Ham-Kam vs Aalesund Prediction

Ham-Kam
1-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Aalesund
Briskeby Arena, Hamar·Ola Hobber Nilsen, Norway 09/08/2026
Ham-KamHam-Kam
1-1
Finished
AalesundAalesund

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.33
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseMediumGap-2.1%
Value Analysis
68%Trust
Goals O/U
Under 3.5 Goals
1.63
SignalGOODModel45%SurpriseMediumGap+10.2%
Ham-Kam Rest
8 days
Aalesund Rest
7 days

Ham-Kam vs Aalesund: result, form and history

Ham-Kam and Aalesund drew 1-1 in the Eliteserien on 9 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 8 previous meetings averaged 2.5 goals, with both teams scoring in 5 of them. Aalesund tend to win more corners, 6.4 a game to 2.6 for Ham-Kam.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
49%2.10
X
24%3.73
2
27%3.13
Double Chance
1X
73%1.33
X2
51%1.70
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%1.42
No
44%2.62
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.71 + 1.28 = 2.99
Over 1.5
82%1.14
Over 2.5
59%1.50
Over 3.5
33%2.21
Under 1.5
18%5.10
Under 2.5
41%2.50
Under 3.5
67%1.63
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4.7 = 10.5
Over 8.5
74%1.24
Over 9.5
65%1.41
Over 10.5
52%1.70
Under 8.5
26%3.55
Under 9.5
35%2.60
Under 10.5
48%2.03
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
37%-
Over 4.5
17%-
Under 3.5
63%-
Under 4.5
83%-

Match Events

20'D. Benjamin
24'P. Aukland INE. Engqvist out
28'S. Haram
45+1'E. OsenbrochAssist: M. Christensen
54'M. Reed INH. Hammer out
55'M. GjoneAssist: P. Metcalfe
56'F. Sjolstad INA. Trondsen out
56'D. Benjamin INH. Udahl out
78'B. Isufi INW. Osnes-Ringen out
78'K. Lonebu INI. Djantou out
78'E. Osenbroch INE. Myrlid out
89'A. Trondsen
90'P. Metcalfe INS. Nilsen out
90'V. Jonsson IND. Al Saed out

Lineups

Ham-Kam
5-3-2Coach: Thomas Myhre
Aalesund
5-3-2Coach: Kjetil-Andre Rekdal
Avg rating6.95
Avg rating6.85
Marcus Sandberg6.312M. Sandberg
Patrick Metcalfe7.926P. Metcalfe
Martin Gjone8.22M. Gjone
Fredrik SjolstadC7.523F. Sjolstad
Ethan Amundsen-Day6.23E. Amundsen-Day
Viðar Ari Jónsson6.07V. Ari Jónsson
Aksel Baran Potur6.917A. Baran Potur
Luc Mares7.014L. Mares
Markus Johnsgard6.38M. Johnsgard
Blerton Isufi7.929B. Isufi
David Benjamin6.228D. Benjamin
Luca Podlech7.71L. Podlech
Uba Charles7.014U. Charles
Simen Haram6.74S. Haram
Philip Sandvik Aukland6.745P. Sandvik Aukland
Ólafur Guðmundsson6.63Ó. Guðmundsson
Kristoffer Nessø6.57K. Nessø
Mathias ChristensenC8.321M. Christensen
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen6.318E. Kristoffersen Hagen
Endre Hjertager Osenbroch7.515E. Hjertager Osenbroch
Kristian Lonebu6.739K. Lonebu
Marcus Haagensen Reed7.027M. Haagensen Reed

Ham-Kam Substitutes

16Anders Trondsen56'for F. Sjolstad89'6.7
19Henrik Udahl56'for D. Benjamin6.7
13Sander Østraat
22Snorre Strand Nilsen90'for P. Metcalfe
5Aleksander Andresen
10Loris Mettler
6William Osnes-Ringen78'for B. Isufi7.5
20Julian Bakkeli Gonstad
24Danilo Al-Saed90'for V. Jonsson

Aalesund Substitutes

22Emil Engqvist24'for P. Aukland6.9
6Hakon Butli Hammer6.5
26Tor Erik Larsen
2Marius Andresen
16Jakob Nyland Örsahl
10Mathias Kristensen
17Elias Heggland Myrlid78'for E. Osenbroch6.2
20Ivan Djantou78'for K. Lonebu6.2

Match Stats

Ham-KamAalesund
59%Ball Possession41%
8Corner Kicks4
2Yellow Cards1
12Total Shots10
6Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal4
9Shots Inside Box7
3Shots Outside Box3
2Blocked Shots4
10Fouls11
1Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves5
493Total Passes342
411Passes Accurate246
83%Pass Accuracy72%

Team Comparison

Ham-KamHam-Kam
AalesundAalesund
1576Elo Rating 1595
1.48Attack 2.16
0.90Defense 1.54
44%Hit Rate 61%
11.5Shots per Game 14.0
2.9Shots on Target 5.3
2.6Corners per Game 6.4
1.8Cards per Game 2.2

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy2.99 goals
📈BTTS Trend63% in H2H
📊Home Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Ham-KamHam-Kam
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.3 in first half)
AalesundAalesund
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 8 meetings, all competitions

Ham-KamHam-Kam2Wins · 25%
Draws563%
AalesundAalesund1Wins · 12%
2.5Avg Goals
63%Both teams scored5 of 8
50%3+ goals4 of 8

Previous meetings

Eliteserien29/05/2026
AalesundHam-Kam
22
NM Cupen20/05/2025
AalesundHam-Kam
6252
Eliteserien13/08/2023
AalesundHam-Kam
02
Eliteserien07/07/2023
Ham-KamAalesund
21
Eliteserien16/10/2022
AalesundHam-Kam
00
Eliteserien08/05/2022
Ham-KamAalesund
00
1. Division03/10/2021
AalesundHam-Kam
11
1. Division21/07/2021
Ham-KamAalesund
23

Recent Form

Ham-KamHam-Kam
4W2D4L
31/07/2026
ValerengaHam-Kam
03
W
26/07/2026
Sarpsborg 08 FFHam-Kam
10
L
22/07/2026
Bodo/GlimtHam-Kam
30
L
18/07/2026
Ham-KamTromso
14
L
12/07/2026
SandefjordHam-Kam
22
D
27/06/2026
IFK GoteborgHam-Kam
12
W
29/05/2026
AalesundHam-Kam
22
D
25/05/2026
Ham-KamLillestrom
20
W
16/05/2026
FredrikstadHam-Kam
21
L
08/05/2026
Ham-KamValerenga
10
W
AalesundAalesund
3W4D3L
02/08/2026
AalesundTromso
26
L
26/07/2026
AalesundViking
11
D
16/07/2026
ValerengaAalesund
61
L
11/07/2026
AalesundMolde
22
D
27/06/2026
Kristiansund BKAalesund
03
W
29/05/2026
AalesundHam-Kam
22
D
25/05/2026
TromsoAalesund
11
D
20/05/2026
AalesundBrann
21
W
16/05/2026
RosenborgAalesund
23
W
03/05/2026
SandefjordAalesund
10
L

Referee Profile

Ola Hobber Nilsen118 matches

3.13Cards per match
3.05Yellow cards per match
0.08Red cards per match
20.4Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Ola Hobber Nilsen3.13
Other referees3.37

3.13 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.37).

Cards come from 101 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Eliteserien 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1VikingViking25192464:26+3859LWWWW
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt25192461:23+3859WLWWL
3MoldeMolde25134859:39+2043LWWDL
4RosenborgRosenborg25134849:31+1843WWWDW
5LillestromLillestrom25133936:33+342WWWDL
6TromsoTromso25117743:38+540LLDDW
7BrannBrann251021345:42+332WLLLW
8ValerengaValerenga25951143:46-332WWWLD
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF25871032:39-731LWLWL
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo25871032:41-931DDDWW
11FredrikstadFredrikstad25851229:44-1529LLLDD
12SandefjordSandefjord25761226:34-827WLLDW
13Ham-KamHam-Kam25761235:53-1827DLLWL
14AalesundAalesund25591143:57-1424LLWLW
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK25651429:51-2223WDLLL
16StartStart25541626:55-2919LWLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1VikingViking2564:2659
2Bodo/GlimtBodo/Glimt2561:2359
3MoldeMolde2559:3943
4RosenborgRosenborg2549:3143
5LillestromLillestrom2536:3342
6TromsoTromso2543:3840
7BrannBrann2545:4232
8ValerengaValerenga2543:4632
9Sarpsborg 08 FFSarpsborg 08 FF2532:3931
10KFUM OsloKFUM Oslo2532:4131
11FredrikstadFredrikstad2529:4429
12SandefjordSandefjord2526:3427
13Ham-KamHam-Kam2535:5327
14AalesundAalesund2543:5724
15Kristiansund BKKristiansund BK2529:5123
16StartStart2526:5519
Champions LeagueConference LeagueRelegation

About the Ham-Kam vs Aalesund forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Ham-Kam and Aalesund in the Eliteserien table

Ham-Kam and Aalesund are close in the Eliteserien table, 13th and 14th, with 3 points between them. League goal record so far: Ham-Kam 35-53, Aalesund 43-57. The full standings are on the Eliteserien Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Aalesund have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.