VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Germany · Regular Season - 4
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
61%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.80
SignalSOLIDModel61%SurpriseMediumGap+6.4%
VfB Stuttgart Rest
7 days
Borussia Dortmund Rest
7 days
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund: the result in context
Borussia Dortmund beat VfB Stuttgart 1-0 in the Bundesliga on 19 Sep 2026. It was in line with recent form: Borussia Dortmund had won 5 of their previous five, compared with 3 for VfB Stuttgart.
When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.6 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 5.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
137%2.45
X27%3.88
236%2.62
Double Chance
1X64%1.46
X263%1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes68%1.32
No32%3.20
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.52 + 1.59 = 3.11
Over 1.583%1.09
Over 2.563%1.36
Over 3.540%1.93
Under 1.517%6.40
Under 2.537%3.05
Under 3.560%1.91
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 4.5 = 9.7
Over 8.561%1.43
Over 9.552%1.73
Over 10.538%2.17
Under 8.539%2.62
Under 9.548%2.02
Under 10.562%1.63
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.6 + 2.1 = 3.7
Over 3.550%1.92
Over 4.531%2.98
Under 3.550%1.83
Under 4.569%1.36
Match Events
13'Ermedin DemirovićDissent
17'Angelo StillerFoul
32'Nico SchlotterbeckFoul
46'Joey VeermanFoul
57'Kouakou Joane GadouFoul
62'Joey Veerman INJobe Bellingham out
62'Ethan Nwaneri INKonstantinos Karetsas out
64'Deniz Undav INDženan Pejčinović out
64'Chris Führich INJamie Leweling out
70'Maximilian BeierAssist: Jobe Bellingham
74'Serhou Guirassy INFábio Silva out
81'Jobe BellinghamFoul
82'Maximilian Beier INMarcel Sabitzer out
82'Julian Ryerson INRamy Bensebaini out
82'Julian RyersonDissent
84'Grischa Prömel INNikolas Nartey out
84'Bilal El Khannouss INLeo Sauer out
Lineups
VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund
3-4-2-1Coach: N. KovačAvg ratingAvg rating
1F. Bredlow
29F. Jeltsch
24J. Chabot
7M. Mittelstädt
4J. Vagnoman
21G. Prömel
6A. Stiller
10C. Führich
11B. El Khannouss
26D. Undav
9E. Demirović
1G. Kobel
22K. Joane Gadou
3W. Anton
4N. Schlotterbeck
26J. Ryerson
25J. Veerman
8F. Nmecha
24D. Svensson
18E. Nwaneri
14M. Beier
9S. GuirassyVfB Stuttgart Substitutes
28N. Nartey84'for Grischa Prömel
17D. Pejčinović64'for Deniz Undav
44L. Sauer84'for Bilal El Khannouss
2A. Al Dakhil
33M. Funk
3R. Hendriks
47Y. Spalt
16A. Karazor
18J. Leweling64'for Chris Führich
Borussia Dortmund Substitutes
17C. Chukwuemeka
40S. Inacio
19K. Karetsas62'for Ethan Nwaneri
33A. Meyer
49L. Reggiani
20M. Sabitzer82'for Maximilian Beier
21Fábio Silva74'for Serhou Guirassy
7J. Bellingham62'for Joey Veerman81'
5R. Bensebaïni82'for Julian Ryerson
Match Stats
VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund 56%Ball Possession44%
6Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards5
12Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal6
8Shots Inside Box10
4Shots Outside Box3
1Blocked Shots5
9Fouls14
4Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
547Total Passes432
473Passes Accurate335
14Free Kicks9
Team Comparison
VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund1857Elo Rating 1964
1.58Attack 2.03
1.36Defense 1.74
42%Hit Rate 77%
15.7Shots per Game 15.2
5.5Shots on Target 5.9
5.2Corners per Game 5.2
3.1Cards per Game 1.7
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy3.11 goals
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
Game State Tendencies
VfB Stuttgart- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Borussia Dortmund- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
VfB Stuttgart5Wins · 50%Draws220%
Borussia Dortmund3Wins · 30%
3Wins · 30%3.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
60%3+ goals6 of 10
Previous meetings
04/04/2026VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund02
22/11/2025Borussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart33
08/02/2025Borussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart12
22/09/2024VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund51
06/04/2024Borussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart01
06/12/2023VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund20
11/11/2023VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund21
15/04/2023VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund33
22/10/2022Borussia DortmundVfB Stuttgart50
08/04/2022VfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund02
Recent Form
VfB Stuttgart7W0D3L
12/09/2026
1899 HoffenheimVfB StuttgartVfB Stuttgart
VikingVfB Stuttgart
1. FC Köln
Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart
Hansa RostockVfB Stuttgart
1899 HoffenheimVfB Stuttgart21
L09/09/2026VfB StuttgartViking31
W04/09/2026VfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln41
W28/08/2026Bayern MünchenVfB Stuttgart51
L21/08/2026Hansa RostockVfB Stuttgart04
W15/08/2026
FulhamVfB Stuttgart
FulhamVfB Stuttgart10
L08/08/2026VfB Stuttgart
Everton
VfB StuttgartEverton31
W01/08/2026VfB Stuttgart
Paris FC
VfB StuttgartParis FC21
W29/07/2026
Kickers OffenbachVfB Stuttgart
Kickers OffenbachVfB Stuttgart18
W25/07/2026
HollenbachVfB Stuttgart
HollenbachVfB Stuttgart05
WBorussia Dortmund7W1D2L
12/09/2026Borussia Dortmund
SC Paderborn 07Borussia Dortmund
Villarreal1899 HoffenheimBorussia DortmundBorussia Dortmund
Hamburger SV
Borussia DortmundSC Paderborn 0730
W08/09/2026Borussia DortmundVillarreal32
W05/09/20261899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund23
W01/09/2026
HEBCBorussia Dortmund
29/08/2026HEBCBorussia Dortmund05
WBorussia DortmundHamburger SV20
W22/08/2026Borussia DortmundBayern München
Borussia DortmundBayern München12
L15/08/2026Borussia Dortmund
AS Roma
Borussia DortmundAS Roma22
D09/08/2026
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund
ArsenalBorussia Dortmund23
W01/08/2026
FC TokyoBorussia Dortmund
FC TokyoBorussia Dortmund01
W29/07/2026
Cerezo OsakaBorussia Dortmund
Cerezo OsakaBorussia Dortmund10
LReferee Profile
3.88Cards per match
3.72Yellow cards per match
0.15Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
3.85 cards a match, 0.45 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.30).
Cards come from 214 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 29:9 | +20 | 21 | WDWWD |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 16:7 | +9 | 21 | WDWDD |
| 3 |  SC Freiburg | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 20:10 | +10 | 19 | WWLLW |
| 4 |  RB Leipzig | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 27:13 | +14 | 18 | WWWLW |
| 5 |  Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 20:17 | +3 | 16 | WLLWW |
| 6 |  Werder Bremen | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 17:15 | +2 | 15 | LWWDD |
| 7 |  SV Elversberg | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:18 | -1 | 13 | LWLWL |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 12 | WWLLW |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 12 | WLWWL |
| 10 |  Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | DWLWL |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 10:20 | -10 | 12 | WLLWW |
| 12 |  FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 18:19 | -1 | 10 | LLLWL |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 | DDWDL |
| 14 |  FC Augsburg | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 20:20 | 0 | 9 | LLDLD |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 9 | LDDLW |
| 16 |  Union Berlin | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 7:21 | -14 | 7 | LDDDW |
| 17 |  FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 5:11 | -6 | 6 | LLDLL |
| 18 |  Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12:25 | -13 | 4 | LDWLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bayern München | 9 | 29:9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 16:7 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 20:10 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 27:13 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer Leverkusen | 9 | 20:17 | 16 |
| 6 | Werder Bremen | 9 | 17:15 | 15 |
| 7 | SV Elversberg | 9 | 17:18 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 15:15 | 12 |
| 9 | 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 16:17 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 10:20 | 12 |
| 12 | FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 18:19 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 8:11 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 20:20 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 10:14 | 9 |
| 16 | Union Berlin | 9 | 7:21 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 5:11 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 12:25 | 4 |
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Bundesliga matches
- Eintracht Frankfurt vs SC Freiburg 19/09/26
- Hamburger SV vs 1. FC Köln 19/09/26
- Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg 19/09/26
- Borussia Mönchengladbach vs FSV Mainz 05 19/09/26
- Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig 20/09/26
- FC Schalke 04 vs SV Elversberg 20/09/26
- SC Paderborn 07 vs 1899 Hoffenheim 20/09/26
- Borussia Dortmund vs Werder Bremen 09/10/26
About the VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund forecast
The forecasts for this Bundesliga match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
VfB Stuttgart and Borussia Dortmund in the Bundesliga table
In the Bundesliga table, Borussia Dortmund are 2nd and VfB Stuttgart 8th, 9 points apart. League goal record so far: VfB Stuttgart 15-15, Borussia Dortmund 16-7. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.