Crewe vs Accrington ST Prediction

Crewe
2-1
Finished
HT 1-0
Accrington ST
Alexandra Stadium, Crewe 08/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
82%Trust
Goals O/U
Over 1.5 Goals
1.24
SignalSOLIDModel49%RiskMediumGap+1.6%
Crewe Rest
7 days
Accrington ST Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
46%1.82
X
23%3.65
2
31%4.00
Double Chance
1X
69%1.22
X2
54%1.92
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%1.70
No
54%2.05
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.92 + 1.22 = 3.14
Over 1.5
82%1.24
Over 2.5
49%1.79
Over 3.5
31%2.90
Under 1.5
18%3.75
Under 2.5
51%1.99
Under 3.5
69%1.36
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'Jack Lankester(Penalty)
45+5'Farrend RawsonFoul
59'Devon Matthews INTom Moore out
62'Jack Lankester INJoel Tabiner out
62'Cole Stockton INCharlie Caton out
62'Alex Henderson INStefan Mols out
65'Farrend RawsonAssist: Stefan Mols
72'Joe White INAdrien Thibaut out
74'Joseph AndersonFoul
79'Seamus Conneely INCharlie Brown out
79'David Tutonda INFreddie Sass out
82'Jordan Gibson INLuca Moore out
85'Luca MooreAssist: Lewis Billington
90+2'Donald LoveArgument

Lineups

Crewe
Coach: Lee Bell
Accrington ST
Coach: John Doolan

Crewe Starting XI

1Tom BoothG
2Lewis BillingtonD
6Luke OffordD
5Mickey DemetriouD
3Reece HutchinsonD
17Matúš HolíčekM
10Joe WhiteM
20Calum AgiusM
7Jack LankesterM
14Jordan GibsonM
9Josh MarchF

Accrington ST Starting XI

1Louie MouldenG
17Devon MatthewsD
5Farrend RawsonD
22Joseph AndersonD
28Seamus ConneelyM
38Connor O'BrienM
2Donald LoveM
10Alex HendersonM
33David TutondaM
39Josh WoodsF
13Cole StocktonF

Crewe Substitutes

11Joel TabinerM
29Adrien ThibautF
32Luca MooreM
13Ian LawlorG
30Stan DanceyD
22Phil CrokerD
27Patrick MlynarskiF

Accrington ST Substitutes

4Tom MooreD
14Stefan MolsM
18Charlie CatonF
3Freddie SassD
20Charlie BrownF
21James RogersonG
25Joshua SmithD

Match Stats

CreweAccrington ST
50%Ball Possession50%
1Corner Kicks6
0Yellow Cards3
15Total Shots16
3Shots on Goal3
9Shots off Goal9
10Shots Inside Box11
5Shots Outside Box5
3Blocked Shots4
15Fouls13
1Offsides2
2Goalkeeper Saves1
357Total Passes354
244Passes Accurate246
68%Pass Accuracy69%

Team Comparison

CreweCrewe
Accrington STAccrington ST
1536Elo Rating 1444
1.17Attack 1.68
1.69Defense 0.83
0%Hit Rate 23%
13.2Shots per Game 12.7
4.1Shots on Target 3.2
3.7Corners per Game 2.8
0.8Cards per Game 3.6

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.14 goals
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

CreweCrewe
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.4 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Accrington STAccrington ST
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 33% of the time
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Crewe 39%Draw 14%46% Accrington ST
1.36Avg Goals
0%BTTS Rate
0%Over 2.5

Recent Form

CreweCrewe
2W2D1L
01/08/2026
ChesterCrewe
00
D
25/07/2026
CreweBirmingham
12
L
21/07/2026
AFC Telford UnitedCrewe
03
W
18/07/2026
CreweStoke City
11
D
11/07/2026
Witton AlbionCrewe
23
W
Accrington STAccrington ST
3W2D0L
01/08/2026
Accrington STSheffield Wednesday
00
D
28/07/2026
Accrington STBury
10
W
25/07/2026
ChorleyAccrington ST
03
W
17/07/2026
Accrington STBradford
10
W
11/07/2026
Accrington STBlackburn
00
D

Bracket

Round of 128
Round of 64
Round of 32
Cambridge United0
Millwall1
Nottingham Forest0
Leeds2
Bradford04
Burnley02
On penalties
Chelsea2
Luton0
Fulham3
AFC Wimbledon0
Bournemouth
Seeded
Crystal Palace
Seeded
Sunderland
Seeded
Liverpool
Seeded
Arsenal
Seeded
Aston Villa
Seeded
Manchester United
Seeded
Brighton
Seeded
Manchester City
Seeded

Crewe vs Accrington ST Prediction

As a knockout-stage League Cup fixture, this match carries added stakes for both sides. Our AI model analyses team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history to build forecasts across six independent markets.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About League Cup

ScorePredicts covers League Cup across every knockout round. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Crewe and Accrington ST have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.36 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.