AC Milan vs Venezia Prediction

AC Milan
2-0
Finished
HT 0-0
Venezia
San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milano·Gianluca Manganiello, Italy 28/08/2026
AC MilanAC Milan
2-0
Finished
VeneziaVenezia

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.05
SignalNEUTRALModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+10.9%
AC Milan Rest
5 days
Venezia Rest
5 days

AC Milan vs Venezia: result, form and history

AC Milan beat Venezia 2-0 in the Serie A on 28 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

AC Milan have had the better of this fixture, winning 4 of the 4 previous meetings, which averaged 2.8 goals a game. Referee Gianluca Manganiello averages 3.92 cards a game, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
61%1.48
X
23%4.51
2
16%6.95
Double Chance
1X
84%1.11
X2
39%2.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%1.86
No
45%1.87
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.89 + 0.89 = 2.78
Over 1.5
74%1.22
Over 2.5
55%1.74
Over 3.5
29%2.83
Under 1.5
26%4.10
Under 2.5
45%2.10
Under 3.5
71%1.42
Corners
Projected Corners: 5 + 3.8 = 8.7
Over 8.5
58%1.62
Over 9.5
43%2.00
Over 10.5
31%2.56
Under 8.5
42%2.19
Under 9.5
57%1.75
Under 10.5
69%1.42
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.1 = 4.3
Over 3.5
63%2.25
Over 4.5
40%3.25
Under 3.5
37%1.57
Under 4.5
60%1.28

Match Events

27'Joel SchingtienneFoul
45+3'B. Franjic INR. Halhal out
48'Kike PérezFoul
54'Ridgeciano HapsFoul
59'R. Loftus-Cheek INA. Saelemaekers out
59'A. Cisse INA. Rabiot out
65'T. Basic INS. Sohm out
66'R. Haps INT. Correia out
69'G. RamosAssist: A. Saelemaekers
71'Strahinja PavlovićFoul
74'L. Modric INA. Jashari out
80'K. Perez INA. Rrahmani out
80'J. Yeboah INL. Lauberbach out
87'M. Gila INM. Gabbia out
87'D. Bartesaghi INP. Estupinan out
89'R. HalhalOG

Lineups

AC Milan
3-4-2-1Coach: Ruben Amorim
Venezia
3-5-2Coach: Giovanni Stroppa
Avg rating7.05
Avg rating6.53
M. MaignanC7.316M. Maignan
M. Gila7.334M. Gila
K. De Winter6.65K. De Winter
S. Pavlovic7.331S. Pavlovic
S. Chukwueze7.921S. Chukwueze
Y. Musah7.280Y. Musah
L. Modric7.314L. Modric
D. Bartesaghi7.233D. Bartesaghi
R. Loftus-Cheek6.78R. Loftus-Cheek
A. Cisse6.270A. Cisse
G. Ramos6.99G. Ramos
F. Stankovic7.21F. Stankovic
J. Schingtienne6.23J. Schingtienne
A. Bella-Kotchap6.717A. Bella-Kotchap
B. Franjic6.94B. Franjic
A. Hainaut6.718A. Hainaut
K. Perez6.771K. Perez
G. BusioC7.06G. Busio
T. Basic6.626T. Basic
R. Haps6.35R. Haps
J. Yeboah6.710J. Yeboah
A. Adams6.345A. Adams

AC Milan Substitutes

1P. Terracciano
96L. Torriani
2P. Estupinan87'for D. Bartesaghi
46M. Gabbia87'for M. Gila
13S. Diawara
56A. Saelemaekers59'for R. Loftus-Cheek7.5
42F. Terracciano
22D. Moreira
12A. Rabiot59'for A. Cisse6.7
30A. Jashari74'for L. Modric6.6
28C. Comotto
73F. Camarda
11C. Pulisic

Venezia Substitutes

23M. Grandi
96L. Montipo
14T. Correia66'for R. Haps6.3
25R. Halhal45+3'for B. Franjic89'5.7
20R. Sagrado
95A. Gomes
21T. J. Helgason
30M. Dagasso
19S. Sohm65'for T. Basic6.2
55S. Panada
90A. Okoro
8L. Fanne
29L. Lauberbach80'for J. Yeboah6.7
11M. Farji
7A. Rrahmani80'for K. Perez6.2

Match Stats

AC MilanVenezia
58%Ball Possession42%
2Corner Kicks3
1Yellow Cards3
16Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal2
9Shots off Goal3
11Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box2
2Blocked Shots4
8Fouls11
1Offsides4
2Goalkeeper Saves4
508Total Passes363
444Passes Accurate301
87%Pass Accuracy83%

Team Comparison

AC MilanAC Milan
VeneziaVenezia
1840Elo Rating 1645
1.41Attack 0.68
1.03Defense 1.95
39%Hit Rate 41%
10.8Shots per Game 12.4
3.2Shots on Target 3.5
2.8Corners per Game 3.3
1.9Cards per Game 1.0

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+195 Elo
📊Home Overperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AC MilanAC Milan
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
VeneziaVenezia
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 4 meetings, all competitions

AC MilanAC Milan4Wins · 100%
Draws00%
VeneziaVenezia0Wins · 0%
2.8Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 4
50%3+ goals2 of 4

Previous meetings

Serie A27/04/2025
VeneziaAC Milan
02
Serie A14/09/2024
AC MilanVenezia
40
Serie A09/01/2022
VeneziaAC Milan
03
Serie A22/09/2021
AC MilanVenezia
20

Recent Form

AC MilanAC Milan
4W3D3L
23/08/2026
TorinoAC Milan
12
W
15/08/2026
Manchester UnitedAC Milan
24
W
08/08/2026
ChelseaAC Milan
30
L
05/08/2026
AC MilanInter
11
D
25/07/2026
CelticAC Milan
22
D
17/05/2026
GenoaAC Milan
12
W
10/05/2026
AC MilanAtalanta
23
L
03/05/2026
SassuoloAC Milan
20
L
26/04/2026
AC MilanJuventus
00
D
19/04/2026
Hellas VeronaAC Milan
01
W
VeneziaVenezia
6W2D2L
23/08/2026
VeneziaLecce
02
L
15/08/2026
VeneziaModena
32
W
08/08/2026
Stade Brestois 29Venezia
22
D
01/08/2026
Saint EtienneVenezia
43
L
27/07/2026
GalatasarayVenezia
03
W
23/07/2026
VeneziaVis Pesaro
80
W
19/07/2026
VeneziaDolomiti Bellunesi
42
W
08/05/2026
VeneziaPalermo
20
W
01/05/2026
SpeziaVenezia
22
D
25/04/2026
VeneziaEmpoli
20
W

Referee Profile

Gianluca Manganiello127 matches

3.92Cards per match
3.75Yellow cards per match
0.17Red cards per match
25.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Gianluca Manganiello3.92
Other referees4.68

3.92 cards a match, 0.76 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.68).

Cards come from 118 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1192025:9+1629DWWWW
2InterInter1191128:13+1528WLWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1183031:10+2127WWWDW
4AC MilanAC Milan1173123:13+1024WWLWW
5ComoComo1172218:10+823LWWWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone1162324:15+920LWWDW
7JuventusJuventus1153315:12+318DWLWL
8BolognaBologna1152416:14+217WWWWL
9CagliariCagliari1151510:15-516WLLLL
10NapoliNapoli1143418:14+415DLWDL
11TorinoTorino1142515:17-214DLLWW
12AtalantaAtalanta1142517:20-314WLDDL
13GenoaGenoa1141611:16-513LWWWL
14LecceLecce1131712:22-1010DLLLW
15FiorentinaFiorentina1123617:25-89DWDLL
16ParmaParma112279:17-88LWDLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1122716:29-138LLLLL
18MonzaMonza1121817:25-87LLLLW
19VeneziaVenezia112098:21-136WLLLW
20UdineseUdinese1112812:25-135LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1125:929
2InterInter1128:1328
3AS RomaAS Roma1131:1027
4AC MilanAC Milan1123:1324
5ComoComo1118:1023
6FrosinoneFrosinone1124:1520
7JuventusJuventus1115:1218
8BolognaBologna1116:1417
9CagliariCagliari1110:1516
10NapoliNapoli1118:1415
11TorinoTorino1115:1714
12AtalantaAtalanta1117:2014
13GenoaGenoa1111:1613
14LecceLecce1112:2210
15FiorentinaFiorentina1117:259
16ParmaParma119:178
17SassuoloSassuolo1116:298
18MonzaMonza1117:257
19VeneziaVenezia118:216
20UdineseUdinese1112:255
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the AC Milan vs Venezia forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

AC Milan and Venezia in the Serie A table

The table shows a wide gap: AC Milan are 4th in the Serie A, while Venezia sit 19th, 18 points behind. League goal record so far: AC Milan 23-13, Venezia 8-21. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

AC Milan have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.