Torino vs AC Milan Prediction

Torino
1-2
Finished
HT 0-0
AC Milan
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin·Luca Zufferli, Italy 23/08/2026
TorinoTorino
1-2
Finished
AC MilanAC Milan

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Away Corners
Away Corners Under 4.5
1.94
SignalNEUTRALModel52%SurpriseMediumGap+7.9%
Torino Rest
7 days
AC Milan Rest
8 days

Torino vs AC Milan: the result in context

AC Milan beat Torino 2-1 in the Serie A on 23 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Torino had won 4 of their previous five, compared with 2 for AC Milan.

When these two meet, goals usually follow: 3.1 a game across 10 meetings, with both teams scoring in 7.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
22%4.42
X
28%3.42
2
50%1.91
Double Chance
1X
50%1.91
X2
78%1.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.85
No
43%1.91
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.09 + 1.54 = 2.63
Over 1.5
73%1.33
Over 2.5
53%2.05
Over 3.5
26%3.60
Under 1.5
27%3.25
Under 2.5
47%1.78
Under 3.5
74%1.28
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.3 + 4.5 = 8.8
Over 8.5
58%1.79
Over 9.5
45%2.28
Over 10.5
33%3.04
Under 8.5
42%1.97
Under 9.5
55%1.56
Under 10.5
67%1.31
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.7 + 1.9 = 3.5
Over 3.5
50%2.25
Over 4.5
27%3.33
Under 3.5
50%1.58
Under 4.5
73%1.28

Match Events

52'Ruben Loftus-CheekFoul
56'R. Loftus-Cheek INL. Modric out
56'A. Jashari INA. Rabiot out
64'A. CisseAssist: A. Rabiot
66'P. Estupinan IND. Bartesaghi out
66'A. Cisse INA. Saelemaekers out
66'A. RabiotAssist: S. Chukwueze
70'M. Pedersen INN. Fortini out
70'C. Casadei INC. Adams out
70'G. Simeone INA. Njie out
76'M. Gila INM. Gabbia out
81'A. Cacciamani INZ. Aboukhlal out
85'P. Comuzzo INS. Kulenovic out
90'C. AdamsAssist: G. Gineitis

Lineups

Torino
3-4-2-1Coach: Ignazio Abate
AC Milan
3-4-2-1Coach: Ruben Amorim
Avg rating6.63
Avg rating6.97
D. Mascardi6.326D. Mascardi
S. Coco6.623S. Coco
A. Ismajli6.544A. Ismajli
P. Comuzzo6.315P. Comuzzo
M. Pedersen7.016M. Pedersen
G. Gineitis6.966G. Gineitis
K. Fitz-Jim7.028K. Fitz-Jim
A. Cacciamani6.377A. Cacciamani
N. VlasicC6.210N. Vlasic
C. Casadei6.922C. Casadei
G. Simeone6.018G. Simeone
M. MaignanC6.516M. Maignan
M. Gila7.634M. Gila
K. De Winter7.55K. De Winter
S. Pavlovic6.931S. Pavlovic
S. Chukwueze7.321S. Chukwueze
Y. Musah6.580Y. Musah
A. Jashari6.930A. Jashari
P. Estupinan7.52P. Estupinan
R. Loftus-Cheek6.28R. Loftus-Cheek
A. Cisse7.970A. Cisse
G. Ramos6.29G. Ramos

Torino Substitutes

76L. Siviero
1A. Paleari
3C. Biraghi
21A. Dembele
29N. Fortini70'for M. Pedersen7.0
25M. Pellini
11G. Oristanio
6E. Ilkhan
79A. Luongo
17S. Kulenovic85'for P. Comuzzo6.5
7Z. Aboukhlal81'for A. Cacciamani6.5
91D. Zapata
19C. Adams70'for C. Casadei90'7.2
92A. Njie70'for G. Simeone6.9

AC Milan Substitutes

41L. P. Bouyer
96L. Torriani
33D. Bartesaghi66'for P. Estupinan6.9
46M. Gabbia76'for M. Gila6.5
13S. Diawara
14L. Modric56'for R. Loftus-Cheek6.9
56A. Saelemaekers66'for A. Cisse6.7
4S. Ricci
42F. Terracciano
22D. Moreira
12A. Rabiot56'for A. Jashari66'7.5
28C. Comotto
73F. Camarda
11C. Pulisic

Match Stats

TorinoAC Milan
41%Ball Possession59%
2Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards1
8Total Shots19
1Shots on Goal4
5Shots off Goal9
7Shots Inside Box19
1Shots Outside Box0
2Blocked Shots6
10Fouls9
2Offsides0
2Goalkeeper Saves0
384Total Passes547
315Passes Accurate482
82%Pass Accuracy88%

Team Comparison

TorinoTorino
AC MilanAC Milan
1721Elo Rating 1840
1.59Attack 1.41
1.24Defense 1.03
50%Hit Rate 39%
12.2Shots per Game 10.8
4.4Shots on Target 3.2
4.5Corners per Game 2.8
1.6Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

TorinoTorino
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.7 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
AC MilanAC Milan
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.2 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

TorinoTorino4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
AC MilanAC Milan4Wins · 40%
3.1Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A21/03/2026
AC MilanTorino
32
Serie A08/12/2025
TorinoAC Milan
23
Serie A22/02/2025
TorinoAC Milan
21
Serie A17/08/2024
AC MilanTorino
22
Serie A18/05/2024
TorinoAC Milan
31
Serie A26/08/2023
AC MilanTorino
41
Serie A10/02/2023
AC MilanTorino
10
Coppa Italia11/01/2023
AC MilanTorino
01
Serie A30/10/2022
TorinoAC Milan
21
Serie A10/04/2022
TorinoAC Milan
00

Recent Form

TorinoTorino
5W2D3L
15/08/2026
TorinoCarrarese
10
W
08/08/2026
AvellinoTorino
1131
W
02/08/2026
BurnleyTorino
01
W
25/07/2026
TorinoCittadella
01
L
22/07/2026
TorinoAlcione
10
W
17/05/2026
CagliariTorino
21
L
08/05/2026
TorinoSassuolo
21
W
02/05/2026
UdineseTorino
20
L
26/04/2026
TorinoInter
22
D
19/04/2026
CremoneseTorino
00
D
AC MilanAC Milan
3W3D4L
15/08/2026
Manchester UnitedAC Milan
24
W
08/08/2026
ChelseaAC Milan
30
L
05/08/2026
AC MilanInter
11
D
25/07/2026
CelticAC Milan
22
D
17/05/2026
GenoaAC Milan
12
W
10/05/2026
AC MilanAtalanta
23
L
03/05/2026
SassuoloAC Milan
20
L
26/04/2026
AC MilanJuventus
00
D
19/04/2026
Hellas VeronaAC Milan
01
W
11/04/2026
AC MilanUdinese
03
L

Referee Profile

Luca Zufferli116 matches

4.02Cards per match
3.80Yellow cards per match
0.22Red cards per match
26.8Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luca Zufferli4.02
Other referees4.50

4.02 cards a match, 0.48 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.50).

Cards come from 92 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1192025:9+1629DWWWW
2InterInter1191128:13+1528WLWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1183031:10+2127WWWDW
4AC MilanAC Milan1173123:13+1024WWLWW
5ComoComo1172218:10+823LWWWW
6FrosinoneFrosinone1162324:15+920LWWDW
7JuventusJuventus1153315:12+318DWLWL
8BolognaBologna1152416:14+217WWWWL
9CagliariCagliari1151510:15-516WLLLL
10NapoliNapoli1143418:14+415DLWDL
11TorinoTorino1142515:17-214DLLWW
12AtalantaAtalanta1142517:20-314WLDDL
13GenoaGenoa1141611:16-513LWWWL
14LecceLecce1131712:22-1010DLLLW
15FiorentinaFiorentina1123617:25-89DWDLL
16ParmaParma112279:17-88LWDLL
17SassuoloSassuolo1122716:29-138LLLLL
18MonzaMonza1121817:25-87LLLLW
19VeneziaVenezia112098:21-136WLLLW
20UdineseUdinese1112812:25-135LLDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1125:929
2InterInter1128:1328
3AS RomaAS Roma1131:1027
4AC MilanAC Milan1123:1324
5ComoComo1118:1023
6FrosinoneFrosinone1124:1520
7JuventusJuventus1115:1218
8BolognaBologna1116:1417
9CagliariCagliari1110:1516
10NapoliNapoli1118:1415
11TorinoTorino1115:1714
12AtalantaAtalanta1117:2014
13GenoaGenoa1111:1613
14LecceLecce1112:2210
15FiorentinaFiorentina1117:259
16ParmaParma119:178
17SassuoloSassuolo1116:298
18MonzaMonza1117:257
19VeneziaVenezia118:216
20UdineseUdinese1112:255
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Torino vs AC Milan forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Torino and AC Milan in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, AC Milan are 4th and Torino 11th, 10 points apart. League goal record so far: Torino 15-17, AC Milan 23-13. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Torino have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. AC Milan have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.