Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz Prediction

Wolfsberger AC
1-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sturm Graz
Lavanttal-Arena, Wolfsburg·Alain Sadikovski 01/11/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.54
SignalSOLIDModel58%SurpriseMediumGap+1.4%
Value Analysis
67%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 2.5 Goals
1.54
SignalGOODModel67%SurpriseMediumGap+3.3%
Wolfsberger AC Rest
4 days
Sturm Graz Rest
2 days

Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz: result, form and history

Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz drew 1-1 in the Bundesliga on 1 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.2 goals, and both sides scored in 7 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
20%4.58
X
23%4.13
2
57%1.65
Double Chance
1X
43%2.19
X2
80%1.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%1.57
No
41%2.28
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.11 + 2.03 = 3.14
Over 1.5
82%1.17
Over 2.5
64%1.54
Over 3.5
41%2.35
Under 1.5
18%5.00
Under 2.5
36%2.35
Under 3.5
59%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.5 + 5.9 = 10.4
Over 8.5
68%1.40
Over 9.5
57%1.69
Over 10.5
46%2.10
Under 8.5
32%2.65
Under 9.5
43%2.02
Under 10.5
54%1.62
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.4 + 2 = 4.3
Over 3.5
62%-
Over 4.5
43%-
Under 3.5
38%-
Under 4.5
57%-

Match Events

28'Goal cancelledBelmin Beganovic
40'Dominik FitzFoul
45'Jacob Peter Hödl INLuis Balbo out
45'Donis AvdijajAssist: Marco Alessandro Sulzner
45'Valmir Matoshi INOumar Diakité out
54'Raffael Behounek INCheick Mamadou Diabate out
58'Matteo KitzFoul
63'Sankara William Karamoko INGiacomo Vrioni out
63'Donis Avdijaj INOtar Mamageishvili out
63'Simon Piesinger INThorsten Schriebl out
70'Belmin Beganovic INSzymon Wlodarczyk out
81'Jurgen Heil INAxel Kayombo out
88'Luca Weinhandl INAlbert Vallci out
90+4'Joshua QuarshieArgument
90+5'Oumar Diakité(Penalty)

Lineups

Wolfsberger AC
3-5-2Coach: M. Schmid
Sturm Graz
3-4-2-1Coach: F. Ingolitsch
Avg rating6.47
Avg rating6.46
L. Gliklich6.112L. Gliklich
Matteo Kitz6.235M. Kitz
R. Behounek6.86R. Behounek
M. Sulzner6.930M. Sulzner
F. Wohlmuth6.331F. Wohlmuth
D. Avdijaj8.010D. Avdijaj
S. Piesinger6.48S. Piesinger
D. Fitz5.936D. Fitz
A. Schwarz6.711A. Schwarz
P. Verhounig6.323P. Verhounig
S. Karamoko6.049S. Karamoko
A. Helac6.622A. Helac
A. Malic6.623A. Malic
J. Quarshie6.32J. Quarshie
P. Koller6.530P. Koller
J. Heil6.428J. Heil
J. Gorenc Stankovič6.44J. Gorenc Stankovič
Luca Weinhandl6.239L. Weinhandl
Jacob Peter Hödl6.343J. Peter Hödl
S. Seidl5.919S. Seidl
V. Matoshi6.578V. Matoshi
B. Beganović6.026B. Beganović

Wolfsberger AC Substitutes

9G. Vrioni63'for Sankara William Karamoko6.5
20T. Schriebl63'for Simon Piesinger6.6
17Marco Schabauer
32M. Pink
19O. Mamageishvili63'for Donis Avdijaj6.2
1L. Gütlbauer
15Cheikh Mamadou Diabaté54'for Raffael Behounek6.4
34E. Agyemang
70David Đurić

Sturm Graz Substitutes

17S. Włodarczyk70'for Belmin Beganovic6.7
5A. Vallci88'for Luca Weinhandl6.1
1Adam Stejskal
21P. Petrović
11A. Kayombo81'for Jurgen Heil6.8
40J. Halwachs
14O. Diakité45'for Valmir Matoshi90+5'7.8
27L. Balbo45'for Jacob Peter Hödl6.2
25M. Grgic

Match Stats

Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz
34%Ball Possession66%
3Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
11Total Shots14
4Shots on Goal3
4Shots off Goal8
9Shots Inside Box7
2Shots Outside Box7
3Blocked Shots3
15Fouls11
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves3
262Total Passes497
166Passes Accurate383
11Free Kicks14

Team Comparison

Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
1455Elo Rating 1720
0.14Attack 2.19
1.05Defense 1.14
0%Hit Rate 36%
14.1Shots per Game 18.3
3.2Shots on Target 5.7
5.6Corners per Game 5.2
2.0Cards per Game 2.8

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.14 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC3Wins · 30%
Draws440%
Sturm GrazSturm Graz3Wins · 30%
3.2Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Bundesliga01/03/2026
Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz
22
Bundesliga26/10/2025
Sturm GrazWolfsberger AC
13
Bundesliga24/05/2025
Sturm GrazWolfsberger AC
11
Bundesliga30/03/2025
Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz
11
Bundesliga15/02/2025
Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz
30
Bundesliga22/09/2024
Sturm GrazWolfsberger AC
03
Bundesliga03/03/2024
Sturm GrazWolfsberger AC
40
Bundesliga08/10/2023
Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz
12
Bundesliga16/10/2022
Sturm GrazWolfsberger AC
32
Bundesliga23/07/2022
Wolfsberger ACSturm Graz
11

Referee Profile

Alain Sadikovski108 matches

4.46Cards per match
4.14Yellow cards per match
0.32Red cards per match
24.9Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Alain Sadikovski4.46
Other referees4.66

4.46 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.66).

Cards come from 74 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Bundesliga 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1183029:6+2327WWWDW
2Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1090131:9+2227WWWWW
3Lask LinzLask Linz1171326:13+1322WLWLD
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz1154219:13+619DDWWL
5TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1152420:19+117WWLWD
6RiedRied1144319:18+116DDWWW
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1133514:17-312LDWLL
8SCR AltachSCR Altach1131711:17-610DWLWL
9Grazer AKGrazer AK112458:27-1910LDLDD
10Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1122713:29-168LLLLW
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1021710:20-107LLLDW
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC111378:20-126DLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg1129:627
2Rapid ViennaRapid Vienna1031:927
3Lask LinzLask Linz1126:1322
4Sturm GrazSturm Graz1119:1319
5TSV HartbergTSV Hartberg1120:1917
6RiedRied1119:1816
7WSG WattensWSG Wattens1114:1712
8SCR AltachSCR Altach1111:1710
9Grazer AKGrazer AK118:2710
10Austria LustenauAustria Lustenau1113:298
11Austria ViennaAustria Vienna1010:207
12Wolfsberger ACWolfsberger AC118:206
PromotionRelegation

About the Wolfsberger AC vs Sturm Graz forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Wolfsberger AC and Sturm Graz in the Bundesliga table

The table shows a wide gap: Sturm Graz are 4th in the Bundesliga, while Wolfsberger AC sit 12th, 13 points behind. League goal record so far: Wolfsberger AC 8-20, Sturm Graz 19-13. The full standings are on the Bundesliga Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.