Leon vs Monterrey Prediction

Leon
2-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Monterrey
Estadio Leon, Leon· César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico 22/08/2026
LeonLeon
2-0
Finished
MonterreyMonterrey

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.50
SignalSOLIDModel48%RiskMediumGap-3.1%
Leon Rest
4 days
Monterrey Rest
5 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.13
X
26%3.56
2
46%2.10
Double Chance
1X
54%1.70
X2
72%1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%1.50
No
36%2.39
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.4 + 1.35 = 2.75
Over 1.5
76%1.17
Over 2.5
56%1.59
Over 3.5
35%2.44
Under 1.5
24%4.67
Under 2.5
44%2.30
Under 3.5
65%1.50
Corners
Projected Corners: 4.7 + 4.4 = 9.2
Over 8.5
54%1.64
Over 9.5
45%2.05
Over 10.5
32%2.63
Under 8.5
46%2.14
Under 9.5
55%1.67
Under 10.5
68%1.40
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.6 + 2.5 = 5
Over 3.5
70%1.33
Over 4.5
53%1.71
Under 3.5
30%2.75
Under 4.5
47%2.01

Match Events

24'J. CortizoAssist: D. Cambindo
45'R. ChavezFoul
46'R. Chavez INL. Orellano out
60'D. Cambindo INA. Alvarado out
60'F. Beltran Cruz INJ. P. Dominguez Chonteco out
66'J. RomanaFoul
68'J. Cortizo INP. Bellon out
68'F. Ambriz INO. Torres out
77'L. CardenasFoul
79'D. Arcila(Penalty)
80'B. Colula INI. Moreno out
81'O. Pineda INI. Fimbres out
81'G. Arteaga INL. Reyes out
81'I. Rodriguez INJ. Lara out
88'J. Corona INR. de la Rosa out
90+7'J. GuevaraUnsportsmanlike conduct
90+8'O. TorresUnsportsmanlike conduct

Lineups

Leon
Coach: Javier Gandolfi
Monterrey
Coach: Matias Almeyda

Leon Starting XI

23O. Garcia
4B. Colula
14J. Romana
3J. Guevara
5S. Vegas
29I. Rodriguez
16J. Cortizo
35L. Valadez
6F. Beltran Cruz
13D. Arcila
27D. Cambindo

Monterrey Starting XI

22L. Cardenas
2R. Chavez
4V. Guzman
30J. Rodriguez
3G. Arteaga
5F. Ambriz
25O. Pineda
9D. Rossi
7L. Ocampos
17J. Corona
99H. Cuypers

Leon Substitutes

12J. Gonzalez
185C. Mora
26S. Reyes
25P. Bellon
8J. P. Dominguez Chonteco
22S. Santos
203J. Lara
7I. Moreno
11I. Diaz
19A. Alvarado

Monterrey Substitutes

31C. Ramos
21L. Reyes
14E. Aguirre
11I. Fimbres
18C. Garza
8O. Torres
200O. Galvez
27R. de la Rosa
10L. Orellano
203A. De Nigris

Team Comparison

LeonLeon
MonterreyMonterrey
1650Elo Rating 1611
1.10Attack 0.84
1.84Defense 1.51
46%Hit Rate 14%
15.5Shots per Game 14.6
5.3Shots on Target 3.5
3.6Corners per Game 8.3
1.6Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming
📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

LeonLeon
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (1.1 vs 0 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MonterreyMonterrey
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Leon 14%Draw 0%86% Monterrey
2.35Avg Goals
39%BTTS Rate
39%Over 2.5

Recent Form

LeonLeon
5W0D0L
18/08/2026
NecaxaLeon
12
W
13/08/2026
Inter MiamiLeon
23
W
09/08/2026
Orlando City SCLeon
12
W
06/08/2026
Nashville SCLeon
01
W
02/08/2026
LeonCF Pachuca
10
W
MonterreyMonterrey
4W0D1L
16/08/2026
MonterreyFC Juarez
61
W
13/08/2026
MonterreyNashville SC
21
W
09/08/2026
Inter MiamiMonterrey
12
W
06/08/2026
MonterreyOrlando City SC
12
L
02/08/2026
AtlasMonterrey
02
W

Referee Profile

César Ramos Palazuelos, Mexico · 20 matches analysed

4.9Avg Yellows
5.3Avg Cards
25.3Avg Fouls
Stricter than 84% of referees analysed

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca961220:9+1119LWWWW
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro842211:8+314DWWLD
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana842212:10+214DLWLW
7LeonLeon942312:10+214DWLDW
8PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
9AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
10MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca933315:10+512DWWDD
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna92169:15-67WWLDL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca920:919
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5Club QueretaroClub Queretaro811:814
6Club TijuanaClub Tijuana812:1014
7LeonLeon912:1014
8PueblaPuebla911:1114
9AtlasAtlas913:1514
10MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
11CF PachucaCF Pachuca915:1012
12U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna99:157
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
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Leon vs Monterrey Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

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Key Factors for This Match

Leon and Monterrey have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.35 goals per game in those meetings. This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.