Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

Estadio BBVA, Monterrey· Luis Santander, Mexico 31/08/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
66%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.56
SignalHIGHModel63%RiskMediumGap+2.2%
Value Analysis
71%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.56
SignalHIGHModel60%RiskMediumGap+12.7%
Monterrey Rest
5 days
Atletico San Luis Rest
7 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
60%1.63
X
22%4.15
2
18%4.80
Double Chance
1X
81%1.17
X2
40%2.22
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%1.56
No
29%2.27
Goals
Projected Goals: 2.39 + 1.15 = 3.54
Over 1.5
89%1.14
Over 2.5
69%1.52
Over 3.5
46%2.33
Under 1.5
11%5.03
Under 2.5
31%2.42
Under 3.5
54%1.57
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.8 + 4 = 9.8
Over 8.5
64%1.61
Over 9.5
53%2.04
Over 10.5
39%2.54
Under 8.5
36%2.15
Under 9.5
47%1.70
Under 10.5
61%1.43
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.1 + 2.7 = 4.9
Over 3.5
69%1.36
Over 4.5
51%1.80
Under 3.5
31%2.85
Under 4.5
49%1.89

Match Events

5'D. Rodriguez
22'Goal Disallowed - FoulO. Galvez
36'R. LlorenteAssist: O. Macias
45+3'E. AguilaUnsportsmanlike conduct
46'U. Djurdjevic INO. Pineda out
46'J. Rodriguez INO. Torres out
46'I. Fimbres INA. Aceves out
58'A. AcevesFoul
66'A. DuarteFoul
67'O. Galvez INH. Cuypers out
67'E. Aguirre IND. Rossi out
68'R. Llorente INL. Flores out
70'M. Garcia INB. Galindo out
73'H. CuypersAssist: F. Ambriz
74'A. Duarte INA. Cruz out
74'D. Rodriguez INR. Meraz out
79'O. MaciasAssist: L. Flores
84'O. Macias INS. Perez out

Match Stats

MonterreyAtletico San Luis
72%Ball Possession28%
14Corner Kicks1
1Yellow Cards2
26Total Shots9
8Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal4
17Shots Inside Box7
9Shots Outside Box2
6Blocked Shots1
10Fouls10
2Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves7
666Total Passes265
601Passes Accurate194
90%Pass Accuracy73%

Team Comparison

MonterreyMonterrey
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
1611Elo Rating 1539
0.84Attack 0.75
1.51Defense 0.99
14%Hit Rate 19%
14.6Shots per Game 12.0
3.5Shots on Target 3.8
8.3Corners per Game 2.3
1.9Cards per Game 1.6

AI Insights

High Goal Expectancy3.53 goals
📈BTTS Trend77% in H2H
💎Value Analysis Identified
📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MonterreyMonterrey
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Monterrey 59%Draw 0%41% Atletico San Luis
3.23Avg Goals
77%BTTS Rate
77%Over 2.5

Recent Form

MonterreyMonterrey
4W0D1L
26/08/2026
MonterreyChicago Fire
21
W
22/08/2026
LeonMonterrey
20
L
16/08/2026
MonterreyFC Juarez
61
W
13/08/2026
MonterreyNashville SC
21
W
09/08/2026
Inter MiamiMonterrey
12
W
Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
0W1D4L
24/08/2026
Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca
11
D
17/08/2026
Club AmericaAtletico San Luis
30
L
13/08/2026
Orlando City SCAtletico San Luis
5232
L
10/08/2026
Nashville SCAtletico San Luis
41
L
06/08/2026
Inter MiamiAtletico San Luis
42
L

Referee Profile

Luis Santander, Mexico · 42 matches analysed

4.3Avg Yellows
4.5Avg Cards
26.0Avg Fouls
Stricter than 45% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca861118:6+1219WWWWD
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
6AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
7MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro741210:7+313WWLDW
9Club LeonClub Leon841311:9+213WWDLW
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana741210:8+213LWLWD
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca832313:8+511WWDDL
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna81166:13-74WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca818:619
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5PueblaPuebla911:1114
6AtlasAtlas913:1514
7MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro710:713
9Club LeonClub Leon811:913
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana710:813
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca813:811
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna86:134
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
Promotion

Monterrey vs Atletico San Luis Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Monterrey and Atletico San Luis have met 5 times recently, averaging 3.23 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.