Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca Prediction
Mexico · Apertura - 5
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Complete
Match Importance
4.4 / 10
AI Best Pick
64%Trust
BTTS
Both Teams to Score
1.65
SignalSOLIDModel42%SurpriseMediumGap+3.1%
Value Analysis
56%Trust
Home Corners
Home Corners Over 4.5
1.95
SignalNEUTRALModel40%SurpriseMediumGap+8.8%
Atletico San Luis Rest
7 days
CF Pachuca Rest
5 days
Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca: result, form and history
Atletico San Luis and CF Pachuca drew 1-1 in the Liga MX on 24 Aug 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Games between these two are rarely quiet: their 10 previous meetings averaged 3.0 goals, and both sides scored in 8 of them.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
136%3.05
X24%3.42
240%2.22
Double Chance
1X59%1.64
X264%1.35
Both Teams to Score
Yes64%1.65
No36%2.13
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.45 + 1.4 = 2.85
Over 1.578%1.25
Over 2.559%1.82
Over 3.536%3.05
Under 1.522%3.75
Under 2.541%1.98
Under 3.564%1.36
Corners
Projected Corners: 5.1 + 4.6 = 9.7
Over 8.562%1.71
Over 9.552%2.16
Over 10.535%2.88
Under 8.538%2.01
Under 9.548%1.61
Under 10.565%1.35
Cards
Projected Cards: 2.2 + 2.5 = 4.6
Over 3.566%1.27
Over 4.543%1.61
Under 3.534%3.05
Under 4.557%2.10
Match Events
19'S. D. BarretoFoul
33'Eduardo BauermannSerious foul
36'KenedyFoul
40'Kenedy INJ. Berlanga out
46'O. Macias INR. Llorente out
46'B. Galindo INA. Cruz out
58'A. Bautista INN. Vallejo out
58'S. Rondon INA. Alcaraz out
62'D. Rodriguez INR. Najera out
72'A. Duarte INB. Galdames out
78'O. Idrissi INM. Isais out
78'E. Montiel INS. Rodriguez out
80'R. Torres INS. Munoz out
83'R. NajeraAssist: F. Mora
90+3'C. MorenoAssist: N. Vallejo
Lineups
Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca
4-2-3-1Coach: Benjamin MoraAvg ratingAvg rating
1A. Sánchez
30B. Galindo
14M. Alonso García
31E. Águila
2R. Torres
13J. Caicedo
21O. Macías
17A. Duarte
11D. Rodriguez
C10S. Salles-Lamonge
99F. Mora
C25C. Moreno
14C. Sánchez
4E. Bauermann
2S. Barreto
15F. Venegas
16C. Rivera
10E. Montiel
29Kenedy
26A. Bautista
11O. Idrissi
23S. RondónAtletico San Luis Substitutes
18Aldo Cruz46'for B. Galindo
22Rafa Llorente46'for O. Macias
8Ronaldo Nájera62'for D. Rodriguez83'
7Benjamín Galdames72'for A. Duarte
19Santiago Muñoz80'for R. Torres
25Gibran Lajud
16Lucas Esteves
26Sebastián Pérez Bouquet
5Roberto Meraz
20Leonardo Flores
CF Pachuca Substitutes
13Jorge Berlanga40'for Kenedy
9Adrián Alcaraz58'for S. Rondon
21Nicolás Vallejo58'for A. Bautista
6Mauricio Isais78'for O. Idrissi
30Sergio Rodríguez
31Jose Eulogio
22Alan Mozo
217Marco Fava
7Rodolfo Pizarro
211Cristóbal Hernández
Match Stats
Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca 69%Ball Possession31%
1Corner Kicks4
0Yellow Cards2
0Red Cards1
17Total Shots10
7Shots on Goal2
7Shots off Goal6
11Shots Inside Box10
6Shots Outside Box0
3Blocked Shots2
13Fouls17
1Offsides1
1Goalkeeper Saves5
572Total Passes254
502Passes Accurate182
88%Pass Accuracy72%
Team Comparison
Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca1587Elo Rating 1667
0.93Attack 2.05
2.09Defense 1.63
42%Hit Rate 50%
14.6Shots per Game 16.4
4.0Shots on Target 5.1
4.5Corners per Game 4.3
0.5Cards per Game 3.0
AI Insights
⚽High Goal Expectancy2.85 goals
📈BTTS Trend80% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
Game State Tendencies
Atletico San Luis- Tied at half-time in 100% of matches
- Scores more in 2nd half (0.8 vs 0.1 in first half)
- Concedes more in 2nd half and can tire late
CF Pachuca- Comeback tendency: recovers from HT deficit 50% of the time
- Scores more in 2nd half (1.2 vs 0.8 in first half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Atletico San Luis3Wins · 30%Draws220%
CF Pachuca5Wins · 50%
5Wins · 50%3.0Avg Goals
80%Both teams scored8 of 10
70%3+ goals7 of 10
Previous meetings
15/03/2026Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca11
28/09/2025CF PachucaAtletico San Luis21
21/04/2025Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca21
17/07/2024CF PachucaAtletico San Luis20
18/03/2024Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca21
29/08/2023CF PachucaAtletico San Luis02
23/04/2023CF PachucaAtletico San Luis21
19/09/2022Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca12
15/05/2022CF PachucaAtletico San Luis32
12/05/2022Atletico San LuisCF Pachuca22
Recent Form
Atletico San Luis3W2D5L
17/08/2026
Club AmericaAtletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
Club Tijuana
Tigres UANLAtletico San LuisAtletico San Luis
Cruz Azul
Club AmericaAtletico San Luis30
L13/08/2026
Orlando City SCAtletico San Luis
Orlando City SCAtletico San Luis5232
L10/08/2026
Nashville SCAtletico San Luis
Nashville SCAtletico San Luis41
L06/08/2026
Inter MiamiAtletico San Luis
01/08/2026Inter MiamiAtletico San Luis42
LAtletico San LuisClub Tijuana00
D26/07/2026Tigres UANLAtletico San Luis22
D18/07/2026Atletico San LuisCruz Azul23
L10/07/2026Atletico San Luis
Mineros de Zacatecas
Atletico San LuisMineros de Zacatecas40
W07/07/2026Atletico San Luis
Sporting San Jose
Atletico San LuisSporting San Jose40
W01/07/2026
AtlasAtletico San Luis
AtlasAtletico San Luis01
WCF Pachuca4W0D6L
18/08/2026CF Pachuca
Puebla
LeonCF PachucaCF Pachuca
Club Queretaro
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
CF PachucaPuebla23
L12/08/2026
CharlotteCF Pachuca
CharlotteCF Pachuca01
W08/08/2026
Columbus CrewCF Pachuca
Columbus CrewCF Pachuca21
L05/08/2026
FC CincinnatiCF Pachuca
02/08/2026FC CincinnatiCF Pachuca31
LLeonCF Pachuca10
L27/07/2026CF PachucaClub Queretaro12
L19/07/2026U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca03
W04/07/2026CF PachucaPuebla
CF PachucaPuebla31
W18/05/2026U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca
U.N.A.M. - PumasCF Pachuca10
L15/05/2026CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas
CF PachucaU.N.A.M. - Pumas10
WReferee Profile
4.81Cards per match
4.39Yellow cards per match
0.42Red cards per match
23.4Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.81 cards a match, 0.25 more than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (4.56).
Cards come from 159 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 37:26 | +11 | 32 | WWWWW |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 38:23 | +15 | 30 | DDDLW |
| 3 |  Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 26:15 | +11 | 30 | DWWWD |
| 4 |  Toluca | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 35:21 | +14 | 27 | WDDDD |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 27:30 | -3 | 27 | LWWLW |
| 6 |  Santos Laguna | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 23:20 | +3 | 25 | WWLWW |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 23:21 | +2 | 23 | DLDWL |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | +9 | 22 | WWWLL |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 5 | 7 | 4 | 25:22 | +3 | 22 | LDDWD |
| 10 |  Monterrey | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 26:25 | +1 | 21 | LDLWW |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 5 | 6 | 5 | 24:26 | -2 | 21 | DWDLW |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18:23 | -5 | 20 | LLLLL |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:23 | -4 | 19 | WLLLD |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 19:24 | -5 | 19 | LLWWD |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 17:25 | -8 | 15 | LLDLD |
| 16 |  Atlante FC | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 16:26 | -10 | 14 | LLLWL |
| 17 |  Necaxa | 16 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 17:28 | -11 | 13 | WLDLL |
| 18 |  FC Juarez | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 13:34 | -21 | 11 | WWDLL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cruz Azul | 16 | 37:26 | 32 |
| 2 | Club America | 16 | 38:23 | 30 |
| 3 | Guadalajara Chivas | 16 | 26:15 | 30 |
| 4 | Toluca | 16 | 35:21 | 27 |
| 5 | Atlas | 16 | 27:30 | 27 |
| 6 | Santos Laguna | 16 | 23:20 | 25 |
| 7 | Leon | 16 | 23:21 | 23 |
| 8 | CF Pachuca | 16 | 29:20 | 22 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 16 | 25:22 | 22 |
| 10 | Monterrey | 15 | 26:25 | 21 |
| 11 | U.N.A.M. - Pumas | 16 | 24:26 | 21 |
| 12 | Club Queretaro | 15 | 18:23 | 20 |
| 13 | Puebla | 16 | 19:23 | 19 |
| 14 | Atletico San Luis | 16 | 19:24 | 19 |
| 15 | Tigres UANL | 16 | 17:25 | 15 |
| 16 | Atlante FC | 16 | 16:26 | 14 |
| 17 | Necaxa | 16 | 17:28 | 13 |
| 18 | FC Juarez | 16 | 13:34 | 11 |
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About the Atletico San Luis vs CF Pachuca forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage is the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% means strong statistical confidence; 45-65% points to a competitive, open match; below 45% means the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for information and entertainment only.
Atletico San Luis and CF Pachuca in the Liga MX table
In the Liga MX table, CF Pachuca are 8th and Atletico San Luis 14th, 3 points apart. League goal record so far: Atletico San Luis 19-24, CF Pachuca 29-20. The full standings are on the Liga MX Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
This forecast is based on a complete recent-form dataset for both teams.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.