Zambia vs Burundi Prediction

Zambia
1-1
Finished
HT 0-0
Burundi
Levy Mwanawasa Stadium, Ndola·Washington Dolo 13/11/2026
ZambiaZambia
1-1
Finished
BurundiBurundi

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
Zambia Rest
44 days
Burundi Rest
45 days

Zambia vs Burundi: result, form and history

Zambia and Burundi drew 1-1 in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification on 13 Nov 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
58%1.58
X
25%3.58
2
17%5.61
Double Chance
1X
83%1.11
X2
42%2.23
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

27'David HamansenyaFoul
36'Dominic ChandaFoul
45'Derrick Bulaya INEliya Mandanji out
63'Omar MoussaFoul
65'Edward ChilufyaAssist: A. Kangwanda
71'Asman ndikumana INBonfils-Caleb Bimenyimana out
71'Bienvenue Kanakimana INMossi Nduwumwe out
79'Mokono Elie Eldhino INGael Bigirimana out
80'Edward Chilufya INZephaniah Phiri out
80'Prince Mumba INWilson Chisala out
81'A. Kangwanda INGift Mphande out
82'J. GirumugishaAssist: Gael Bigirimana
90+2'Gael BigirimanaTime wasting
90+3'Emmanuel swedi INDerrick Mukombozi out

Lineups

Zambia
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Sichone
Burundi
3-4-3Coach: P. Sangwa
Avg rating6.80
Avg rating6.53
11W. Mwanza
M. Banda6.915M. Banda
66R. Chanda
Dominic Chanda6.421D. Chanda
D. Hamansenya6.622D. Hamansenya
Prince Mumba6.924P. Mumba
M. Chaiwa6.85M. Chaiwa
E. Chilufya8.114E. Chilufya
1111A. Kangwanda
F. Sakala6.310F. Sakala
99D. Bulaya
J. Nahimana5.91J. Nahimana
Y. Ndayishimiye6.914Y. Ndayishimiye
F. Nsabiyumva6.819F. Nsabiyumva
1515O. Moussa
E. Swedi6.413E. Swedi
88M. Elie Eldhino
55H. Msanga
44A. Muderi
B. Kanakimana6.320B. Kanakimana
2121A. ndikumana
77J. Girumugisha

Zambia Substitutes

26William Kamwanga
18Luka Mainza
16V. Chabu
27Eliya Mandanji45'replaced by Derrick Bulaya
13G. Mphande81'replaced by A. Kangwanda6.8
7J. Mutale
4Owen Mwamba
23K. Mwanza
19Zephaniah Phiri80'replaced by Edward Chilufya
2Tinklar Sinkala
12Wilson Chisala80'replaced by Prince Mumba
28Chanka Zimba
3Obino Chisala

Burundi Substitutes

94K. Icoyitungiye
93M. Amissi
91G. Bigirimana79'replaced by Mokono Elie Eldhino90+2'6.5
97B. Bimenyimana71'replaced by Asman ndikumana6.5
98Abdoul Karim Mpawenimana
90Karim Mperanyi
96D. Mukombozi90+3'for Emmanuel swedi
95Franck Nduwimana
92Mossi Nduwumwe71'replaced by Bienvenue Kanakimana
99O. Onésime
89M. Weymans

Match Stats

ZambiaBurundi
55%Ball Possession45%
5Corner Kicks2
2Yellow Cards2
12Total Shots10
3Shots on Goal4
7Shots off Goal5
6Shots Inside Box7
6Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots1
13Fouls10
2Offsides1
2Goalkeeper Saves2
368Total Passes304
305Passes Accurate234
9Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

ZambiaZambia
BurundiBurundi
1526Elo Rating 1307
1.07Attack 0.54
1.56Defense 1.39
41%Hit Rate 0%
9.1Shots per Game 14.4
2.2Shots on Target 3.9
4.5Corners per Game 6.0
2.5Cards per Game 1.5

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+219 Elo
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

ZambiaZambia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.3 in first half)
BurundiBurundi
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (0.5 vs 0 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Recent Form

ZambiaZambia
2W2D6L
29/09/2026
ZambiaTogo
20
W
25/09/2026
AlgeriaZambia
31
L
29/12/2025
ZambiaMorocco
03
L
26/12/2025
ZambiaComoros
00
D
22/12/2025
MaliZambia
11
D
12/10/2025
ZambiaNiger
01
L
08/10/2025
TanzaniaZambia
01
W
08/09/2025
ZambiaMorocco
02
L
17/08/2025
ZambiaKenya
01
L
14/08/2025
MoroccoZambia
31
L
BurundiBurundi
3W1D6L
29/09/2026
BurundiAlgeria
22
D
25/09/2026
TogoBurundi
10
L
26/05/2026
MoroccoBurundi
50
L
31/03/2026
BurundiChad
40
W
27/03/2026
ChadBurundi
04
W
14/10/2025
GabonBurundi
20
L
09/10/2025
BurundiKenya
01
L
09/09/2025
GambiaBurundi
20
L
05/09/2025
Ivory CoastBurundi
10
L
25/03/2025
BurundiSeychelles
50
W

League Table

Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification 2027
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1AlgeriaAlgeria21105:3+24DW
2ZambiaZambia31114:404DWL
3TogoTogo21011:2-13LW
4BurundiBurundi30213:4-12LWW
#TeamMPGPts
1AlgeriaAlgeria25:34
2ZambiaZambia34:44
3TogoTogo21:23
4BurundiBurundi33:42
Promotion

About the Zambia vs Burundi forecast

This is a Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification cup fixture; the forecasts combine team ratings, recent form and scoring data, with the cup context taken into account.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Zambia and Burundi in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Zambia are 2nd in the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification, 2 points ahead of Burundi in 4th. League goal record so far: Zambia 4-4, Burundi 3-4. The full standings are on the Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification Table 2027 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Zambia and Burundi have little recent head-to-head history for the model to draw on. Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.