Barnet vs Accrington ST Prediction

Barnet
2-1
Finished
HT 0-1
Accrington ST
The Hive Stadium, London 12/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
3.6 / 10
AI Best Pick
71%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalGOODModel69%RiskMediumGap+2.5%
Value Analysis
76%Trust
1X2
Home Win
1.47
SignalSTRONGModel76%RiskMediumGap+8.7%
Barnet Rest
7 days
Accrington ST Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
74%1.47
X
20%4.30
2
6%6.00
Double Chance
1X
94%1.10
X2
25%2.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%1.66
No
48%2.10
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.81 + 0.95 = 2.76
Over 1.5
81%1.17
Over 2.5
57%1.53
Over 3.5
33%2.35
Under 1.5
19%5.00
Under 2.5
43%2.35
Under 3.5
67%1.56
Corners
Projected Corners: 6.7 + 3.6 = 10.3
Over 8.5
67%1.31
Over 9.5
56%1.57
Over 10.5
46%1.97
Under 8.5
33%2.95
Under 9.5
44%2.21
Under 10.5
54%1.75
Cards
Projected Cards: 1.5 + 2.3 = 3.7
Over 3.5
51%-
Over 4.5
32%-
Under 3.5
49%-
Under 4.5
68%-

Match Events

6'Tyler WaltonFoul
16'Josh WoodsFoul
27'Charlie Caton
29'Joseph AndersonFoul
45'Charlie Caton INAlex Henderson out
45'Nnamdi Ofoborh INDamola Ajayi out
55'Devon matthewsFoul
57'Charlie LakinAssist: Adam Senior
63'Oisin Gallagher INJake Reeves out
63'Tom Knowles INRomoney Crichlow-Noble out
64'Shaun Whalley INJoel Catesby out
64'Tyler Walton INCharlie Warren out
72'Charlie Lakin
74'Devon matthews
76'Aidan borland INSeamus Conneely out
76'Josh Woods INCole Stockton out
81'Connor O'BrienFoul
88'Kabongo Tshimanga INJ Maskell out
88'Idris Kanu INIsiah Noel Williams out

Lineups

Barnet
4-2-3-1Coach: Dean Brennan
Accrington ST
4-4-1-1Coach: J. Doolan
M. Cox13M. CoxM. Cox
A. Senior5A. SeniorA. Senior
Z. Williams6Z. WilliamsZ. Williams
D. Collinge4D. CollingeD. Collinge
I. Kanu11I. KanuI. Kanu
B. Comley14B. ComleyB. Comley
N. Ofoborh10N. OfoborhN. Ofoborh
C. Lakin8C. LakinC. Lakin
O. Gallagher22O. GallagherO. Gallagher
T. Knowles7T. KnowlesT. Knowles
K. Tshimanga20K. TshimangaK. Tshimanga
L. Moulden1L. MouldenL. Moulden
C. O'Brien38C. O'BrienC. O'Brien
D. Matthews17D. MatthewsD. Matthews
J. Anderson22J. AndersonJ. Anderson
D. Tutonda33D. TutondaD. Tutonda
T. Walton23T. WaltonT. Walton
L. Coyle6L. CoyleL. Coyle
Aidan Borland16A. BorlandAidan Borland
S. Whalley7S. WhalleyS. Whalley
J. Woods39J. WoodsJ. Woods
C. Caton18C. CatonC. Caton

Barnet Substitutes

12W. WrightD
23J. ReevesM
3R. Crichlow-NobleD
17D. AjayiF
9J. MaskellF
32Isiah Noel WilliamsF
36Anthony HaralambousG

Accrington ST Substitutes

30C. WarrenF
13C. StocktonF
21J. RogersonG
14Stefan MolsM
10Alex HendersonM
28S. ConneelyM
27J. CatesbyF

Match Stats

BarnetAccrington ST
61%Ball Possession39%
6Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards4
0Red Cards1
15Total Shots9
5Shots on Goal2
4Shots off Goal4
10Shots Inside Box7
5Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots3
9Fouls19
2Offsides2
1Goalkeeper Saves3
394Total Passes261
276Passes Accurate136
18Free Kicks8

Team Comparison

BarnetBarnet
Accrington STAccrington ST
1640Elo Rating 1444
2.18Attack 1.68
1.38Defense 0.83
41%Hit Rate 23%
17.1Shots per Game 12.7
4.5Shots on Target 3.2
8.1Corners per Game 2.8
1.1Cards per Game 3.6

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+196 Elo
📈BTTS Trend
📊Home Overperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

BarnetBarnet
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.4 vs 0.8 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Accrington STAccrington ST
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 3 historical meetings

Barnet 72%Draw 0%28% Accrington ST
1.33Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

BarnetBarnet
2W3D0L
05/09/2026
ChesterfieldBarnet
33
D
01/09/2026
Exeter CityBarnet
11
D
29/08/2026
BarnetCheltenham
22
D
22/08/2026
ShrewsburyBarnet
13
W
18/08/2026
BarnetArsenal U21
51
W
Accrington STAccrington ST
1W2D2L
05/09/2026
Accrington STCrawley Town
32
W
01/09/2026
Accrington STGrimsby
22
D
29/08/2026
WalsallAccrington ST
32
L
22/08/2026
Exeter CityAccrington ST
20
L
15/08/2026
Accrington STColchester
22
D

League Table

League Two 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1BarnetBarnet633014:9+512WDDDW
2Bristol RoversBristol Rovers640212:8+412LWWWW
3YorkYork632113:8+511WDLWD
4CheltenhamCheltenham632113:10+311WDWDL
5WalsallWalsall62408:4+410DDDWD
6GrimsbyGrimsby62409:6+310WDDDD
7Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town62407:4+310DWDDD
8CreweCrewe62406:4+210DDDDW
9Swindon TownSwindon Town63128:10-210LWWLW
10TranmereTranmere62319:7+29LWDDD
11GillinghamGillingham62318:6+29WWDDD
12ChesterfieldChesterfield62228:808WDDLW
13ColchesterColchester62227:9-28DLLWW
14OldhamOldham62138:7+17LLDWL
15Salford CitySalford City62137:9-27DWWLL
16RotherhamRotherham61329:10-16DLDWD
17NorthamptonNorthampton61323:5-26LWDDL
18ShrewsburyShrewsbury62044:10-66WLLWL
19Newport CountyNewport County612310:11-15DLLDL
20Exeter CityExeter City61234:5-15LDDLW
21Accrington STAccrington ST612310:13-35LWDLL
22Port ValePort Vale61233:7-45WLLDD
23Crawley TownCrawley Town61146:11-54LLDLW
24RochdaleRochdale61145:10-54DLWLL
#TeamMPGPts
1BarnetBarnet614:912
2Bristol RoversBristol Rovers612:812
3YorkYork613:811
4CheltenhamCheltenham613:1011
5WalsallWalsall68:410
6GrimsbyGrimsby69:610
7Fleetwood TownFleetwood Town67:410
8CreweCrewe66:410
9Swindon TownSwindon Town68:1010
10TranmereTranmere69:79
11GillinghamGillingham68:69
12ChesterfieldChesterfield68:88
13ColchesterColchester67:98
14OldhamOldham68:77
15Salford CitySalford City67:97
16RotherhamRotherham69:106
17NorthamptonNorthampton63:56
18ShrewsburyShrewsbury64:106
19Newport CountyNewport County610:115
20Exeter CityExeter City64:55
21Accrington STAccrington ST610:135
22Port ValePort Vale63:75
23Crawley TownCrawley Town66:114
24RochdaleRochdale65:104
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Barnet vs Accrington ST Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this League Two fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Two

ScorePredicts covers England football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Barnet and Accrington ST have met 3 times recently, averaging 1.33 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.