Defensor Sporting vs Danubio Prediction
Uruguay · Clausura - 8
AI Best Pick
Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.
Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.2 / 10
AI Best Pick
70%Trust
Double Chance
Home Win or Draw
1.31
SignalGOODModel44%SurpriseHighGap-5.7%
Defensor Sporting Rest
7 days
Danubio Rest
3 days
Defensor Sporting vs Danubio: result, form and history
Defensor Sporting beat Danubio 1-0 in the Primera División on 27 Sep 2026. The two went into the match with similar recent form.
Meetings between them tend to be tight, with just 1.6 goals a game across 10 matches.
Match Forecasts
Match Result
145%2.20
X27%3.10
228%3.04
Double Chance
1X72%1.31
X255%1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes50%1.85
No50%1.83
Goals
Projected Goals: 1.54 + 0.98 = 2.52
Over 1.569%1.36
Over 2.545%2.15
Over 3.525%3.84
Under 1.531%2.88
Under 2.555%1.64
Under 3.575%1.20
Corners
Corner forecasts not available for this match
Cards
Card forecasts not available for this match
Match Events
20'E. VelazquezOG
29'Goal Disallowed - offsideG. Barrios
46'E. Velazquez INC. Tizon out
46'F. Balatti INE. Femia out
57'E. Elizalde INF. Sorondo out
62'S. Fernandez INI. Costantino out
63'M. Ferreira INB. Azambuja out
65'C. Tizon
66'N. Medina INN. Scotti out
67'T. A. Pozzo INX. Biscayzacu out
68'G. De los Santos
79'B. Montenegro INJ. Diaz out
79'G. Barrios INM. Rabunal out
83'L. Agazzi
85'I. Costantino
85'S. Rodriguez
86'S. Rodriguez INE. Cabrera out
Lineups
Defensor SportingDanubio
3-4-2-1Coach: Gustavo Matosas
12K. Dawson
4G. Rodríguez
3G. De los Santos
2E. Elizalde
11L. Agazzi
24L. De los Santos
5G. Barrios
8N. Wunsch
29T. Pozzo
26B. Montenegro
7N. Medina
1M. Goicoechea
4M. Rinaldi
2E. Velázquez
31T. Cavanagh
8S. Rodríguez
5J. Millán
10M. Peralta
20M. Ferreira
18F. Balatti
6L. Sosa
30S. FernándezDefensor Sporting Substitutes
14Francisco Sorondo57'for E. Elizalde
10Xavier Biscayzacu67'for T. A. Pozzo
21Nicolas Scotti Urruty66'for N. Medina
1Lucas Machado
25Diego Abella
18Lorenzo Cafaro
30Erico Cuello Gutiérrez
22Alan Torterolo
55Martín Rabuñal79'for G. Barrios
19Juan Díaz79'for B. Montenegro
Danubio Substitutes
28Luis Femia46'for F. Balatti
80Cristhian Tizón46'for E. Velazquez65'
27Ivo Costantino62'for S. Fernandez85'
21Benjamin Azambuja Vargas63'for M. Ferreira
32Kevin Martínez
3Gonzalo Rodríguez
38Joaquín Trasante
16Iván Rossi
77Bautista Tomatis
7Enzo Cabrera86'for S. Rodriguez
Team Comparison
Defensor SportingDanubio1454Elo Rating 1508
1.53Attack 1.98
0.74Defense 2.50
0%Hit Rate 66%
6.9Shots per Game 8.5
3.9Shots on Target 3.1
4.3Corners per Game 4.1
3.5Cards per Game 3.1
AI Insights
📈BTTS Trend50% in H2H
📊Away Overperforming
⚠️Home Rotation Risk70%
Game State Tendencies
Defensor Sporting- Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
Danubio- Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
- Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.3 vs 0.7 in second half)
Head to Head
Last 10 meetings, all competitions
Defensor Sporting5Wins · 50%Draws440%
Danubio1Wins · 10%
1Wins · 10%1.6Avg Goals
50%Both teams scored5 of 10
30%3+ goals3 of 10
Previous meetings
26/03/2026DanubioDefensor Sporting00
27/03/2025DanubioDefensor Sporting11
30/03/2024Defensor SportingDanubio10
15/03/2024Defensor SportingDanubio10
15/07/2023Defensor SportingDanubio21
14/05/2023DanubioDefensor Sporting11
07/03/2023Defensor SportingDanubio3040
17/07/2022Defensor SportingDanubio21
22/05/2022DanubioDefensor Sporting12
24/11/2021Defensor SportingDanubio01
Recent Form
Defensor Sporting2W4D4L
20/09/2026
Club NacionalDefensor SportingDefensor Sporting
Deportivo Maldonado
Cerro LargoDefensor SportingDefensor Sporting
Atletico TorqueCerro LargoDefensor SportingDefensor Sporting
WanderersDefensor Sporting
Cerro
Club NacionalDefensor Sporting32
L13/09/2026Defensor SportingDeportivo Maldonado10
W10/09/2026Cerro LargoDefensor Sporting11
D06/09/2026
Central EspanolDefensor Sporting
29/08/2026Central EspanolDefensor Sporting11
DDefensor SportingAtletico Torque13
L25/08/2026Defensor Sporting
Rentistas
22/08/2026Defensor SportingRentistas00
DCerro LargoDefensor Sporting11
D16/08/2026Defensor Sporting
Liverpool Montevideo
09/08/2026Defensor SportingLiverpool Montevideo04
LDefensor SportingWanderers01
L04/08/2026Defensor SportingCerro21
WDanubio1W5D4L
24/09/2026Danubio
Penarol
20/09/2026DanubioPenarol11
DDanubioWanderers11
D13/09/2026
JuventudDanubio11
D05/09/2026DanubioPenarol
DanubioPenarol04
L02/09/2026Atletico TorqueDanubio
Atletico TorqueDanubio20
L29/08/2026
ProgresoDanubio
ProgresoDanubio10
L26/08/2026Danubio
Atenas
23/08/2026DanubioAtenas32
WDanubio
Racing Montevideo00
D15/08/2026
Boston RiverDanubio
Boston RiverDanubio00
D09/08/2026DanubioCerro
DanubioCerro01
LReferee Profile
4.99Cards per match
4.80Yellow cards per match
0.19Red cards per match
25.9Fouls per match
Compared with other referees
4.99 cards a match, 0.34 fewer than other referees in the same competitions and seasons (5.33).
Cards come from 83 matches with official statistics.
Full referee statsLeague Table
Primera: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 51:27 | +24 | 64 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 57:40 | +17 | 60 | DLDLL |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 34 | 18 | 4 | 12 | 51:41 | +10 | 58 | WLLWW |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:30 | +12 | 57 | DWWWD |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 45:31 | +14 | 56 | LWLDD |
| 7 | Wanderers | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 41:43 | -2 | 50 | LLLWL |
| 8 |  Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 37:41 | -4 | 41 | DWLLL |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 32:38 | -6 | 37 | LDDWL |
| 12 | Boston River | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 33:45 | -12 | 37 | WLWWL |
| 13 | Cerro | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 28:51 | -23 | 37 | DDWLW |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 33:43 | -10 | 36 | DWLDD |
| 15 | Progreso | 34 | 10 | 5 | 19 | 31:47 | -16 | 35 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Danubio | 34 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 28:43 | -15 | 32 | DDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 34 | 51:27 | 64 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 3 | Atletico Torque | 34 | 57:40 | 60 |
| 4 | Club Nacional | 34 | 51:41 | 58 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 34 | 42:30 | 57 |
| 6 | Liverpool Montevideo | 34 | 45:31 | 56 |
| 7 | Wanderers | 34 | 41:43 | 50 |
| 8 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 9 | Juventud | 34 | 37:41 | 41 |
| 10 | Central Espanol | 34 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 34 | 32:38 | 37 |
| 12 | Boston River | 34 | 33:45 | 37 |
| 13 | Cerro | 34 | 28:51 | 37 |
| 14 | Defensor Sporting | 34 | 33:43 | 36 |
| 15 | Progreso | 34 | 31:47 | 35 |
| 16 | Danubio | 34 | 28:43 | 32 |
Primera: Promedios
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 43 | 14 | 14 | 117:61 | +56 | 143 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 71 | 42 | 14 | 15 | 127:74 | +53 | 137 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 54:32 | +22 | 62 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 71 | 33 | 22 | 16 | 96:68 | +28 | 121 | LWLDD |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 29 | 23 | 19 | 81:68 | +13 | 110 | DWWWD |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 71 | 31 | 16 | 24 | 111:91 | +20 | 109 | DLDLL |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 28 | 18 | 25 | 82:80 | +2 | 102 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 26 | 19 | 26 | 75:81 | -6 | 97 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 47:44 | +3 | 46 | WWDDW |
| 10 | Boston River | 71 | 24 | 20 | 27 | 83:84 | -1 | 92 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 71 | 21 | 23 | 27 | 73:79 | -6 | 86 | LDDWL |
| 12 | Cerro | 71 | 22 | 18 | 31 | 61:93 | -32 | 83 | DDWLW |
| 13 | Wanderers | 71 | 20 | 21 | 30 | 66:90 | -24 | 81 | LLLWL |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 33:47 | -14 | 38 | LDWWD |
| 15 | Danubio | 71 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 69:84 | -15 | 75 | DDDLD |
| 16 | Progreso | 71 | 20 | 14 | 37 | 69:107 | -38 | 74 | WLLDD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 71 | 117:61 | 143 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 71 | 127:74 | 137 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 34 | 54:32 | 62 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 71 | 96:68 | 121 |
| 5 | Racing Montevideo | 71 | 81:68 | 110 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 71 | 111:91 | 109 |
| 7 | Juventud | 71 | 82:80 | 102 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 71 | 75:81 | 97 |
| 9 | Albion FC | 34 | 47:44 | 46 |
| 10 | Boston River | 71 | 83:84 | 92 |
| 11 | Cerro Largo | 71 | 73:79 | 86 |
| 12 | Cerro | 71 | 61:93 | 83 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 71 | 66:90 | 81 |
| 14 | Central Espanol | 34 | 33:47 | 38 |
| 15 | Danubio | 71 | 69:84 | 75 |
| 16 | Progreso | 71 | 69:107 | 74 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 1
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:3 | +9 | 16 | DLWLW |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7:5 | +2 | 11 | LDDWL |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 4:3 | +1 | 10 | DWWWD |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 | LWLDD |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 9 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 9 | DDWLW |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 6 | DWLDD |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 5 | WLWWL |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Penarol | 7 | 12:3 | 16 |
| 2 | Cerro Largo | 7 | 7:5 | 11 |
| 3 | Racing Montevideo | 7 | 4:3 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool Montevideo | 7 | 5:5 | 9 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 7 | 4:4 | 9 |
| 6 | Cerro | 7 | 6:10 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sporting | 7 | 6:9 | 6 |
| 8 | Boston River | 7 | 5:10 | 5 |
Primera: Torneo Intermedio — Group 2
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 12:4 | +8 | 15 | LLLWL |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 | WLLWW |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | +6 | 12 | DWWLW |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 12 | DLDLL |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 | DWLLL |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 | WWDDW |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 6:11 | -5 | 6 | WLLDD |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 4 | DDDLD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wanderers | 7 | 12:4 | 15 |
| 2 | Club Nacional | 7 | 8:8 | 13 |
| 3 | Deportivo Maldonado | 7 | 12:6 | 12 |
| 4 | Atletico Torque | 7 | 11:11 | 12 |
| 5 | Juventud | 7 | 8:11 | 8 |
| 6 | Albion FC | 7 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 7 | Progreso | 7 | 6:11 | 6 |
| 8 | Danubio | 7 | 5:9 | 4 |
Primera: Apertura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 23:14 | +9 | 31 | DWWWD |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 24:16 | +8 | 29 | DWWLW |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 26:16 | +10 | 28 | WWDDW |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 23:16 | +7 | 27 | DLWLW |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23:22 | +1 | 24 | LDWWD |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 22:16 | +6 | 23 | DLDLL |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 26:21 | +5 | 22 | WLLWW |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 13:11 | +2 | 21 | DWLDD |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20:18 | +2 | 20 | LWLDD |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 16:21 | -5 | 20 | LLLWL |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 18 | DDDLD |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 16:19 | -3 | 17 | LDDWL |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 14:20 | -6 | 17 | WLWWL |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17:22 | -5 | 15 | DWLLL |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 12:23 | -11 | 10 | WLLDD |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 10 | DDWLW |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Racing Montevideo | 15 | 23:14 | 31 |
| 2 | Deportivo Maldonado | 15 | 24:16 | 29 |
| 3 | Albion FC | 15 | 26:16 | 28 |
| 4 | Penarol | 15 | 23:16 | 27 |
| 5 | Central Espanol | 15 | 23:22 | 24 |
| 6 | Atletico Torque | 15 | 22:16 | 23 |
| 7 | Club Nacional | 15 | 26:21 | 22 |
| 8 | Defensor Sporting | 15 | 13:11 | 21 |
| 9 | Liverpool Montevideo | 15 | 20:18 | 20 |
| 10 | Wanderers | 15 | 16:21 | 20 |
| 11 | Danubio | 15 | 17:21 | 18 |
| 12 | Cerro Largo | 15 | 16:19 | 17 |
| 13 | Boston River | 15 | 14:20 | 17 |
| 14 | Juventud | 15 | 17:22 | 15 |
| 15 | Progreso | 15 | 12:23 | 10 |
| 16 | Cerro | 15 | 8:24 | 10 |
Primera: Clausura
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | Pts | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 20:8 | +12 | 27 | LWLDD |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 12 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 24:13 | +11 | 25 | DLDLL |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 12 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 17:12 | +5 | 23 | WLLWW |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 18:10 | +8 | 21 | DWWLW |
| 5 | Penarol | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 16:8 | +8 | 21 | DLWLW |
| 6 | Progreso | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 13:13 | 0 | 19 | WLLDD |
| 7 | Juventud | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 12:8 | +4 | 18 | DWLLL |
| 8 | Cerro | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 14:17 | -3 | 18 | DDWLW |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 15:13 | +2 | 16 | DWWWD |
| 10 | Boston River | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 | WLWWL |
| 11 | Wanderers | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 15 | LLLWL |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 4 | 0 | 8 | 15:20 | -5 | 12 | WWDDW |
| 13 | Danubio | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 6:13 | -7 | 10 | DDDLD |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 9:14 | -5 | 9 | LDDWL |
| 15 | Defensor Sporting | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 14:23 | -9 | 9 | DWLDD |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 6:21 | -15 | 5 | LDWWD |
| # | Team | MP | G | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liverpool Montevideo | 12 | 20:8 | 27 |
| 2 | Atletico Torque | 12 | 24:13 | 25 |
| 3 | Club Nacional | 12 | 17:12 | 23 |
| 4 | Deportivo Maldonado | 12 | 18:10 | 21 |
| 5 | Penarol | 12 | 16:8 | 21 |
| 6 | Progreso | 12 | 13:13 | 19 |
| 7 | Juventud | 12 | 12:8 | 18 |
| 8 | Cerro | 12 | 14:17 | 18 |
| 9 | Racing Montevideo | 12 | 15:13 | 16 |
| 10 | Boston River | 12 | 14:15 | 15 |
| 11 | Wanderers | 12 | 13:18 | 15 |
| 12 | Albion FC | 12 | 15:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Danubio | 12 | 6:13 | 10 |
| 14 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 9:14 | 9 |
| 15 | Defensor Sporting | 12 | 14:23 | 9 |
| 16 | Central Espanol | 12 | 6:21 | 5 |
PromotionRelegation
Explore more predictions
This match
More Primera División matches
- Cerro Largo vs Club Nacional 26/09/26
- Penarol vs Boston River 26/09/26
- Atletico Torque vs Deportivo Maldonado 27/09/26
- Central Espanol vs Liverpool Montevideo 27/09/26
- Wanderers vs Albion FC 29/09/26
- Liverpool Montevideo vs Progreso 03/10/26
- Albion FC vs Defensor Sporting 03/10/26
- Deportivo Maldonado vs Central Espanol 03/10/26
About the Defensor Sporting vs Danubio forecast
Every forecast on this page comes from the same model inputs: team ratings, recent form, goals scored and conceded, and how these sides have fared against each other.
How to Read These Forecasts
Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.
Defensor Sporting and Danubio in the Primera División table
Defensor Sporting and Danubio are close in the Primera División table, 14th and 16th, with 4 points between them. League goal record so far: Defensor Sporting 33-43, Danubio 28-43. The full standings are on the Primera División Table 2026 page.
Key Factors for This Match
Danubio have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.
All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.