Atalanta vs Sassuolo Prediction

Atalanta
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Sassuolo
New Balance Arena, Bergamo·Valerio Crezzini, Italy 23/08/2026
AtalantaAtalanta
2-1
Finished
SassuoloSassuolo

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
5.5 / 10
Value Analysis
54%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Under 5.5
2.13
SignalNEUTRALModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+10.4%
Atalanta Rest
3 days
Sassuolo Rest
6 days

Atalanta vs Sassuolo: the result in context

Atalanta beat Sassuolo 2-1 in the Serie A on 23 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 6 of them. Referee Valerio Crezzini averages 3.75 cards a game, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.54
X
25%4.22
2
15%6.00
Double Chance
1X
85%1.13
X2
39%2.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%1.75
No
43%1.97
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.7 + 1.01 = 2.71
Over 1.5
74%1.22
Over 2.5
54%1.72
Over 3.5
29%2.75
Under 1.5
26%4.22
Under 2.5
46%2.15
Under 3.5
71%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.2 + 3.8 = 9
Over 8.5
58%1.57
Over 9.5
46%1.92
Over 10.5
34%2.41
Under 8.5
42%2.31
Under 9.5
54%1.83
Under 10.5
66%1.50
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.9 + 1.6 = 3.5
Over 3.5
50%2.17
Over 4.5
27%3.15
Under 3.5
50%1.65
Under 4.5
73%1.30

Match Events

6'G. RaspadoriAssist: G. Gaetano
55'C. Odenthal
60'M. Pasalic INL. Samardzic out
60'N. Zalewski INC. De Ketelaere out
60'G. Scamacca INN. Krstovic out
64'V. Adzic INK. Thorstvedt out
65'N. Krstovic
71'L. Bernasconi INS. Kolasinac out
74'T. Macchioni INF. Leysen out
74'N. Matic INB. Dominguez out
82'G. Raspadori INE. Elmas out
88'C. Volpato INR. Ciervo out
88'K. Bowie ING. Kulla out

Lineups

Atalanta
4-3-3Coach: Maurizio Sarri
Sassuolo
4-3-3Coach: Alberto Aquilani
Avg rating6.93
Avg rating6.80
M. Carnesecchi7.629M. Carnesecchi
D. Zappacosta7.077D. Zappacosta
O. Kossounou6.23O. Kossounou
G. Scalvini6.642G. Scalvini
L. Bernasconi6.247L. Bernasconi
M. Pasalic6.38M. Pasalic
G. Gaetano7.270G. Gaetano
EdersonC6.313Ederson
N. Zalewski7.759N. Zalewski
G. Scamacca7.29G. Scamacca
G. Raspadori8.218G. Raspadori
A. Muric6.949A. Muric
S. Cinquegrano6.746S. Cinquegrano
C. Odenthal7.226C. Odenthal
T. Macchioni5.931T. Macchioni
J. Doig7.33J. Doig
V. Adzic6.517V. Adzic
N. MaticC7.018N. Matic
D. Bakola7.350D. Bakola
C. Volpato7.27C. Volpato
K. Bowie6.59K. Bowie
A. Lauriente6.645A. Lauriente

Atalanta Substitutes

57M. Sportiello
95P. Vismara
23S. Kolasinac71'for L. Bernasconi6.9
40R. Obric
16R. Bellanova
99E. Elmas82'for G. Raspadori6.3
6I. Sulemana
15M. De Roon
10L. Samardzic60'for M. Pasalic6.9
17C. De Ketelaere60'for N. Zalewski7.0
49F. Cassa
90N. Krstovic60'for G. Scamacca65'7.3

Sassuolo Substitutes

80S. Turati
21J. Idzes
16F. Leysen74'for T. Macchioni7.0
2F. Missori
23A. Di Bitonto
33R. Obrador
8A. Ghion
35L. Lipani
42K. Thorstvedt64'for V. Adzic6.9
44E. Iannoni
77N. Pierini
25B. Dominguez74'for N. Matic6.2
20R. Ciervo88'for C. Volpato
30P. Nuamah
14G. Kulla88'for K. Bowie

Match Stats

AtalantaSassuolo
56%Ball Possession44%
4Corner Kicks4
14Total Shots22
7Shots on Goal8
4Shots off Goal9
8Shots Inside Box12
6Shots Outside Box10
3Blocked Shots5
9Fouls10
0Offsides1
7Goalkeeper Saves5
596Total Passes466
544Passes Accurate422
91%Pass Accuracy91%

Team Comparison

AtalantaAtalanta
SassuoloSassuolo
1783Elo Rating 1703
2.21Attack 1.24
0.52Defense 0.00
14%Hit Rate 0%
15.7Shots per Game 11.2
5.3Shots on Target 3.2
5.3Corners per Game 3.4
1.7Cards per Game 1.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

AtalantaAtalanta
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.4 vs 0.8 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
SassuoloSassuolo
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (0.9 vs 0.3 in second half)

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

AtalantaAtalanta5Wins · 50%
Draws110%
SassuoloSassuolo4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10

Previous meetings

Serie A01/03/2026
SassuoloAtalanta
21
Serie A09/11/2025
AtalantaSassuolo
03
Serie A17/02/2024
AtalantaSassuolo
30
Coppa Italia03/01/2024
AtalantaSassuolo
31
Serie A20/08/2023
SassuoloAtalanta
02
Serie A04/02/2023
SassuoloAtalanta
10
Serie A15/10/2022
AtalantaSassuolo
21
Serie A10/04/2022
SassuoloAtalanta
21
Serie A21/09/2021
AtalantaSassuolo
21
Serie A02/05/2021
SassuoloAtalanta
11

Recent Form

AtalantaAtalanta
3W3D4L
20/08/2026
AtalantaHapoel Tel Aviv
00
D
14/08/2026
AtalantaAthletic Club
10
W
08/08/2026
FC Schalke 04Atalanta
03
W
02/08/2026
FeyenoordAtalanta
21
L
22/05/2026
FiorentinaAtalanta
11
D
17/05/2026
AtalantaBologna
01
L
10/05/2026
AC MilanAtalanta
23
W
02/05/2026
AtalantaGenoa
00
D
27/04/2026
CagliariAtalanta
32
L
22/04/2026
AtalantaLazio
1121
L
SassuoloSassuolo
3W2D5L
17/08/2026
SassuoloCesena
30
W
08/08/2026
FC AugsburgSassuolo
32
L
05/08/2026
SassuoloCelta Vigo
14
L
31/07/2026
SassuoloFolgore Caratese
00
D
22/07/2026
SassuoloPadova
41
W
24/05/2026
ParmaSassuolo
10
L
17/05/2026
SassuoloLecce
23
L
08/05/2026
TorinoSassuolo
21
L
03/05/2026
SassuoloAC Milan
20
W
26/04/2026
FiorentinaSassuolo
00
D

Referee Profile

Valerio Crezzini91 matches

3.75Cards per match
3.70Yellow cards per match
0.05Red cards per match
27.7Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Valerio Crezzini3.75
Other referees4.47

3.75 cards a match, 0.72 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.47).

Cards come from 40 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Serie A 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1LazioLazio1091024:8+1628WWWWW
2InterInter1081126:13+1325LWWWW
3AS RomaAS Roma1073028:10+1824WWDWD
4ComoComo1072118:8+1023WWWWD
5AC MilanAC Milan1063121:12+921WLWWD
6FrosinoneFrosinone1062224:14+1020WWDWL
7JuventusJuventus1052313:10+317WLWLD
8NapoliNapoli1042417:13+414LWDLW
9BolognaBologna1042414:13+114WWWLW
10TorinoTorino1041514:16-213LLWWW
11GenoaGenoa1041510:14-413WWWLW
12CagliariCagliari104159:15-613LLLLD
13AtalantaAtalanta932416:17-111DDLWL
14LecceLecce1030711:21-109LLLWL
15FiorentinaFiorentina1022615:23-88WDLLL
16SassuoloSassuolo1022616:26-108LLLLD
17MonzaMonza1021717:24-77LLLWL
18ParmaParma91265:15-105DLLLW
19UdineseUdinese1012711:23-125LDLLL
20VeneziaVenezia101096:20-143LLLWL
#TeamMPGPts
1LazioLazio1024:828
2InterInter1026:1325
3AS RomaAS Roma1028:1024
4ComoComo1018:823
5AC MilanAC Milan1021:1221
6FrosinoneFrosinone1024:1420
7JuventusJuventus1013:1017
8NapoliNapoli1017:1314
9BolognaBologna1014:1314
10TorinoTorino1014:1613
11GenoaGenoa1010:1413
12CagliariCagliari109:1513
13AtalantaAtalanta916:1711
14LecceLecce1011:219
15FiorentinaFiorentina1015:238
16SassuoloSassuolo1016:268
17MonzaMonza1017:247
18ParmaParma95:155
19UdineseUdinese1011:235
20VeneziaVenezia106:203
Champions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation

About the Atalanta vs Sassuolo forecast

The forecasts for this Serie A match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atalanta and Sassuolo in the Serie A table

In the Serie A table, Atalanta are 13th and Sassuolo 16th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Atalanta 16-17, Sassuolo 16-26. The full standings are on the Serie A Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Atalanta have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.