneren6.323A. Güneren
B. Bulut6.420B. Bulut
M. Diarra8.411M. Diarra
D. Avramovski7.510D. Avramovski
İ. Furat7.191İ. Furat
I. Sissoko7.827I. Sissoko

Manisa F.K. Substitutes

96B. Tibukoglu
10J. Lindseth60'for Birama Toure5.7
11N. Lemina33'for Osman Kahraman5.5
2Yunus Emre Köse
21E. Akboğa
24Y. Dursun
27Y. Güreler
4F. İnal59'for K. Yurdakul5.7
25A. Sen
13Egemen Yayli

Muğlaspor Substitutes

3A. Barak62'for Oguzhan Matur6.0
7D. Camaj
22B. Ceylan73'for Ahmet Engin6.0
31Arel Ekinci
30B. Ekiz
53Alihan Kazmaz
15O. Nahırcı82'for Buluthan Bulut5.8
13K. Osundina62'for İ. Furat6.7
48O. Sol
9P. Yıldırım73'for Ibrahim Sissoko6.4

Match Stats

Manisa F.K.Muğlaspor
53%Ball Possession47%
3Corner Kicks5
2Yellow Cards3
0Red Cards1
13Total Shots13
7Shots on Goal10
1Shots off Goal1
9Shots Inside Box7
4Shots Outside Box6
5Blocked Shots2
12Fouls18
1Offsides1
5Goalkeeper Saves3
414Total Passes386
346Passes Accurate302
17Free Kicks11

Team Comparison

Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
MuğlasporMuğlaspor
1581Elo Rating 1639
1.57Attack 2.71
0.80Defense 1.28
0%Hit Rate 50%
13.7Shots per Game 12.4
3.8Shots on Target 6.4
4.6Corners per Game 4.6
2.7Cards per Game 2.6

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend

Game State Tendencies

Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.5 in first half)
MuğlasporMuğlaspor
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.8 vs 0.9 in second half)

Head to Head

1 previous meeting, all competitions

Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.0Wins · 0%
Draws00%
MuğlasporMuğlaspor1Wins · 100%
2.0Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 1
0%3+ goals0 of 1

Previous meetings

Türkiye Kupası29/10/2025
Manisa F.K.Muğlaspor
02

Recent Form

Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.
2W4D4L
15/10/2026
Manisa F.K.Esenler Erokspor
11
D
10/10/2026
KayserisporManisa F.K.
32
L
20/09/2026
Manisa F.K.İstanbulspor
01
L
13/09/2026
Fatih KaragümrükManisa F.K.
11
D
07/09/2026
Manisa F.K.Bursaspor
12
L
03/09/2026
Iğdır FKManisa F.K.
42
L
30/08/2026
Manisa F.K.Bodrum FK
00
D
24/08/2026
SivassporManisa F.K.
22
D
15/08/2026
Manisa F.K.Vanspor FK
41
W
07/08/2026
BolusporManisa F.K.
12
W
MuğlasporMuğlaspor
2W6D2L
15/10/2026
MuğlasporBursaspor
03
L
11/10/2026
Fatih KaragümrükMuğlaspor
11
D
18/09/2026
MuğlasporIğdır FK
22
D
13/09/2026
SivassporMuğlaspor
11
D
06/09/2026
MuğlasporVanspor FK
22
D
01/09/2026
ÜmraniyesporMuğlaspor
01
W
28/08/2026
MuğlasporBoluspor
20
W
22/08/2026
Bodrum FKMuğlaspor
00
D
16/08/2026
MuğlasporBandırmaspor
00
D
09/08/2026
SarıyerMuğlaspor
20
L

Referee Profile

Ayberk Demirbas81 matches

3.76Cards per match
3.53Yellow cards per match
0.24Red cards per match
22.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ayberk Demirbas3.76
Other referees4.71

3.76 cards a match, 0.95 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.71).

Cards come from 34 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

1. Lig 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BursasporBursaspor1291226:11+1528WWWLW
2KayserisporKayserispor1283126:9+1727DDWWW
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1282217:9+826WWDWD
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1272325:21+423WDWLL
5KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1255223:15+820LWDWD
6MuğlasporMuğlaspor1246218:14+418WWLDD
7Mardin 1969Mardin 19691153314:10+418LWWLL
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1260618:19-118LWLWW
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1245315:11+417WWWLD
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1244416:15+116WLLDW
11SarıyerSarıyer1244414:17-316LDLDW
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1235417:10+714LLDWL
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1134413:10+313WLDWL
14SivassporSivasspor1227315:18-313LDDWD
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1226412:16-412LWDWL
16PendiksporPendikspor1225514:23-911DLLLD
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1124518:20-210LDLLD
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1233613:22-910WLWLL
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor121299:31-225LLLLW
20BolusporBoluspor1101103:25-221LWLLD
#TeamMPGPts
1BursasporBursaspor1226:1128
2KayserisporKayserispor1226:927
3Iğdır FKIğdır FK1217:926
4Batman PetrolsporBatman Petrolspor1225:2123
5KeçiörengücüKeçiörengücü1223:1520
6MuğlasporMuğlaspor1218:1418
7Mardin 1969Mardin 19691114:1018
8AntalyasporAntalyaspor1218:1918
9Bodrum FKBodrum FK1215:1117
10Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük1216:1516
11SarıyerSarıyer1214:1716
12BandırmasporBandırmaspor1217:1014
13ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor1113:1013
14SivassporSivasspor1215:1813
15Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor1212:1612
16PendiksporPendikspor1214:2311
17Manisa F.K.Manisa F.K.1118:2010
18Vanspor FKVanspor FK1213:2210
19İstanbulsporİstanbulspor129:315
20BolusporBoluspor113:251
PromotionRelegation

About the Manisa F.K. vs Muğlaspor forecast

The forecasts for this 1. Lig match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Manisa F.K. and Muğlaspor in the 1. Lig table

In the 1. Lig table, Muğlaspor are 6th and Manisa F.K. 17th, 8 points apart. League goal record so far: Manisa F.K. 18-20, Muğlaspor 18-14. The full standings are on the 1. Lig Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Manisa F.K. and Muğlaspor have met only 1 time recently, with 2.0 goals in that meeting. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.