Monterrey vs Cruz Azul Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 9
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
60%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.53
SignalNEUTRALModel42%SurpriseHighGap-5.2%
Value Analysis
65%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.61
SignalSOLIDModel65%SurpriseMediumGap+4.5%
Monterrey Rest
7 days
Cruz Azul Rest
3 days
Match Forecasts
Match Result
136%2.20
X29%3.48
235%2.95
Double Chance
1X65%1.36
X264%1.61
Both Teams to Score
Yes60%1.53
No40%2.32
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.1 + 1.44 = 2.54
Over 1.578%1.18
Over 2.555%1.66
Over 3.534%2.56
Under 1.522%4.50
Under 2.545%2.20
Under 3.566%1.44
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.7 + 4.3 = 10
Over 8.561%1.36
Over 9.550%1.64
Over 10.539%2.05
Under 8.539%2.78
Under 9.550%2.10
Under 10.561%1.71
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
7'César GarzaAssist: Jesús Corona
45'Jesús Orozco INAlan Mozo out
58'César GarzaArgument
58'Gabriel FernándezArgument
60'Gonzalo PioviFoul
61'Daniel Aceves INStefan Medina out
62'José Paradela INOsinachi Ebere out
62'Agustín Palavecino INLuka Romero out
76'Jesús Corona INFidel Ambriz out
76'Lucas Orellano INJorge Rodríguez out
79'Ángel Márquez INNicolás Ibañez out
79'Gabriel Fernández INAriel Castro out
88'César Garza INIker Fimbres out
88'Óliver Torres INLuis Reyes out
Lineups
MonterreyCruz Azul
5-4-1Coach: Joel HuiquiAvg ratingAvg rating
1E. Andrada
2R. Chávez
4V. Guzmán
19A. Aceves
18C. Garza Cantu
8Ó. Torres
25O. Pineda
10L. Orellano
17J. Corona
7L. Ocampos
99H. Cuypers
23K. Mier
16J. Márquez
4W. Ditta
33G. Piovi
5J. Orozco
3O. Campos
20J. Paradela
6É. Lira
8A. Palavecino
19C. Rodríguez
21G. FernándezMonterrey Substitutes
11Iker Jareth Fimbres Ochoa88'for César Garza
22L. Cárdenas
5F. Ambríz76'for Jesús Corona
14É. Aguirre
33S. Medina61'for Daniel Aceves
21L. Reyes88'for Óliver Torres
30J. Rodríguez76'for Lucas Orellano
203A. De Nigris
27R. de la Rosa
32U. Đurđević
Cruz Azul Substitutes
12A. Montes
2A. Mozo45'for Jesús Orozco
15R. Orquin
10A. Montaño
7N. Ibáñez79'for Ángel Márquez
18L. Romero62'for Agustín Palavecino
1A. Gudiño
60Ariel Castro Sevilla79'for Gabriel Fernández
11C. Ebere62'for José Paradela
55R. Gonzalez
Match Stats
MonterreyCruz Azul 47%Ball Possession53%
6Corner Kicks4
1Yellow Cards2
17Total Shots13
5Shots on Goal4
12Shots off Goal5
9Shots Inside Box8
8Shots Outside Box5
0Blocked Shots4
13Fouls14
1Offsides3
4Goalkeeper Saves4
407Total Passes463
315Passes Accurate379
13Free Kicks13
Team Comparison
MonterreyCruz Azul1634Elo Rating 1790
2.06Attack 2.87
1.46Defense 1.88
36%Hit Rate 86%
13.0Shots per Game 15.9
5.1Shots on Target 6.3
7.0Corners per Game 5.2
2.5Cards per Game 2.2
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend60% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
Game State Tendencies
Monterrey- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Starts fast: scores more in 1st half (1.6 vs 0.5 in second half)
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Cruz Azul- Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 100% of the time
- Concedes more in 1st half, then tightens up after the break
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Monterrey1Wins · 10%Draws220%
Cruz Azul7Wins · 70%
7Wins · 70%2.7Avg Goals
60%Both teams scored6 of 10
50%3+ goals5 of 10
Previous meetings
18/03/2026Cruz AzulMonterrey11
11/03/2026MonterreyCruz Azul23
01/03/2026MonterreyCruz Azul02
26/10/2025Cruz AzulMonterrey20
09/03/2025Cruz AzulMonterrey11
14/07/2024MonterreyCruz Azul04
20/05/2024Cruz AzulMonterrey12
17/05/2024MonterreyCruz Azul01
07/04/2024Cruz AzulMonterrey21
28/08/2023MonterreyCruz Azul12
Recent Form
Monterrey5W1D4L
13/09/2026Monterrey
Tigres UANL
TolucaMonterrey
Club AmericaMonterreyMonterrey
Atletico San Luis
LeonMonterreyMonterrey
FC Juarez
Inter MiamiMonterrey
MonterreyTigres UANL00
D07/09/2026TolucaMonterrey20
L03/09/2026Club AmericaMonterrey4252
W31/08/2026MonterreyAtletico San Luis13
L26/08/2026Monterrey
Chicago Fire
22/08/2026MonterreyChicago Fire21
WLeonMonterrey20
L16/08/2026MonterreyFC Juarez61
W13/08/2026Monterrey
Nashville SC
09/08/2026MonterreyNashville SC21
WInter MiamiMonterrey12
W06/08/2026Monterrey
Orlando City SC
MonterreyOrlando City SC12
LCruz Azul5W0D5L
17/09/2026Inter MiamiCruz Azul
13/09/2026Inter MiamiCruz Azul20
LCruz AzulClub America43
W07/09/2026Cruz Azul
Santos Laguna10
W29/08/2026
NecaxaCruz Azul13
W23/08/2026Cruz Azul
Atlas02
L17/08/2026
Club TijuanaCruz Azul21
L14/08/2026Cruz AzulChicago Fire
10/08/2026Cruz AzulChicago Fire12
LCruz Azul
New York City FC21
W07/08/2026Cruz Azul
Philadelphia Union10
W02/08/2026Cruz Azul
Atlante FC23
LReferee Profile
5.13Cards per match
4.83Yellow cards per match
0.30Red cards per match
23.0Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
5.13 cards a match, 0.48 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.65).
Cards come from 63 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 |  CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 |  U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 |  Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 |  Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
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About the Monterrey vs Cruz Azul forecast
The forecasts for this Liga MX match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Monterrey and Cruz Azul in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, Cruz Azul are 1st and Monterrey 10th, 11 points apart. League goal record so far: Monterrey 26-25, Cruz Azul 37-26. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Some of the data for this fixture is limited, so the model gives it a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.