Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado Prediction

Estadio Centenario, Montevideo·Andres Matonte, Uruguay 27/09/2026

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
73%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.30
SignalGOODModel47%SurpriseHighGap-3.7%
Atletico Torque Rest
2 days
Deportivo Maldonado Rest
3 days

Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado: the result in context

Deportivo Maldonado beat Atletico Torque 2-0 in the Primera División on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.

Deportivo Maldonado have had the better of this fixture, winning 5 of the 7 previous meetings, which averaged 3.4 goals a game.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
47%2.07
X
27%3.28
2
26%3.25
Double Chance
1X
74%1.30
X2
53%1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%1.72
No
47%2.00
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.56 + 1.06 = 2.62
Over 1.5
73%1.29
Over 2.5
49%1.92
Over 3.5
29%3.30
Under 1.5
27%3.30
Under 2.5
51%1.82
Under 3.5
71%1.30
Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

26'G. Di Noia
28'S. Ramirez
35'G. Montes
44'P. Siles
48'C. Tabo
51'F. Tealde
54'F. Silvera
58'P. Siles
58'P. Siles
63'R. Cesar
65'G. Kagelmacher INS. Zampieri out
65'G. Montes INL. Dure out
65'F. Silvera INS. Rodriguez out
66'S. Ramirez INL. Ibanez out
66'C. Tabo ING. Sosa out
69'J. Ramos
80'S. Cartagena INA. Vila out
81'R. Cesar INC. Mayada out
89'F. Tealde INJ. Fernandez out

Lineups

Atletico Torque
4-3-3Coach: Marcelo Mendez
Deportivo Maldonado
4-4-2Coach: Joaquin Boghossian
Franco Torgnascioli1F. Torgnascioli
Eduardo Agüero17E. Agüero
Kevin Silva3K. Silva
Gary Kagelmacher24G. Kagelmacher
Facundo Silvera26F. Silvera
Pablo Siles8P. Siles
Gonzalo Montes20G. Montes
Diogo Guzmán19D. Guzmán
Franco Pizzichillo5F. Pizzichillo
Esteban Obregón10E. Obregón
Luka Andrade7L. Andrade
Diego Segovia25D. Segovia
Facundo Tealde19F. Tealde
Nicolás Fuica2N. Fuica
Juan Martin Ginzo4J. Martin Ginzo
Juan Ramos22J. Ramos
Gonzalo Larrazabal7G. Larrazabal
Santiago Cartagena28S. Cartagena
Maximiliano González8M. González
Santiago Ramírez17S. Ramírez
Christian Tabó14C. Tabó
Renato César16R. César

Atletico Torque Substitutes

14Santiago Zampieri65'for G. Kagelmacher
23Lucas Duré65'for G. Montes
9Salomón Rodríguez65'for F. Silvera
13Gastón Rodríguez
27José Tarán
22Brian Gutierrez
2Benjamin Garcia Osorio
15Ezequiel Busquets
32Sebastián Cáceres
18Ramiro Lecchini

Deportivo Maldonado Substitutes

27Gonzalo Sosa66'for C. Tabo
18Camilo Mayada81'for R. Cesar
23Adrián Vila80'for S. Cartagena
42Joaquín Fernández89'for F. Tealde
1Adriano Freitas
32Hernán Petrik
10Maximiliano Noble
5Lucas Núñez
30Lautaro Ibáñez Benítez66'for S. Ramirez
9Cayetano Bolzan

Team Comparison

Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
1665Elo Rating 1669
0.93Attack 2.43
1.68Defense 1.77
44%Hit Rate 54%
16.5Shots per Game 5.5
4.9Shots on Target 2.7
6.3Corners per Game 6.4
2.5Cards per Game 2.7

AI Insights

📈BTTS Trend71% in H2H
📉Home Underperforming
📊Away Overperforming

Game State Tendencies

Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (0.7 vs 0.2 in first half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
  • Tied at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Scores more in 2nd half (2 vs 0.4 in first half)

Head to Head

Last 7 meetings, all competitions

Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1Wins · 14%
Draws114%
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado5Wins · 72%
3.4Avg Goals
71%Both teams scored5 of 7
57%3+ goals4 of 7

Previous meetings

Primera División - Apertura06/06/2026
Atletico TorqueDeportivo Maldonado
24
Primera División - Apertura24/03/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoAtletico Torque
10
Copa Uruguay09/02/2024
Atletico TorqueDeportivo Maldonado
20
Primera División - Apertura30/04/2023
Deportivo MaldonadoAtletico Torque
32
Primera División - Apertura20/07/2022
Deportivo MaldonadoAtletico Torque
11
Primera División - Apertura05/04/2022
Deportivo MaldonadoAtletico Torque
21
Primera División - Apertura28/06/2021
Atletico TorqueDeportivo Maldonado
23

Recent Form

Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque
7W1D2L
24/09/2026
Atletico TorqueAtenas
33
D
22/09/2026
Central EspanolAtletico Torque
14
W
18/09/2026
Atletico TorqueCienciano
30
W
15/09/2026
Atletico TorqueLiverpool Montevideo
31
W
11/09/2026
CiencianoAtletico Torque
20
L
05/09/2026
Atletico TorqueCerro Largo
21
W
02/09/2026
Atletico TorqueDanubio
20
W
29/08/2026
Defensor SportingAtletico Torque
13
W
27/08/2026
PenarolAtletico Torque
10
L
23/08/2026
Atletico TorqueWanderers
51
W
Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado
6W2D2L
24/09/2026
CerroDeportivo Maldonado
12
W
19/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoCerro Largo
20
W
13/09/2026
Defensor SportingDeportivo Maldonado
10
L
10/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
41
W
05/09/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoWanderers
20
W
02/09/2026
CerritoDeportivo Maldonado
02
W
29/08/2026
JuventudDeportivo Maldonado
20
L
22/08/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoPenarol
00
D
16/08/2026
ProgresoDeportivo Maldonado
02
W
11/08/2026
Deportivo MaldonadoRacing Montevideo
22
D

Referee Profile

Andres Matonte176 matches

5.42Cards per match
5.05Yellow cards per match
0.37Red cards per match
22.6Fouls per match

Compared with other referees

Andres Matonte5.39
Other referees5.26

5.39 cards a match, in line with other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.26).

Cards come from 100 matches with official statistics.

Full referee stats

League Table

Primera División 2026

Primera: Tabla Anual

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol34198751:27+2464DLWLW
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque341861057:40+1760DLDLL
4Club NacionalClub Nacional331841151:40+1158LLWWL
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo341512742:30+1257DWWWD
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo331411844:31+1353WLDDL
7WanderersWanderers341481241:43-250LLLWL
8Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
9JuventudJuventud3410111337:41-441DWLLL
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo349101532:38-637LDDWL
12Boston RiverBoston River341071733:45-1237WLWWL
13CerroCerro341071728:51-2337DDWLW
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting348121433:43-1036DWLDD
15ProgresoProgreso341051931:47-1635WLLDD
16DanubioDanubio346141428:43-1532DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol3451:2764
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
3Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque3457:4060
4Club NacionalClub Nacional3351:4058
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo3442:3057
6Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo3344:3153
7WanderersWanderers3441:4350
8Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
9JuventudJuventud3437:4141
10Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo3432:3837
12Boston RiverBoston River3433:4537
13CerroCerro3428:5137
14Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting3433:4336
15ProgresoProgreso3431:4735
16DanubioDanubio3428:4332

Primera: Promedios

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1PenarolPenarol71431414117:61+56143DLWLW
2Club NacionalClub Nacional70421414127:73+54137LLWWL
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado34188854:32+2262DWWLW
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7032221695:68+27118WLDDL
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7129231981:68+13110DWWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71311624111:91+20109DLDLL
7JuventudJuventud7128182582:80+2102DWLLL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7126192675:81-697DWLDD
9Albion FCAlbion FC341371447:44+346WWDDW
10Boston RiverBoston River7124202783:84-192WLWWL
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7121232773:79-686LDDWL
12CerroCerro7122183161:93-3283DDWLW
13WanderersWanderers7120213066:90-2481LLLWL
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol341081633:47-1438LDWWD
15DanubioDanubio7116272869:84-1575DDDLD
16ProgresoProgreso7120143769:107-3874WLLDD
#TeamMPGPts
1PenarolPenarol71117:61143
2Club NacionalClub Nacional70127:73137
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado3454:3262
4Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo7095:68118
5Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo7181:68110
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque71111:91109
7JuventudJuventud7182:80102
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting7175:8197
9Albion FCAlbion FC3447:4446
10Boston RiverBoston River7183:8492
11Cerro LargoCerro Largo7173:7986
12CerroCerro7161:9383
13WanderersWanderers7166:9081
14Central EspanolCentral Espanol3433:4738
15DanubioDanubio7169:8475
16ProgresoProgreso7169:10774

Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1WanderersWanderers743012:4+815LLLWL
2Club NacionalClub Nacional74128:8013LLWWL
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado733112:6+612DWWLW
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque740311:11012DLDLL
5JuventudJuventud72238:11-38DWLLL
6Albion FCAlbion FC71336:8-26WWDDW
7ProgresoProgreso72056:11-56WLLDD
8DanubioDanubio70435:9-44DDDLD
#TeamMPGPts
1WanderersWanderers712:415
2Club NacionalClub Nacional78:813
3Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado712:612
4Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque711:1112
5JuventudJuventud78:118
6Albion FCAlbion FC76:86
7ProgresoProgreso76:116
8DanubioDanubio75:94

Primera: Apertura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1594223:14+931DWWWD
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1592424:16+829DWWLW
3Albion FCAlbion FC1584326:16+1028WWDDW
4PenarolPenarol1583423:16+727DLWLW
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1573523:22+124LDWWD
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1565422:16+623DLDLL
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1571726:21+522LLWWL
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1556413:11+221DWLDD
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1555520:18+220WLDDL
10WanderersWanderers1562716:21-520LLLWL
11DanubioDanubio1546517:21-418DDDLD
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1552816:19-317LDDWL
13Boston RiverBoston River1552814:20-617WLWWL
14JuventudJuventud1543817:22-515DWLLL
15ProgresoProgreso1524912:23-1110WLLDD
16CerroCerro152498:24-1610DDWLW
#TeamMPGPts
1Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1523:1431
2Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1524:1629
3Albion FCAlbion FC1526:1628
4PenarolPenarol1523:1627
5Central EspanolCentral Espanol1523:2224
6Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1522:1623
7Club NacionalClub Nacional1526:2122
8Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1513:1121
9Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1520:1820
10WanderersWanderers1516:2120
11DanubioDanubio1517:2118
12Cerro LargoCerro Largo1516:1917
13Boston RiverBoston River1514:2017
14JuventudJuventud1517:2215
15ProgresoProgreso1512:2310
16CerroCerro158:2410

Primera: Clausura

#TeamMPWDLGGDPtsForm
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1281324:13+1125DLDLL
2Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1173119:8+1124WLDDL
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1172217:11+623LLWWL
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1263318:10+821DWWLW
5PenarolPenarol1264216:8+821DLWLW
6ProgresoProgreso1261513:13019WLLDD
7JuventudJuventud1246212:8+418DWLLL
8CerroCerro1253414:17-318DDWLW
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1244415:13+216DWWWD
10Boston RiverBoston River1243514:15-115WLWWL
11WanderersWanderers1243513:18-515LLLWL
12Albion FCAlbion FC1240815:20-512WWDDW
13DanubioDanubio122466:13-710DDDLD
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo121659:14-59LDDWL
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1223714:23-99DWLDD
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol121296:21-155LDWWD
#TeamMPGPts
1Atletico TorqueAtletico Torque1224:1325
2Liverpool MontevideoLiverpool Montevideo1119:824
3Club NacionalClub Nacional1117:1123
4Deportivo MaldonadoDeportivo Maldonado1218:1021
5PenarolPenarol1216:821
6ProgresoProgreso1213:1319
7JuventudJuventud1212:818
8CerroCerro1214:1718
9Racing MontevideoRacing Montevideo1215:1316
10Boston RiverBoston River1214:1515
11WanderersWanderers1213:1815
12Albion FCAlbion FC1215:2012
13DanubioDanubio126:1310
14Cerro LargoCerro Largo129:149
15Defensor SportingDefensor Sporting1214:239
16Central EspanolCentral Espanol126:215
PromotionRelegation

About the Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado forecast

The forecasts for this Primera División match are built from team Elo ratings, recent form, scoring data and the head-to-head record, and are updated as new data arrives before kickoff.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

Atletico Torque and Deportivo Maldonado in the Primera División table

This is a meeting of two top-four sides: Deportivo Maldonado are 2nd in the Primera División, 2 points ahead of Atletico Torque in 3rd. League goal record so far: Atletico Torque 57-40, Deportivo Maldonado 54-32. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.

Key Factors for This Match

Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.