Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Prediction

Monterrey
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Cruz Azul
Estadio BBVA, Monterrey· Jesus Rafael Lopez Valle 20/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.53
SignalNEUTRALModel42%RiskHighGap-5.2%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.61
SignalGOODModel65%RiskMediumGap+4.5%
Monterrey Rest
7 days
Cruz Azul Rest
3 days

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
36%2.20
X
29%3.48
2
35%2.95
Double Chance
1X
65%1.36
X2
64%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%1.53
No
40%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.44 = 2.54
Over 1.5
78%1.18
Over 2.5
55%1.66
Over 3.5
34%2.56
Under 1.5
22%4.50
Under 2.5
45%2.20
Under 3.5
66%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.3 = 10
Over 8.5
61%1.36
Over 9.5
50%1.64
Over 10.5
39%2.05
Under 8.5
39%2.78
Under 9.5
50%2.10
Under 10.5
61%1.71
Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

7'César GarzaAssist: Jesús Corona
45'Jesús Orozco INAlan Mozo out
58'César GarzaArgument
58'Gabriel FernándezArgument
60'Gonzalo PioviFoul
61'Daniel Aceves INStefan Medina out
62'José Paradela INOsinachi Ebere out
62'Agustín Palavecino INLuka Romero out
76'Jesús Corona INFidel Ambriz out
76'Lucas Orellano INJorge Rodríguez out
79'Ángel Márquez INNicolás Ibañez out
79'Gabriel Fernández INAriel Castro out
88'César Garza INIker Fimbres out
88'Óliver Torres INLuis Reyes out

Lineups

Monterrey
4-2-3-1Coach: M. Almeyda
Cruz Azul
5-4-1Coach: Joel Huiqui
E. Andrada1E. AndradaE. Andrada
R. Chávez2R. ChávezR. Chávez
V. Guzmán4V. GuzmánV. Guzmán
A. Aceves19A. AcevesA. Aceves
Cesar Garza Cantu18C. Garza CantuCesar Garza Cantu
Óliver Torres8Ó. TorresÓliver Torres
O. Pineda25O. PinedaO. Pineda
L. Orellano10L. OrellanoL. Orellano
J. Corona17J. CoronaJ. Corona
L. Ocampos7L. OcamposL. Ocampos
H. Cuypers99H. CuypersH. Cuypers
K. Mier23K. MierK. Mier
J. Márquez16J. MárquezJ. Márquez
W. Ditta4W. DittaW. Ditta
G. Piovi33G. PioviG. Piovi
J. Orozco5J. OrozcoJ. Orozco
O. Campos3O. CamposO. Campos
J. Paradela20J. ParadelaJ. Paradela
É. Lira6É. LiraÉ. Lira
A. Palavecino8A. PalavecinoA. Palavecino
C. Rodríguez19C. RodríguezC. Rodríguez
G. Fernández21G. FernándezG. Fernández

Monterrey Substitutes

11Iker Jareth Fimbres OchoaM
22L. CárdenasG
5F. AmbrízM
14É. AguirreM
33S. MedinaD
21L. ReyesD
30J. RodríguezM
203A. De NigrisF
27R. de la RosaF
32U. ĐurđevićF

Cruz Azul Substitutes

12A. MontesD
2A. MozoD
15R. OrquinD
10A. MontañoM
7N. IbáñezF
18L. RomeroF
1A. GudiñoG
60Ariel Castro SevillaM
11C. EbereF
55R. GonzalezM

Match Stats

MonterreyCruz Azul
47%Ball Possession53%
6Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box8
8Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots4
13Fouls14
1Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves4
407Total Passes463
315Passes Accurate379
13Free Kicks13

Team Comparison

MonterreyMonterrey
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
1611Elo Rating 1764
0.84Attack 1.61
1.51Defense 1.33
14%Hit Rate 59%
14.6Shots per Game 14.6
3.5Shots on Target 5.4
8.3Corners per Game 7.8
1.9Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📉Home Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

MonterreyMonterrey
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.1 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Cruz AzulCruz Azul
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Based on 5 historical meetings

Monterrey 14%Draw 19%66% Cruz Azul
2.47Avg Goals
34%BTTS Rate
31%Over 2.5

League Table

Liga MX 2026
#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1TolucaToluca861118:6+1219WWWWD
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas953117:8+918DWWDW
3Club AmericaClub America852117:8+917DLWWW
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul950416:15+115LWWWL
5PueblaPuebla942311:11014DLWLW
6AtlasAtlas942313:15-214DLDLW
7MonterreyMonterrey841314:10+413WDLLW
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro741210:7+313WWLDW
9Club LeonClub Leon841311:9+213WWDLW
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana741210:8+213LWLWD
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas933312:13-112DLWLD
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca832313:8+511WWDDL
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis923411:16-59WLLWD
14Atlante FCAtlante FC91538:13-58DLDDL
15NecaxaNecaxa922510:16-68LLDLD
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL91449:13-47LDDDW
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna81166:13-74WLDLL
18FC JuarezFC Juarez91086:23-173WLLLL
#TeamMPGPts
1TolucaToluca818:619
2Guadalajara ChivasGuadalajara Chivas917:818
3Club AmericaClub America817:817
4Cruz AzulCruz Azul916:1515
5PueblaPuebla911:1114
6AtlasAtlas913:1514
7MonterreyMonterrey814:1013
8Club QueretaroClub Queretaro710:713
9Club LeonClub Leon811:913
10Club TijuanaClub Tijuana710:813
11U.N.A.M. - PumasU.N.A.M. - Pumas912:1312
12CF PachucaCF Pachuca813:811
13Atletico San LuisAtletico San Luis911:169
14Atlante FCAtlante FC98:138
15NecaxaNecaxa910:168
16Tigres UANLTigres UANL99:137
17Santos LagunaSantos Laguna86:134
18FC JuarezFC Juarez96:233
Promotion

Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Prediction

Our AI model has analysed this Liga MX fixture using team Elo ratings, recent form, projected goals and head-to-head history. The forecasts cover six independent markets - each probability is a separate model calculation, not derived from the match winner result.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive or open market; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Liga MX

ScorePredicts covers Mexico football across all major markets. Use the navigation to explore today's full fixture list or filter by market.

Key Factors for This Match

Monterrey and Cruz Azul have met 5 times recently, averaging 2.47 goals per game in those meetings. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.