Sturm Graz vs Rennes Prediction

Sturm Graz
0-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Rennes
Merkur Arena, Graz·Manfredas Lukjancukas, Lithuania 16/09/2026
Sturm GrazSturm Graz
0-0
Finished
RennesRennes

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
85%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.25
SignalSTRONGModel66%SurpriseHighGap+4.8%
Value Analysis
62%Trust
1X2
Away Win
1.82
SignalSOLIDModel62%SurpriseHighGap+9.9%
Sturm Graz Rest
3 days
Rennes Rest
5 days

Sturm Graz vs Rennes: result, form and history

Sturm Graz and Rennes drew 0-0 in the UEFA Europa League on 16 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Sturm Graz tend to win more corners, 7.2 a game to 4.2 for Rennes.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
6%4.00
X
26%4.00
2
68%1.82
Double Chance
1X
31%1.92
X2
94%1.25
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%1.49
No
50%2.48
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.69 = 2.79
Over 1.5
77%1.14
Over 2.5
56%1.50
Over 3.5
36%2.34
Under 1.5
23%5.00
Under 2.5
44%2.50
Under 3.5
64%1.62
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.4 + 4.7 = 9.2
Over 8.5
59%1.41
Over 9.5
40%1.75
Over 10.5
31%2.19
Under 8.5
41%2.60
Under 9.5
60%1.99
Under 10.5
69%1.57
Cards
Projected Cards: 2 + 2 = 4
Over 3.5
56%1.43
Over 4.5
37%1.89
Under 3.5
44%2.70
Under 4.5
63%1.86

Match Events

46'A. Vallci INA. Malic out
51'L. BalboHolding
62'B. Beganovic INO. Diakite out
62'G. Mamageishvili INF. Rozga out
63'F. Ingolitsch
73'M. Tamari INA. Nordin out
73'S. Szymanski INV. Rongier out
80'L. Blas INE. Mayenda out
80'B. Reynolds INA. Ait Boudlal out
81'L. Balbo INS. Seidl out
81'V. Matoshi INJ. Gorenc Stankovic out
86'E. Lepaul INB. Dia out
90+7'J. Gorenc StankovicFoul

Lineups

Sturm Graz
5-3-2Coach: Fabio Ingolitsch
Rennes
4-1-4-1Coach: Franck Haise
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.87
Daniil Khudyakov7.553D. Khudyakov
Jurgen Heil7.228J. Heil
Albert VallciC6.95A. Vallci
Joshua Quarshie7.02J. Quarshie
Paul Koller7.230P. Koller
Luís Balbo7.527L. Balbo
Luca Weinhandl6.639L. Weinhandl
Valmir Matoshi6.678V. Matoshi
Jacob Hödl6.343J. Hödl
Belmin Beganović6.226B. Beganović
Gizo Mamageishvili6.915G. Mamageishvili
Brice SambaC7.230B. Samba
Bryan Reynolds7.214B. Reynolds
Charlie Cresswell7.54C. Cresswell
Anthony Rouault7.324A. Rouault
Mahamadou Nagida7.318M. Nagida
Mahdi Camara6.745M. Camara
Ludovic Blas6.710L. Blas
Sebastian Szymański6.617S. Szymański
Adrien Thomasson7.228A. Thomasson
Mousa Tamari6.311M. Tamari
Esteban Lepaul6.39E. Lepaul

Sturm Graz Substitutes

23Arjan Malić46'for A. Vallci6.5
8Filip Rózga6.9
14Oumar Diakité62'for B. Beganovic6.3
22Ammar Helac
41Elias Lorenz
21Petar Petrović
4Jon Gorenc Stanković81'for V. Matoshi90+7'6.3
19Simon Seidl81'for L. Balbo6.9
40Julian Halwachs
25Leon Grgić
38Jonas Peinhart

Rennes Substitutes

21Valentin Rongier73'for S. Szymanski6.9
70Arnaud Nordin73'for M. Tamari6.9
16Nicolas Lemaitre
60Kilian Belazzoug
5Gonçalo Oliveira
26Quentin Merlin
36Alidu Seidu
48Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal80'for B. Reynolds6.6
12Eliezer Mayenda80'for L. Blas6.5
22Boulaye Dia86'for E. Lepaul6.7
90Issa Soumaré
65Henrick Do Marcolino

Match Stats

Sturm GrazRennes
38%Ball Possession62%
5Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards0
11Total Shots23
4Shots on Goal5
4Shots off Goal11
7Shots Inside Box17
4Shots Outside Box6
3Blocked Shots7
12Fouls6
1Offsides4
5Goalkeeper Saves4
286Total Passes465
186Passes Accurate385
5Free Kicks10

Team Comparison

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
RennesRennes
1690Elo Rating 1813
1.63Attack 1.80
1.05Defense 0.96
14%Hit Rate 19%
21.5Shots per Game 13.8
5.3Shots on Target 5.9
7.2Corners per Game 4.2
1.8Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend
💎Value Analysis Identified
⚠️Away Rotation Risk70%

Game State Tendencies

Sturm GrazSturm Graz
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
RennesRennes
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.7 in second half)

Recent Form

RennesRennes
5W2D3L
11/09/2026
RennesMarseille
10
W
06/09/2026
AngersRennes
12
W
30/08/2026
RennesLe Mans
32
W
23/08/2026
RennesParis Saint Germain
22
D
15/08/2026
SunderlandRennes
21
L
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford
24
L
08/08/2026
RennesBrentford U21
12
L
02/08/2026
GalatasarayRennes
33
D
25/07/2026
RennesClub Brugge KV
21
W
17/07/2026
RennesGuingamp
31
W

Referee Profile

Manfredas Lukjancukas140 matches

4.19Cards per match
3.97Yellow cards per match
0.23Red cards per match
23.5Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Manfredas Lukjancukas4.19
Other referees4.39

4.19 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.39).

Cards come from 31 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

UEFA Europa League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BenficaBenfica440013:3+1012WWWW
2BournemouthBournemouth440011:2+912WWWW
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC440011:3+812WWWW
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise431010:2+810WWDW
5JuventusJuventus431011:4+710WDWW
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus43104:1+310DWWW
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen43018:1+79LWWW
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş421111:8+37LDWW
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb42115:4+17WLWD
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia42114:3+17WWDL
11SunderlandSunderland42114:407LDWW
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen42118:9-17WWDL
13LyonLyon42116:7-17DLWW
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar42027:4+36LWWL
15AnderlechtAnderlecht42026:3+36WWLL
16OFIOFI42025:4+16WLLW
17RennesRennes41304:3+16DDWD
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia42026:7-16LLWW
19TorreenseTorreense42027:9-26WLLW
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad41219:4+55DWDL
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace41219:6+35DDLW
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha41126:604LLDW
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim41126:604DWLL
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz41123:6-34LWLD
25CeljeCelje41125:9-44WDLL
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg41123:8-54LDLW
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo41034:6-23LWLL
28AC MilanAC Milan41034:7-33LLWL
29JagielloniaJagiellonia41034:7-33LLWL
30PlzenPlzen41033:7-43WLLL
31MarseilleMarseille41032:6-43WLLL
32CelticCeltic41036:11-53WLLL
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva40131:8-71LLLD
34LillestromLillestrom40132:10-81LLDL
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan40132:12-101LDLL
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia40044:14-100LLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BenficaBenfica413:312
2BournemouthBournemouth411:212
3Ferencvarosi TCFerencvarosi TC411:312
4Union St. GilloiseUnion St. Gilloise410:210
5JuventusJuventus411:410
6Olympiakos PiraeusOlympiakos Piraeus44:110
7Bayer LeverkusenBayer Leverkusen48:19
8BeşiktaşBeşiktaş411:87
9Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb45:47
10Levski SofiaLevski Sofia44:37
11SunderlandSunderland44:47
12NEC NijmegenNEC Nijmegen48:97
13LyonLyon46:77
14AZ AlkmaarAZ Alkmaar47:46
15AnderlechtAnderlecht46:36
16OFIOFI45:46
17RennesRennes44:36
18Omonia NicosiaOmonia Nicosia46:76
19TorreenseTorreense47:96
20Real SociedadReal Sociedad49:45
21Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace49:65
22Sparta PrahaSparta Praha46:64
231899 Hoffenheim1899 Hoffenheim46:64
24Sturm GrazSturm Graz43:64
25CeljeCelje45:94
26Red Bull SalzburgRed Bull Salzburg43:84
27Celta VigoCelta Vigo44:63
28AC MilanAC Milan44:73
29JagielloniaJagiellonia44:73
30PlzenPlzen43:73
31MarseilleMarseille42:63
32CelticCeltic46:113
33Hapoel Beer ShevaHapoel Beer Sheva41:81
34LillestromLillestrom42:101
35Lech PoznanLech Poznan42:121
36Ararat-ArmeniaArarat-Armenia44:140
Europa League

About the Sturm Graz vs Rennes forecast

This is a UEFA Europa League cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Sturm Graz and Rennes in the UEFA Europa League table

In the UEFA Europa League table, Rennes are 17th and Sturm Graz 24th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Sturm Graz 3-6, Rennes 4-3. The full standings are on the UEFA Europa League Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Sturm Graz and Rennes have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.