Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction

Arena Arda, Kardzhali· Radoslav Gidzhenov, Bulgaria 17/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.0 / 10
AI Best Pick
86%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.18
SignalSOLIDModel63%RiskMediumGap+0.5%
Arda Kardzhali Rest
9 days
Lokomotiv Sofia Rest
9 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
65%1.73
X
26%3.54
2
9%4.50
Double Chance
1X
91%1.18
X2
36%2.00
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%1.83
No
51%1.85
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.65 + 0.91 = 2.56
Over 1.5
71%1.30
Over 2.5
47%1.95
Over 3.5
25%3.30
Under 1.5
29%3.30
Under 2.5
53%1.81
Under 3.5
75%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

31'Stanislav Ivanov
35'Stanislav Ivanov
45+1'Birsent Karagaren
46'Dominik Yankov INIdowu David Akintola out
51'Mark Emilio Papazov
61'Spas Delev
64'Mark Emilio Papazov INAdil Taoui out
64'Reyan Daskalov INEirô out
64'Krasimir Miloshev INMohamed Medfai out
69'Birsent Karagaren INAtanas Kabov out
69'Preslav Bachev INGeorgi Nikolov out
70'Dimitar Velkovski INSimeon Vasilev out
75'Caue Caruzo Alves
76'Stanislav Ivanov INViktor Popov out
80'Caue Caruzo Alves INNikolas Penev out
80'Kaloyan Kostov INBozhidar Katsarov out
88'Svetoslav Kovachev
90+1'Adil Taoui

Lineups

Arda Kardzhali
Coach: Blagov Tunchev Aleksander
Lokomotiv Sofia
Coach: Lyuboslav Penev

Arda Kardzhali Starting XI

1Anatoli GospodinovG
21Vyacheslav VelevD
44Adama Ardile TraoréD
5Viktor LyubenovD
35Dimitar VelkovskiD
80Lachezar KotevM
8Dominik YankovM
10Svetoslav KovachevM
91Stanislav IvanovM
99Birsent KaragarenM
16Preslav BachevF

Lokomotiv Sofia Starting XI

99Martin VelichkovG
22Reyan DaskalovD
3Kaloyan KostovD
91Ryan BidoungaD
14Angel LyaskovD
26Krasimir MiloshevM
31Krasimir StanoevM
17Mark Emilio PapazovM
20Dimitar KostadinovM
7Spas DelevM
77Caue Caruzo AlvesF

Arda Kardzhali Substitutes

4Idowu David AkintolaM
11Atanas KabovM
9Georgi NikolovF
18Simeon VasilevD
6Viktor PopovD
22Yanko GeorgievG
24Martin PaskalevD
26Burak AkandzhaM

Lokomotiv Sofia Substitutes

6EirôD
11Adil TaouiM
16Mohamed MedfaiM
44Bozhidar KatsarovD
71Nikolas PenevM
24Aleksandar LyubenovG
42Nikola NeychevD
19Mitko MitkovD
5Erol DostM
21Kristian ChachevM
10Georgi MinchevF

Match Stats

Arda KardzhaliLokomotiv Sofia
1Yellow Cards3

Team Comparison

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
1592Elo Rating 1461
1.71Attack 1.46
1.09Defense 0.69
50%Hit Rate 0%
13.0Shots per Game 7.1
7.4Shots on Target 3.0
4.8Corners per Game 3.6
3.4Cards per Game 3.8

AI Insights

🏠Strong Home Advantage+131 Elo
📈BTTS Trend23% in H2H

Game State Tendencies

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.6 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 67% of the time
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Arda Kardzhali 50%Draw 50%0% Lokomotiv Sofia
1.9Avg Goals
23%BTTS Rate
19%Over 2.5

Recent Form

Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali
2W1D2L
08/08/2026
Dunav RuseArda Kardzhali
02
W
31/07/2026
CSKA 1948Arda Kardzhali
21
L
24/07/2026
Arda KardzhaliSlavia Sofia
10
W
18/07/2026
Septemvri SofiaArda Kardzhali
11
D
10/07/2026
Botev VratsaArda Kardzhali
10
L
Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
0W3D2L
08/08/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaCSKA 1948
13
L
31/07/2026
Slavia SofiaLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
25/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaLevski Sofia
12
L
21/07/2026
Botev PlovdivLokomotiv Sofia
11
D
11/07/2026
Lokomotiv SofiaTeuta Durrës
00
D

Referee Profile

Radoslav Gidzhenov, Bulgaria · 11 matches analysed

4.4Avg Yellows
4.8Avg Cards
24.1Avg Fouls
Stricter than 48% of referees analysed

League Table

First League 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia981021:4+1725DWWWW
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia972023:6+1723WWDWW
3LudogoretsLudogorets972016:7+923WWDDW
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948961217:9+819WLWLW
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali951314:11+316LLWWW
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv941413:14-113WWLLL
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia92528:6+211DWLDD
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna924310:14-410DDDLL
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa92257:17-108DWLWL
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia92258:15-78LLDWW
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv92074:12-86LWLLL
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna912610:19-95DLLWL
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia904510:18-84LDLDL
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse91178:17-94LLDLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Levski SofiaLevski Sofia921:425
2CSKA SofiaCSKA Sofia923:623
3LudogoretsLudogorets916:723
4CSKA 1948CSKA 1948917:919
5Arda KardzhaliArda Kardzhali914:1116
6Botev PlovdivBotev Plovdiv913:1413
7Slavia SofiaSlavia Sofia98:611
8Spartak VarnaSpartak Varna910:1410
9Botev VratsaBotev Vratsa97:178
10Septemvri SofiaSeptemvri Sofia98:158
11Lokomotiv PlovdivLokomotiv Plovdiv94:126
12Cherno More VarnaCherno More Varna910:195
13Lokomotiv SofiaLokomotiv Sofia910:184
14Dunav RuseDunav Ruse98:174
Conference LeaguePromotionRelegation

Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this First League fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About First League

ScorePredicts covers Bulgaria football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Arda Kardzhali and Lokomotiv Sofia have met 5 times recently, averaging 1.9 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.