Barnet vs Accrington ST Prediction
England · Regular Season - 6
The Hive Stadium, London 12/09/2026
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalGOODModel69%SurpriseMediumGap+2.5%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalHIGHModel76%SurpriseMediumGap+8.7%
Barnet Rest
7 days
Accrington ST Rest
7 days
Barnet vs Accrington ST: result, form and history
Barnet beat Accrington ST 2-1 in the League Two on 12 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.3 goals a game across 3 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
174%1.47
X20%4.30
26%6.00
Double Chance
1X94%1.10
X225%2.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes52%1.66
No48%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 0.95 = 2.76
Over 1.581%1.17
Over 2.557%1.53
Over 3.533%2.35
Under 1.519%5.00
Under 2.543%2.35
Under 3.567%1.56
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.6 = 10.3
Over 8.567%1.31
Over 9.556%1.57
Over 10.546%1.97
Under 8.533%2.95
Under 9.544%2.21
Under 10.554%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.3 = 3.7
Over 3.551%-
Over 4.532%-
Under 3.549%-
Under 4.568%-
Match Events
6'Tyler WaltonFoul
16'Josh WoodsFoul
27'Charlie Caton
29'Joseph AndersonFoul
45'Charlie Caton INAlex Henderson out
45'Nnamdi Ofoborh INDamola Ajayi out
55'Devon matthewsFoul
57'Charlie LakinAssist: Adam Senior
63'Oisin Gallagher INJake Reeves out
63'Tom Knowles INRomoney Crichlow-Noble out
64'Shaun Whalley INJoel Catesby out
64'Tyler Walton INCharlie Warren out
72'Charlie Lakin
74'Devon matthews
76'Aidan borland INSeamus Conneely out
76'Josh Woods INCole Stockton out
81'Connor O'BrienFoul
88'Kabongo Tshimanga INJ Maskell out
88'Idris Kanu INIsiah Noel Williams out
Lineups
BarnetAccrington ST
4-4-1-1Coach: J. DoolanAvg ratingAvg rating
13M. Cox
5A. Senior
6Z. Williams
4D. Collinge
11I. Kanu
14B. Comley
10N. Ofoborh
8C. Lakin
22O. Gallagher
7T. Knowles
20K. Tshimanga
1L. Moulden
38C. O'Brien
17D. Matthews
22J. Anderson
33D. Tutonda
23T. Walton
6L. Coyle
16A. Borland
7S. Whalley
39J. Woods
18C. CatonBarnet Substitutes
12W. Wright
23J. Reeves63'for Oisin Gallagher
3R. Crichlow-Noble63'for Tom Knowles
17D. Ajayi45'for Nnamdi Ofoborh
9J. Maskell88'for Kabongo Tshimanga
32Isiah Noel Williams88'replaced by Idris Kanu
36Anthony Haralambous
Accrington ST Substitutes
30C. Warren64'for Tyler Walton
13C. Stockton76'for Josh Woods
21J. Rogerson
14Stefan Mols
10Alex Henderson45'for Charlie Caton
28S. Conneely76'for Aidan borland
27J. Catesby64'for Shaun Whalley
Match Stats
BarnetAccrington ST 61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
17Total Shots8
5Shots on Goal2
6Shots off Goal3
13Shots Inside Box6
4Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots3
9Fouls19
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
396Total Passes253
277Passes Accurate132
18Free Kicks8
Team Comparison
BarnetAccrington ST1650Elo Rating 1527
1.99Attack 2.30
1.61Defense 2.44
58%Hit Rate 46%
16.2Shots per Game 17.5
5.1Shots on Target 5.6
7.6Corners per Game 6.8
1.9Cards per Game 2.6
AI Insights
🏠Strong Home Advantage+124 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
Game State Tendencies
Barnet- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.5 vs 0.5 in first half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Accrington ST- Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
Head to Head
Last 3 meetings, all competitions
Barnet2Wins · 67%Draws00%
Accrington ST1Wins · 33%
1Wins · 33%1.3Avg Goals
0%Both teams scored0 of 3
0%3+ goals0 of 3
Previous meetings
24/02/2026Accrington STBarnet01
04/10/2025BarnetAccrington ST20
26/11/2022Accrington STBarnet10
Recent Form
Barnet3W5D2L
05/09/2026
ChesterfieldBarnet
ChesterfieldBarnet33
D01/09/2026
Exeter CityBarnet
29/08/2026Exeter CityBarnet11
DBarnet
Cheltenham22
D22/08/2026
ShrewsburyBarnet
ShrewsburyBarnet13
W18/08/2026Barnet
Arsenal U21
BarnetArsenal U2151
W15/08/2026Barnet
Salford City
BarnetSalford City31
W08/08/2026
Cambridge UnitedBarnet
Cambridge UnitedBarnet21
L01/08/2026Barnet
Bromley
BarnetBromley11
D28/07/2026Barnet
Milton Keynes Dons
BarnetMilton Keynes Dons00
D25/07/2026Barnet
Oxford United
BarnetOxford United12
LAccrington ST4W3D3L
05/09/2026Accrington ST
Crawley Town
Accrington STCrawley Town32
W01/09/2026Accrington ST
Grimsby
Accrington STGrimsby22
D29/08/2026
WalsallAccrington ST
WalsallAccrington ST32
L22/08/2026Exeter CityAccrington ST
Exeter CityAccrington ST20
L15/08/2026Accrington ST
Colchester
08/08/2026Accrington STColchester22
D
CreweAccrington ST21
L01/08/2026Accrington ST
Sheffield Wednesday
Accrington STSheffield Wednesday00
D28/07/2026Accrington ST
Bury
Accrington STBury10
W25/07/2026
ChorleyAccrington ST
ChorleyAccrington ST03
W17/07/2026Accrington ST
Bradford
Accrington STBradford10
WLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 25:15 | +10 | 31 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 28:18 | +10 | 26 | DWDLW |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 21:12 | +9 | 22 | WLWDD |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 17:17 | 0 | 22 | DLLWW |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23:25 | -2 | 21 | LWWLL |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:18 | +6 | 20 | WWDLL |
| 7 |  York | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 24:21 | +3 | 20 | LLWDD |
| 8 |  Gillingham | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 20:19 | +1 | 20 | WLDLW |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23:17 | +6 | 19 | DWDWD |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24:21 | +3 | 19 | LWDLD |
| 11 |  Tranmere | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 19:17 | +2 | 19 | WDWLD |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 11:9 | +2 | 19 | LWWDW |
| 13 |  Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 19 | WDWDL |
| 14 |  Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20:17 | +3 | 18 | WLDDW |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 | LDWWL |
| 16 |  Fleetwood Town | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 18:18 | 0 | 17 | WLLWD |
| 17 |  Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 | LDLLL |
| 18 |  Port Vale | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 15 | WLDWW |
| 19 |  Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17:26 | -9 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 20 |  Northampton | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 14 | DWLWD |
| 21 |  Oldham | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 12 | LDLWD |
| 22 |  Rotherham | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:25 | -7 | 12 | LDDLL |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12:19 | -7 | 12 | LLDDL |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 13:21 | -8 | 9 | WDLLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Salford City | 14 | 25:15 | 31 |
| 2 | Barnet | 13 | 28:18 | 26 |
| 3 | Walsall | 13 | 21:12 | 22 |
| 4 | Crewe | 14 | 17:17 | 22 |
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 23:25 | 21 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 24:18 | 20 |
| 7 | York | 14 | 24:21 | 20 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 20:19 | 20 |
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 23:17 | 19 |
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 24:21 | 19 |
| 11 | Tranmere | 14 | 19:17 | 19 |
| 12 | Exeter City | 14 | 11:9 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 15:17 | 19 |
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 20:17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 17:22 | 18 |
| 16 | Fleetwood Town | 14 | 18:18 | 17 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 17:23 | 16 |
| 18 | Port Vale | 12 | 10:14 | 15 |
| 19 | Rochdale | 14 | 17:26 | 15 |
| 20 | Northampton | 12 | 9:9 | 14 |
| 21 | Oldham | 13 | 14:19 | 12 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 14 | 18:25 | 12 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 12:19 | 12 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 12 | 13:21 | 9 |
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About the Barnet vs Accrington ST forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Barnet and Accrington ST in the League Two table
In the League Two table, Barnet are 2nd and Accrington ST 9th, 7 points apart. League goal record so far: Barnet 28-18, Accrington ST 23-17. The full standings are on the League Two Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.