World · Final
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Toluca vs Monterrey: the result in context
Toluca beat Monterrey 2-0 in the Leagues Cup on 7 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Toluca have had the better of this fixture, winning 6 of the 10 previous meetings, which averaged 2.9 goals a game. Referee Iván Barton averages 3.89 cards a game, 0.57 more than other referees in the same competitions.
Match Forecasts
Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match
Goal forecasts not available for this match
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
Lineups
Toluca
Avg ratingAvg rating
1H. González
17B. García
6F. Pereira
25E. López
20J. Gallardo
8N. Castro
5F. Romero
10J. Angulo
11Helinho
16F. Viñas
9A. Vega
1E. Andrada
2R. Chávez
4V. Guzmán
13C. Salcedo
3G. Arteaga
8Ó. Torres
25O. Pineda
7L. Ocampos
9D. Rossi
17J. Corona
99H. CuypersToluca Substitutes
Monterrey Substitutes
Match Stats
TolucaMonterrey Team Comparison
TolucaMonterreyAI Insights
Game State Tendencies
Toluca- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1 vs 0.6 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Monterrey- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half - tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Toluca6Wins · 60%2Wins · 20%Previous meetings
11/01/2026MonterreyToluca07/12/2025TolucaMonterrey04/12/2025MonterreyToluca25/09/2025TolucaMonterrey11/05/2025TolucaMonterrey08/05/2025MonterreyToluca19/01/2025TolucaMonterrey01/09/2024MonterreyToluca19/02/2024MonterreyToluca31/08/2023TolucaMonterreyRecent Form
TolucaToluca
LeonToluca
FC JuarezToluca
Austin
Club QueretaroToluca
Atlante FCTolucaToluca
FC DallasToluca
Los Angeles FCToluca
Seattle SoundersToluca
NecaxaToluca
Cruz AzulMonterrey
Club AmericaMonterreyMonterrey
Atletico San LuisMonterrey
Chicago FireLeonMonterreyMonterreyFC JuarezMonterrey
Nashville SC
Inter MiamiMonterreyMonterrey
Orlando City SC
AtlasMonterreyNecaxaMonterreyReferee Profile
Compared with other referees
3.89 cards a match, 0.57 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (3.32).
Cards come from 18 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsBracket
Monterrey2Chicago Fire1Leon3
Real Salt Lake0Toluca2Austin0Club America2
Columbus Crew0Toluca2Leon0Explore more predictions
This match
More Leagues Cup matches
About the Toluca vs Monterrey forecast
As a knockout tie in the Leagues Cup, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
About Leagues Cup
More Leagues Cup fixtures and forecasts are on the Leagues Cup Predictions page.
Key Factors for This Match
This is a high-importance fixture for both sides, rated 7.2 out of 10 by our context model. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.