AVS vs Moreirense Prediction

AVS
1-0
Finished
HT 1-0
Moreirense
17/10/2026
AVSAVS
1-0
Finished
MoreirenseMoreirense

AI Best Pick

Statistical forecasts for entertainment purposes only - not betting or financial advice.

Data Quality
Partial
Match Importance
3.8 / 10
AI Best Pick
72%Trust
Double Chance
Draw or Away Win
1.30
SignalGOODModel42%SurpriseHighGap-4.7%
AVS Rest
7 days
Moreirense Rest
7 days

AVS vs Moreirense: result, form and history

AVS beat Moreirense 1-0 in the Taça de Portugal on 17 Oct 2026. It was in line with recent form: AVS had won 3 of their previous five, compared with 1 for Moreirense.

Their 5 previous meetings averaged 2.2 goals, with both teams scoring in 2 of them.

Match Forecasts

Match Result
1
28%3.26
X
32%3.29
2
40%2.10
Double Chance
1X
60%1.65
X2
72%1.30
Both Teams to Score

Both teams to score forecasts not available for this match

Goals

Goal forecasts not available for this match

Corners

Corner forecasts not available for this match

Cards

Card forecasts not available for this match

Match Events

3'Rodrigo Pinho
42'Maracas
43'Guilherme Liberato
45+1'K. Bondoso ING. Batista out
53'Roni
58'Mateus Pivo IND. Brasido out
61'L. Santos INM. Mendonca out
61'L. Vonic INLanderson out
61'N. John INYan Maranhao out
62'Rodrigo Pinho ING. Neiva out
74'J. Veloso INRodri out
79'D. Rivas INPonck out
79'L. Rosic INJ. Meireles out
79'Roni INA. Sousa out
83'D. Brasido
90'F. Almeida
90+3'

Team Comparison

AVSAVS
MoreirenseMoreirense
1611Elo Rating 1567
1.26Attack 0.69
2.49Defense 1.58
69%Hit Rate 17%
10.0Shots per Game 9.7
3.4Shots on Target 2.8
2.8Corners per Game 2.5
4.0Cards per Game 1.9

AI Insights

📉Away Underperforming

Game State Tendencies

AVSAVS
  • Leads at half-time in 60% of matches
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Starts fast - scores more in 1st half (1.1 vs 0.2 in second half)
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late
MoreirenseMoreirense
  • Tied at half-time in 40% of matches
  • Concedes more in 2nd half - can tire late

Head to Head

Last 5 meetings, all competitions

AVSAVS0Wins · 0%
Draws360%
MoreirenseMoreirense2Wins · 40%
2.2Avg Goals
40%Both teams scored2 of 5
40%3+ goals2 of 5

Previous meetings

Friendlies Clubs18/07/2026
MoreirenseAVS
22
Primeira Liga16/05/2026
MoreirenseAVS
00
Primeira Liga03/01/2026
AVSMoreirense
02
Primeira Liga17/05/2025
AVSMoreirense
03
Primeira Liga04/01/2025
MoreirenseAVS
11

Recent Form

AVSAVS
4W4D2L
09/10/2026
PenafielAVS
12
W
20/09/2026
SintrenseAVS
02
W
13/09/2026
AVSFarense
00
D
07/09/2026
Lusitânia LourosaAVS
21
L
30/08/2026
AVSFeirense
20
W
23/08/2026
ChavesAVS
22
D
17/08/2026
Felgueiras 1932AVS
11
D
09/08/2026
AVSSporting CP B
01
L
31/07/2026
AVSTrofense
11
D
29/07/2026
AVSVianense
30
W
MoreirenseMoreirense
3W3D4L
09/10/2026
MoreirenseGIL Vicente
01
L
20/09/2026
Vitória SCMoreirense
11
D
14/09/2026
MoreirenseMaritimo
31
W
09/09/2026
MoreirenseBenfica
04
L
04/09/2026
FC PortoMoreirense
21
L
30/08/2026
Casa PiaMoreirense
01
W
16/08/2026
AroucaMoreirense
40
L
09/08/2026
MoreirenseSC Braga
22
D
01/08/2026
MoreirenseAmarante
20
W
25/07/2026
GIL VicenteMoreirense
22
D

Bracket

Round of 256
Round of 128
Round of 64
Beira-Mar3
União Lamas3
Oliveirense4
Penalva Castelo0
Varzim5
Trofense1
Fátima3
Benfica Castelo Branco1
Atlético Malveira20
Mafra31
Olímpico do Montijo0
Atlético CP4
FC Serpa2
O Grandolense0
Pacos Ferreira0
Fafe1
Machico20
Camacha20
Awarded
Portalegrense0
Santo Antonio3
Montalegre00
Ponte da Barca10
Oliveira Hospital1
Sourense0
Rebordelo0
Bragança4
Rebordosa21
Alpendorada31
Régua0
AD Marco 091
Salgueiros2
Sousense1
Sanjoanense3
Pacos de Brandao0
Vianense8
Minas de Argozelo0
UD da Serra5
Uniao de Pombal0
União Montemor1
Juventude Évora4
1º Dezembro0
Real1
Sacavenense5
Angrense0
AD Nogueirense10
Naval 189332
Académico do Fundão0
Guarda6
Ferreiras0
Aljustrelense3
Messejanense0
Portel8
Nazarenos0
Vitória de Sernache3
Florgrade0
São João Ver0
Lusitano Évora 19111
CF Os Belenenses2
Mação5
Gavionenses0
AD Fornos Algodres0
Os Marialvas4
Merelinense2
Atlético Arcos0
Alcains1
Sertanense0
Caldas1
Sintrense3
Castrense0
Louletano1
Celoricense1
Pevidem0
CF Benfica3
Viana Alentejo0
Cinfães1
Espinho0
Correlhã1
Os Limianos4
SC Covilha00
Mortágua10
Ermesinde1
Paredes3
Fazendense1
Mocarriense0
Maria da Fonte1
Uniao Nogueirense0
SC Barreiro2
Madalena5
O Elvas9
São Roque (Açores)0
Alcochetense8
Fayal0
GIL Vicente
Seeded
Vitória SC
Seeded
Nacional
Seeded
Estrela
Seeded
Moreirense
Seeded
Rio Ave
Seeded
Academico Viseu
Seeded
Casa Pia
Seeded
Santa Clara
Seeded
Alverca
Seeded
Estoril
Seeded
Maritimo
Seeded
Famalicao
Seeded
Arouca
Seeded
Academica
Seeded
Imortal Albufeira
Seeded
Tondela
Seeded
Castro Daire
Seeded
Portimonense
Seeded
Felgueiras 1932
Seeded
Lagoa
Seeded
Feirense
Seeded
Penafiel
Seeded
Recreativa de Lamelas
Seeded
União de Leiria
Seeded
Tirsense
Seeded
Lajense
Seeded
Farense
Seeded
Estrela Calheta
Seeded
Leixoes
Seeded
Ginásio Figueirense
Seeded
Ovarense
Seeded
Olhanense
Seeded
União Santarém
Seeded
AVS
Seeded
Amora
Seeded
Vinhais
Seeded
Amarante
Seeded
Vila Pouca
Seeded
Brito
Seeded
Ançã
Seeded
Leça
Seeded
Chaves
Seeded
Lusitânia Lourosa
Seeded
Vitoria Setubal
Seeded
Bombarralense
Seeded
Vizela
Seeded
Real1
Academica4
Imortal Albufeira1
Tondela5
Castro Daire0
Portimonense1
Naval 18930
Felgueiras 19322
Vitória de Sernache2
Varzim1
Atlético CP4
Lagoa1
Salgueiros1
Feirense0
Oliveirense1
Penafiel2
Recreativa de Lamelas4
Santo Antonio1
O Elvas0
União de Leiria2
Mafra14
Tirsense13
On penalties
Beira-Mar0
CF Os Belenenses2
Sacavenense0
Farense1
Estrela Calheta1
Vianense3
Alpendorada3
Mação0
Fazendense6
Ginásio Figueirense1
Alcochetense2
CF Benfica0
Ovarense0
Os Marialvas1
Olhanense01
Portel00
After extra time
União Santarém5
Merelinense0
Amora3
UD da Serra4
Fátima4
Vinhais1
Os Limianos3
Aljustrelense0
Vila Pouca0
Brito5
Ançã1
Sanjoanense4
Mortágua0
Leça2
Guarda2
Chaves3
Oliveira Hospital12
Juventude Évora11
After extra time
Madalena1
Lusitânia Lourosa3
Alcains0
Vitoria Setubal2
Bombarralense0
Vizela1
GIL Vicente
Seeded
Vitória SC
Seeded
Nacional
Seeded
Estrela
Seeded
Moreirense
Seeded
Rio Ave
Seeded
Academico Viseu
Seeded
Casa Pia
Seeded
Santa Clara
Seeded
Alverca
Seeded
Estoril
Seeded
Maritimo
Seeded
Famalicao
Seeded
Arouca
Seeded

About the AVS vs Moreirense forecast

As a knockout tie in the Taça de Portugal, there is more at stake than league points; the forecasts weigh that alongside team ratings, recent form and the head-to-head record.

How to Read These Forecasts

Each percentage shows the model's calculated likelihood for that outcome. Above 65% indicates strong statistical confidence; 45-65% reflects a competitive, open match; below 45% suggests the outcome is statistically less likely. All figures are for informational and entertainment purposes only.

About Taça de Portugal

More Taça de Portugal fixtures and forecasts are on the Taça de Portugal Predictions page.

Key Factors for This Match

AVS have led at half-time in 60% of their recent matches. Some underlying data for this fixture is limited, which the model accounts for with a lower confidence rating.

All forecasts are generated by statistical and machine learning models for informational and entertainment purposes only. They are not guaranteed and do not constitute financial or betting advice.