Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

Estadio BBVA, Monterrey·Luis Santander, Mexico 31/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.56
SignalSOLIDModel63%SurpriseMediumGap+2.2%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.56
SignalGOODModel60%SurpriseMediumGap+12.7%
Monterrey Rest
5 days
Atletico San Luis Rest
7 days

Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis: result, form and history

Atletico San Luis beat Monterrey 3-1 in the Liga MX on 31 Aug 2026. That went against recent form: Monterrey had won 4 of their previous five, compared with none for Atletico San Luis.

Their 10 previous meetings averaged 2.7 goals, with both teams scoring in 7 of them. Referee Luis Santander averages 4.13 cards a game, 0.63 fewer than other referees in the same competitions.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.63
X
22%4.15
2
18%4.80
Double Chance
1X
81%1.17
X2
40%2.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.56
No
29%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.39 + 1.15 = 3.54
Over 1.5
89%1.14
Over 2.5
69%1.52
Over 3.5
46%2.33
Under 1.5
11%5.03
Under 2.5
31%2.42
Under 3.5
54%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.61
Over 9.5
53%2.04
Over 10.5
39%2.54
Under 8.5
36%2.15
Under 9.5
47%1.70
Under 10.5
61%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.5
69%1.36
Over 4.5
51%1.80
Under 3.5
31%2.85
Under 4.5
49%1.89

Match Events

5'D. Rodriguez
22'Goal Disallowed - FoulO. Galvez
36'R. LlorenteAssist: O. Macias
45+3'E. AguilaUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'U. Djurdjevic INO. Pineda out
46'J. Rodriguez INO. Torres out
46'I. Fimbres INA. Aceves out
58'A. AcevesFoul
66'A. DuarteFoul
67'O. Galvez INH. Cuypers out
67'E. Aguirre IND. Rossi out
68'R. Llorente INL. Flores out
70'M. Garcia INB. Galindo out
73'H. CuypersAssist: F. Ambriz
74'A. Duarte INA. Cruz out
74'D. Rodriguez INR. Meraz out
79'O. MaciasAssist: L. Flores
84'O. Macias INS. Perez out

Match Stats

MonterreyAtletico San Luis
72%Ball Possession28%
14Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
26Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box7
9Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots1
10Fouls10
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves7
666Total Passes265
601Passes Accurate194
90%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

MonterreyMonterrey
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
1634Elo Rating 1587
2.06Attack 0.93
1.46Defense 2.09
36%Hit Rate 42%
13.0Shots per Game 14.6
5.1Shots on Target 4.0
7.0Corners per Game 4.5
2.5Cards per Game 0.5

AI Insights

⚽High Goal Expectancy3.53 goals
📈BTTS Trend70% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MonterreyMonterrey
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.5 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
  • Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late

Head to Head

Last 10 meetings, all competitions

MonterreyMonterrey4Wins · 40%
Draws220%
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis4Wins · 40%
2.7Avg Goals
70%Both teams scored7 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10

Previous meetings

Liga MX05/04/2026
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
12
Liga MX19/07/2025
Atletico San LuisMonterrey
01
Liga MX23/02/2025
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
31
Liga MX08/12/2024
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
51
Liga MX05/12/2024
Atletico San LuisMonterrey
21
Liga MX06/10/2024
Atletico San LuisMonterrey
10
Liga MX28/01/2024
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
31
Liga MX03/12/2023
MonterreyAtletico San Luis
11
Liga MX30/11/2023
Atletico San LuisMonterrey
10
Liga MX02/07/2023
Atletico San LuisMonterrey
11

Recent Form

MonterreyMonterrey
6W1D3L
26/08/2026
MonterreyChicago Fire
21
W
22/08/2026
LeonMonterrey
20
L
16/08/2026
MonterreyFC Juarez
61
W
13/08/2026
MonterreyNashville SC
21
W
09/08/2026
Inter MiamiMonterrey
12
W
06/08/2026
MonterreyOrlando City SC
12
L
02/08/2026
AtlasMonterrey
02
W
27/07/2026
NecaxaMonterrey
21
L
19/07/2026
MonterreySantos Laguna
32
W
04/07/2026
Atlante FCMonterrey
11
D
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
2W3D5L
24/08/2026
Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca
11
D
17/08/2026
Club AmericaAtletico San Luis
30
L
13/08/2026
Orlando City SCAtletico San Luis
5232
L
10/08/2026
Nashville SCAtletico San Luis
41
L
06/08/2026
Inter MiamiAtletico San Luis
42
L
01/08/2026
Atletico San LuisClub Tijuana
00
D
26/07/2026
Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis
22
D
18/07/2026
Atletico San LuisCruz Azul
23
L
10/07/2026
Atletico San LuisMineros de Zacatecas
40
W
07/07/2026
Atletico San LuisSporting San Jose
40
W

Referee Profile

Luis Santander156 matches

4.13Cards per match
3.88Yellow cards per match
0.26Red cards per match
26.2Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Luis Santander4.13
Other referees4.76

4.13 cards a match, 0.63 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.76).

Cards come from 145 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul16102437:26+1132WWWWW
2Club AmericaClub America1686238:23+1530DDDLW
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1686226:15+1130DWWWD
4TolucaToluca1676335:21+1427WDDDD
5AtlasAtlas1683527:30-327LWWLW
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1681723:20+325WWLWW
7LeonLeon1665523:21+223DLDWL
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1664629:20+922WWWLL
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1657425:22+322LDDWD
10MonterreyMonterrey1563626:25+121LDLWW
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1656524:26-221DWDLW
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1562718:23-520LLLLL
13PueblaPuebla1654719:23-419WLLLD
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1654719:24-519LLWWD
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1636717:25-815LLDLD
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1635816:26-1014LLLWL
17NecaxaNecaxa1634917:28-1113WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez16321113:34-2111WWDLL
#TeamMPGPts
1Cruz AzulCruz Azul1637:2632
2Club AmericaClub America1638:2330
3Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas1626:1530
4TolucaToluca1635:2127
5AtlasAtlas1627:3027
6Santos LagunaSantos Laguna1623:2025
7LeonLeon1623:2123
8CF PachucaCF Pachuca1629:2022
9Club TijuanaClub Tijuana1625:2222
10MonterreyMonterrey1526:2521
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas1624:2621
12Club QueretaroClub Queretaro1518:2320
13PueblaPuebla1619:2319
14Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis1619:2419
15Tigres UANLTigres UANL1617:2515
16Atlante FCAtlante FC1616:2614
17NecaxaNecaxa1617:2813
18FC JuarezFC Juarez1613:3411
Promotion

About the Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis forecast

Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.

Monterrey and Atletico San Luis in the Liga MX table

In the Liga MX table, Monterrey are 10th and Atletico San Luis 14th, 2 points apart. League goal record so far: Monterrey 26-25, Atletico San Luis 19-24. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.